SoxBlanco

I’d like to hear about how Vaughn faired against Crochet in Schaumburg. They had to face each other several times, right?

Best he has looked all year.

Exactly. And in this scenario, Dunning would line up for game 3 of the playoffs (if necessary).

I was literally just about to come back and say this exact same thing. Then Giolito is game 1 and Keuchel game 2 of the playoffs.

Does this mean Keuchel starts game 1 and Giolito starts game 2 in the playoffs? Actually, Giolito seems lined up to pitch in game 3 right now. Any ideas what the plan is?

Sorry that I didn’t have time to reply earlier, but this is a fantastic post. Thank you for taking the time to do this. I might send you a message tomorrow to discuss this in more detail.

It doesn't just have to be a home run. A lead off single or walk or double could help. But you are correct in that these are the questions that need to be asked in determining which decision gives you a higher probability of winning the game. Like I said earlier, it's a great discussion and I like hearing both sides if people would actually be willing to discuss it instead of saying "All that matters is keeping the Twins from scoring that inning."

Thank you. Now we are actually getting to the stuff that matters. I believe the hits/homers for Eloy over Dyson are more common than a defensive miscue that causes to Twins to tie or take the lead in that inning.

Ok, then can you please answer another question for me? In your estimation, how many innings this year has the opposing team scored a run because of Eloy's defense?

It literally wasn't big at all. It had no effect on the outcome of the game. But why does everybody refuse to answer my question? I can only assume they don't want to get into a discussion of the probabilities because they know it will be bad for their side of the argument. It's a simple question that I have asked multiple people here, and nobody wants to answer it.

Can you please answer this question for me? In your estimation, how many balls has Eloy missed this year that Dyson would have caught?

No, those things actually do happen. How can you possibly think hitting a baseball is equivalent to those?

They acquired Dyson because he was basically free and there are certain situations where he should be used. Just because he isn't used in every situation (based on the several conditions you described) doesn't mean he can't help at all.

Oh. My. God. Now guys are trying to hit it to left field because they know Eloy is bad defensively? You can't be serious.

Significantly? How can you possibly say that? We've played about 415 defensive innings this year. How many of those innings has Eloy's defense cost us a run? I'm not asking rhetorically...I'm actually asking for an estimation.