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Baker

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Everything posted by Baker

  1. Andrew recorded a combined babip of .282 this season. That’s quite low. Hard to predict a normalized babip for him, but by comparison José Abreu lifetime babip is .329. Something similar to that would have put Vaughn’s OPS up near .900 this past season.
  2. Giolito’s season is like finding money on the street. About 100 million.
  3. Chris Sale was pronounced done for the season today. That closes the book on his 3 year stint in Boston that the White Sox traded away, with a cumulative fWar of 17.3. Though not terribly valid it will be interesting to see if Moncada and company can surpass that figure. Seems very likely, though The Red Sox won’t complain.
  4. Ha. Yankees opener vs Tribe , Chad Green, didn’t get his inning completed. 7-0 Cleve. Still in the first.
  5. Hahn has made plenty of bad decisions, but the dumbest was taking this job in the first place. I think he had other suitors. How could he think working under Jerry and Kenny would work out well.
  6. James Fegan was talking to one of the Sox lower prospects at Kanny. Destino I think it was. He said Sox analytics have really improved this year and now they are about as good as they had at South Carolina. Wtf?
  7. TA is about 30 plate appearances short of being in the rankings for the AL batting title. Otherwise he would be second behind LaMaheiu. He should qualify before the season ends.
  8. Goins has a higher fWar, 0.9, than Eloy and Vladdy combined. 0.1, 0.5.
  9. Fulmer should never have taken the bat off his shoulder.
  10. They battle Detroit 7 times of the last 10 games. Make your plans now.
  11. If the Sox want to win this game they’d have to trade for Syndegaard right now.
  12. Merrifield would be perfect fur Cubs. Send Nico Hoerner and Happ to KC.
  13. Would the Sox be willing to take on McCutchen’ contract from the Phillies?
  14. I think I was there too. Powell parked one on the roof.
  15. I remember when Samardja was here he glared at his defenders a few times. Probably why he had his worst season here. I feel sorry for our young core coming up. What FA agent pitcher would come here?
  16. I love great defense. The Dodgers defense leads MLB in runs saved with +93. The Sox are near the bottom at -35. With the approximate value of 10 runs saved equals 1 extra win, the Dodgers are 13 wins better just defensively than the Sox. Probably 20 by seasons end. If we played Dodger defense we could have 90 wins instead of 70 even with the same bad pitching and hitting. Lots to do in this regard.
  17. Sox now with the 3rd worse run differential in MLB. Only Tigers and O’s worse.
  18. For that extra 20% of surplus value, you’re giving up 2 months of valuable mlb experience in 2019 and another 2 weeks in 2020. Now if he doesn’t warrant a call up this year, then you have a decent debate about holding him the first 2 weeks of 2020 and the bad press that comes with it.
  19. There seems to be a misunderstanding concerning the extra year of control. The extra year becomes Arb 4, ala Kris Bryant. A 4th year Arb guy is also called “super 2”. Arbitraton guidlines peg the awards as such: 1st year Arb is roughly 20% of market value based on roughly $9M/war and other metrics. The following years of Arb increase to 40%, 60%,80% for year4. The ballclub only retains 20% surplus market value for that extra year of control. For 4 War player, maybe 6-7$M. It’s not a huge amount. Not worth the ill-will it brings with it. Plus you’re getting a couple of months “free” if he comes up in August. The extra year of control game isn’t a smart play.
  20. Doubts on Walker. His outfield speed is rated below average, and his splits this year are awful. .922 vs right .343 vs left. OPS I’ll take him as a platoon 4th outfielder I think Basabe will get the regular outfield starts
  21. When asked what he looked for in a good 3rd base coach, Earl Weaver replied, “ that he be a good pinochle player”.
  22. Anderson is hitting well enough to be a right fielder. He’d be GG out there. Get somebody like nick Ahmed to play a great shortstop. Pretty sure Andrelton Simmons and Marcus Semien both free agents after next year.
  23. Collins probably feeling a little cranky today. He’s stuck behind the plate now, with Vaughn aboard.
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