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YourWhatHurts

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YourWhatHurts last won the day on January 9

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About YourWhatHurts

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    Winston-Salem (High A)
  1. YourWhatHurts

    Thank You Jerry Reinsdorf!

    ^^Thread fixed
  2. YourWhatHurts

    Thank You Jerry Reinsdorf!

  3. YourWhatHurts

    Thank You Jerry Reinsdorf!

    "They" is one guy.
  4. YourWhatHurts

    Jameson Taillon traded to Yankees

    I don't know who that Yankees guy is but I do know that I am absolutely not on board with giving up on Benny Bailey before he even picks up a bat on US soil just to "reel in" an old shoe wrapped in weeds and general garbage named Jameson Tallion.
  5. YourWhatHurts

    Jameson Taillon traded to Yankees

    I'm not sure why that matters in this case given we only care about these things from the Sox perspective. Depending on the year, the Sox will always be either buying or selling. HS draftees will always be riskier, and here is another case where at least so far (because the book isn't closed on Rutherford yet) the Sox have tried to extract the kind of value out of a pair of HS draftees that would serve their organization well, and they were unable to. I'm not sure why there is an argument that says a high school guy is better than a college guy as an earlier round pick. The Sox have had better luck with college guys anyway, whether it is extracting value in a trade or someone producing at the MLB level. In another of my previous examples, the Sox were able to trade Holmberg as the 2nd piece for Jackson. Was that a good pick then? The main guy in that deal was a college guy also. For Holmberg's shorter-than-Madrigal ceiling, as a 2nd round pick, I think that pick sucks a fat pair of balls. If there's one major bone to pick with the Sox philosophy over the years, outside of their bullshit pre-slotting system, it's probably their performance in the 2nd through the 5th rounds. Every year going into the draft there are a host of publications that put out top-100 lists like Perfect Game, BA, BP, 20/80 baseball, Law's lists, etc., and there are probably about 130-150 players who will be on every major publications top-100 list, and probably about 50 guys or so that appear on everybody's top-30 or so. It always seems like the Sox are one of those teams that sit there and pick 100-200+ list guys early while other teams are taking players ranked highly well into the draft. There are always these other teams that get like 3 -5 of these consensus top-100 guys while the Sox take 1 or maybe 2. I said during the draft that Kelly was the most exciting 2nd rounder I can remember since Ryan Sweeney. Usually the Sox pick RPs pretty high and other guys like Pilkington who are way too high. They look for value picks too early. Hansen was an interesting pick at the time, and I think Luis Gonzalez was an interesting high floor guy as a 3rd round pick but probably too early. Other than Sheets, their 2nd rounders over recent years have been pretty good picks at the time, like Erik Johnson and Tyler Danish, who didn't turn out, but not all of these guys need to be taken in the 2nd, and even when you get someone who looks decent in the 2nd it doesn't mean you need to punt the football in the 3rd round. Beck was a good 3rd round pick. But usually you look at rounds 3-5 and that's where the Sox resort to picking "value" or "find" guys while some other teams are picking "names" and this is something Sox fans who have been following the drafts for years have constantly noticed. They have taken guys like Donny Lucy in the 2nd round, John Ely in the 3rd, etc. and have gone with bench/RP/longshot types way too early in the draft. Other teams are taking greater upside and especially players who are seen as better in the general public.
  6. YourWhatHurts

    Sox vs. Yankees Comparison

    I don't think it is reasonable to expect Cruz. I think Wainright + MiLB contract with invitation to ST for guys like DRob and Rosenthal is the best we can expect. Maybe LaStella at 2/$10M where it's really like 1/$6M because year 2 has a $1M buyout I wasn't born yesterday.
  7. YourWhatHurts

    Jameson Taillon traded to Yankees

    But OTOH Rutherford doesn't have a lot of value either, and he was a late first round draft pick out of HS and so was Ian Clarkin and both of those guys came from the Yankees in the DRob/Kahnle dump off. It's hard to get value in the draft regardless. The best policy is to spend as much money as possible on the highest-end guys available. In the Sox defense, they have been doing a much better job targeting higher-level players in the early rounds in the draft lately. Re: the group mentioned though, Burdi has made some progress now that he is healthy. He could still turn into a quality pen piece. Walker got us potentially 2 years of Mazara and in hindsight we should have traded him for someone else. Gonzalez seems to be on track to being a decent if not quality 4th OF IMO, which is a pretty good outcome anyway. Only Sheets really looks like a guy with a pretty low likelihood of having any MLB success, but he also has made some improvement and he may have enough value to net the team a quality MR or bench piece at the deadline. All in all, I think that group mentioned isn't really that damning. Sure they could have done better in hindsight but let's just go look draft to draft at all of the high schoolers who are taken in the first 3 or 4 rounds who totally bust. Also coming to mind are Spencer Adams and David Holmberg who were HS guys who didn't work out. I also remember getting excited about drafting a HS named Stephen Upchurch and I think he fell apart before he even got off of the bus to Great Falls. More often that not these guys don't work out. I do hope that whether it is a HS or college player, the Sox try to do what they did grabbing Crochet and Kelly back-to-back all the time in every draft.
  8. YourWhatHurts

    Jameson Taillon traded to Yankees

    They will need someone to throw out there just because. I think Adolfo goes for a RP in a 1-for-1 deal at some point, or a 1-for-2 where the second guy we give up is an inconsequential minor leaguer who doesn't take up roster space.
  9. YourWhatHurts

    Sox vs. Yankees Comparison

    Both the Sox and Yankees also are "maxed out" in terms of payroll, so that's even. Of course the Yanks are up against the luxury tax and the Sox are up against .....
  10. YourWhatHurts

    Help Me Understand fWAR

    The way you use fWAR is like this: when you see your starting C stand there with his thumb up his ass while the ball rolls between his legs and you don't like that because it doesn't fit your world view that he's a great player, you go onto fan graphs and find a number that says he's a better player than the other guy who isn't such an idiot in the field, and then you post it on a discussion forum as evidence of his quality play. And you post a HR clip also.
  11. YourWhatHurts

    The Wainwright Thread

  12. YourWhatHurts

    The Wainwright Thread

    'Member that time we signed Carlos Boozer? That was awesome.
  13. YourWhatHurts

    The Wainwright Thread

    Like Herrera, Cishek, Dunn, Linebrink, Keppinger, Gio Gonzalez, Edwin, soooo many others in a list that can go on and on and on, this may be the "career death deal" in Wainwright's case. Hopefully he turns out a lot better than Mat Latos or Ervin Santana as more examples.
  14. YourWhatHurts

    Sox vs. Yankees Comparison

    There's no way that Giolito and Lynn are "equal" to a healthy Cole and Severino. The Yanks have a much better rotation if they are healthy. Sox have a better IF defense. Yanks probably similar defensively in the OF because Eloy brings down the quality of the OF D so much. Offensively both lineups are deep with power and speed, and lots of tough outs. Both bullpens should be very good, but you never know how that will turn out. Overall IMO the Yankees are definitely the better team ATM. The Sox don't have the horses yet. Also when you add D TA is way better than Gleyber.
  15. YourWhatHurts

    The Wainwright Thread

    Wainwright at $5M or $6M is better than Gio at $5M. And unlike Rodon at least he can throw a pitch in the strikezone.
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