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South Side Hit Men

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Everything posted by South Side Hit Men

  1. Lance Lynn has had one good year in his thirties, was given $97M over seven years including $10M this offseason despite the fact he has three playoff seasons over the same period with double digit ERAs. Even mediocre pitching is valuable, much more so than 4th - 5th OF types you can pick up each and every season at or slightly above the ML minimum. If he was 22-23 and possibly project into a viable everyday starter, I would have honestly still preferred Mena, but wouldn't have longer term concerns in terms of Getz' strategy. This deal might work out net net, but the upside clearly is with Arizona. Best case scenario he performs well as a platoon RF and he can be flipped this or next year for a decent prospect or two, which is what they had with Mena with the potential to be a cost controlled #3 - #5 starter profile for a contending team in 2026/2027.
  2. And the first two and likely third season will all be losing White Sox baseball teams. In 2021, I cared about replacing Adam Eaton and Jake Lamb and Brian Goodwin and Andrew Vaughn and Gavin Sheets in RF because wins and losses actually mattered in a contention season. Wins and losses are not the priority in 2024. When you have a contending team, sacrificing youth for veterans for final pieces can be justified. For the 2024 White Sox, long term needs are primary, short term production secondary. Spending money on short term FA doesn't impact future White Sox baseball, but dumping young prospects is harmful. Just play a guy who can adequately or better cover RF. If Colas isn't ready, it is not a huge difference whether it's Pillar or Phillips or DeLoach or even Whit Merrifield or Eloy or Billy Hamilton. Don't even care if it's Fletcher if he was a waiver claim or FA signing. Counting wildly inflated PCL stats as power is a stretch. He would be lucky to hit double digit home runs in a season even in HR friendly ballparks like Arizona or the Sox. Several comparisons in this thread to Adam Eaton are ridiculous. Eaton was an established ML hitter with a 5.2 bWAR season under his belt and over 200 MLB games played before entering his age 26 and 27 seasons. This guy was Arizona's sixth best outfielder at best, has 102 career plate appearances. If they thought anything of him, if they thought his .791 OPS and .377 BABIP was sustainable he would have continued playing last season. Neither are, and he will have trouble contributing once ML pitchers actually focus on his weaknesses vs. prioritizing other hitters in the lineup. It's the same as pitchers handing Grandal 87 walks in 2021 6 hole, to focus on getting Leury, Lamb, Mendick, Madrigal and the other poor bottom third hitters in the White Sox lineup. Grandal had 6 less walks the next two seasons combined despite having more plate appearances in both years. He put up empty walk stats not because he was some reincarnation of Barry Bonds, but rather because there was no risk in walking him to clog up the bases with three below MLB quality hitters behind him on a regular basis. If I managed against Luis Robert this season, he'd lead the league in walks. Take your chances with the next guy, be it Yoan or Eloy or anyone else. Since 2/3 of baseball aren't contending, that won't happen, but in a meaningful game it would be done on a regular basis.
  3. $20M is in reference to Getz’ collective off-season FA signings (could be slightly more or less, just approximating plus Pillar won’t be known until OD). I posted the 1937 star because this isn’t segregation era baseball, and you can’t sacrifice power at both OF corners and expect to have a winning team. Losing Mena for similarly aged or younger prospects, even this guy, wouldn’t concern me. The lack of logic or big picture thinking concerns me.
  4. The Sox don’t have a surplus of anything beyond Brooks Boyer’s 50 ticket agents, and 79 year old hall of fame person consultants. The struggle is we suffered a decade with Hahn’s poor roster construction, and this seems like old times. You’re going the wrong direction trading a solid 21 year old prospect for a 27 year old this September, who even if he is good will be in his 30s before the team is in contention. And he is a poor man’s Benintendi you are are already stuck with for four more years. People here are more worried about Jerry dying with $20M more in his pocket by Getz spending on one year FA signings than they are giving up prospects for guys who best case scenario will be on the decline by the time the Sox ever have built a competitive core. I’ve supported most of what Getz has done, but this and Maldonado are redundant with other existing players and a step in the wrong direction. You don’t need five DHs on the roster and you don’t need five no power fungible starters either, especially in a year that doesn’t matter based on your spending cuts and existing roster.
  5. I thought it was reported back when this all came out that Jimmy Rollins was the one responsible for going over both Ventura and Hahn straight to Kenny to b**** about Drake La Roche. Didn’t see Rollins or anyone else implicated in the Athletic article, but perhaps this was merely speculation since he was new in camp.
  6. World Series Champions with under 10 Combined Primary Corner Outfielder HRs since 1921 CS = Combined Corner OF Starts 6 1937 New York Yankees Myril Hoag 3 HR (88 CS) + Jake Powell 3 HR (93 CS) End of list
  7. Perhaps because he is one of the few White Sox who gave a s%*# the past two seasons and earns just over the ML minimum salary. Meanwhile, nobody wants this guy even for a low A scrub.
  8. I'd agree if these were the type of moves made for a 2021/2022 team. These are the type of moves when you have nearly 20 holes on your 26 man roster and cutting payroll by 1/3. Hahn signed a bunch of over the hill players with an extra zero in their salary.
  9. The hand wringing about veterans which won't matter beyond perhaps what they were flipped for amuses me. They need to field a team and stabilize attendance from falling significantly further. I'm not saying Getz is bad because of this move, just saying the move is short sighted. The FA signings do not impact future teams but this move with limited upside does. Non of the 2024 FA pickups or Fletcher will be around on the next competitive Sox team. Just saying they should get a younger prospect with more late 2020s upside, not a guy pushing 30 if the Sox turn it around in 2026/2027. Hoping he can contribute and perhaps be flipped in a year or two.
  10. I have liked most of what Getz has done since taking over considering his budget and inherited roster. Maldonado and this move would be the exceptions. Not saying they should not have traded Mena, but don’t see the point in acquiring Benintendi’s tiny baby brother who will be 27 this season for Mena. Fletcher is the type of player they should be picking up on waivers or signing to a Minor League FA deal, not dumping a decent prospect to acquire.
  11. 23 Players remain from the 8/22/23 40 Man Roster Chris Getz inherited: Hitters (11): Benintendi (29), Colas (25), Jimenez (27), Lee (25), Moncada (28), Ramos (21), Robert Jr. (26), Rodriguez (22), Sheets (27), Sosa (24), Vaughn (25) Pitchers (12): Banks (32), Cease (28), Crochet (24), Foster (29), Garcia (24), Kopech (27), Lambert (29), Martin (27), Peralta (25), Ramsey (27), Scholtens (29), Toussaint (27) Should be below 20 by Opening Day.
  12. OK, I’m glad I didn’t bet over 62 1/2 wins yet. Think this makes a Cease trade before OD more likely. Looking forward to learning about the players they received.
  13. Six Teams who should have payroll flexibility to sign two plus solid remaining available Free Agents: Cubs, both Los Angeles and New York teams, San Francisco Eleven Teams at or above than usual payrolls, likely limited additional spending at this stage but may have one solid FA signing left: Arizona, Atlanta, Baltimore, Houston, Philadelphia, Saint Louis, San Diego, Seattle, Toronto, Tampa Bay, Texas Thirteen Teams with zero intention of legitimately competing for a championship in 2024: White Sox, Boston, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Colorado, Detroit, Kansas City, Miami, Milwaukee, Minnesota, Oakland, Pittsburgh, Washington
  14. I look at this as 2018, but without the number of theoretically high ceiling prospects that the Sox thought they had at the time. The only way to get to what they should / could have been in 2021 and beyond is vastly improve player development and scouting. This allows you to draft, sign and trade for more players with high upside like Colson Montgomerys, and less guys like Jacob Gonzalez at the upper end. Also need to vastly improve development of second tier acquisitions to create more solid starters, relievers and role players with lower picks and signings. They also to develop catchers and defensive players so you’re not spending money on Grandals, and your not left with perennial holes. The quick to remedy roster management steps Getz can take is to build as much depth as possible, have a proper roster which can adequately cover all positions defensively, and to ensure and keep a roster of 26 healthy players. Give your medical staff a day or two, not a week or month or two, to move injured players to the IR and bring up reinforcements. Hahn failed at all of this with $60M more per year to spend, and four years of tanking at his disposal to be ready for his parades. Getz has several months and a barren organization of players and many FO holes to fill short and long term.
  15. LOL, at first I thought that was the thread post count, not his individual post count.
  16. When Forbes reports their numbers or when people talk about revenue, the only revenue owners and Forbes considers are the following earned within the stadium: 2022 Gross MLB Revenue $11 Billion vs. $10.5 Billion with Breakout used below $3.2B - Tickets Sales $3.1B - National Revenue including TV Contracts and MLB.com / MLB Media $2.2B - Local TV and Radio Media Rights Paid To Teams (Does not include RSN net revenue owned by the 18 clubs which own RSN in part or in whole) $1.1B - Sponsorship Rights $0.9B - Stadium Concessions (Food, drinks and merchandise purchased within the stadium*) The growing portion of revenue for most owners includes real estate owned and operated beyond stadiums, RSN revenues beyond the media rights paid directly to clubs, and other substantial revenues including *I believe parking (not positive about parking). I broke out ownership in the initial post to break out which team ownership groups earn substantially more than what people say are "on the books". This and the real estate empires certain teams like the Braves and Cubs have built are creating vast revenue and net income differences between organizations, much ore so than what occurs within baseball stadiums. RSN Ownership by Division: American League East Baltimore Orioles 77% of MASN (Also includes Washington Nationals & various collegiate sports broadcasts). Boston Red Sox 80% of NESN (Also includes Boston Bruins and several minor league teams and collegiate sports broadcasts). New York Yankees 26% of YES Network (Also includes Brooklyn Nets, New York Liberty and NYC FC broadcasts). Tampa Bay Rays 0% Toronto Blue Jays 100% of Sportsnet (Also includes English Language Broadcasting throughout Canada for the NHL including rights for three teams in addition to Hockey Night In Canada and all NHL playoff games), the Olympics, All Blue Jays, national MLB games, all Fox and TBS Playoff Games, Toronto Raptors, English Football and other various additional broadcasts). American League Central Chicago White Sox 25% of NBC Sports Chicago (Also includes Chicago Bulls and Chicago NHL Broadcasts) Cleveland Guardians 0% Detroit Tigers 0% Kansas City Royals 0% Minnesota Twins 0% American League West Houston Astros 50% of Space City Home Network (Also includes Houston Rockets and various collegiate and minor league broadcasts). Los Angeles Angels 25% of Bally Sports West (Also includes Los Angeles Kings and collegiate sports broadcasts). Oakland Athletics 0% Seattle Mariners 100% of Root Sports Northwest (Also includes Portland Trail Blazers and Seattle Kraken broadcasts). Texas Rangers 10% of Bally's Sports Southwest (Also includes Dallas Stars and local broadcast rights of Dallas Mavericks, San Antonio Spurs and Arkansas rights to the Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder). National League East Atlanta 0% Miami Marlins 0% New York Mets 65% of SNY (Also includes various collegiate sports broadcasts). Philadelphia Phillies 25% of NBC Sports Philadelphia (Also includes Philadelphia 76ers, Philadelphia Flyers and various collegiate and minor league teams). Washington Nationals 23% of MASN (Also includes Baltimore Orioles & various collegiate sports broadcasts). National League Central Chicago Cubs 50% of Marquee Sports Network (Also includes various minor league, collegiate and high school broadcasts). Cincinnati Reds 50% of Bally Sports Ohio (Also includes Columbus Blue Jackets, Cleveland Cavilers and various collegiate and minor league broadcasts). Milwaukee Brewers 0% Pittsburgh Pirates 20% of SportsNet Pittsburgh (Also includes Pittsburgh Penguins and various minor league, collegiate, high school broadcasts). Saint Louis Cardinals 30% of Bally Sports Midwest (Also includes primary Saint Louis Blues broadcasts, plus limited Kansas City Royals, Indiana Pacers, Memphis Grizzlies, Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder broadcast rights). National League West Arizona Diamondbacks 0% Colorado Rockies 0% Los Angeles Dodgers 50% of Spectrum SportsNet LA (No other teams or sports are aired on this channel). San Diego Padres 0%. San Francisco Giants 50% of NBC Sports Bay Area (Also includes Golden State Warriors & various collegiate and high school sports broadcasts).
  17. If only Sam watched games with Jerry in the owners box, and pined for the days of David Eckstein. Jerry would never go with an outsider again after the Larry Himes experience. Even one with far better baseball experience and knowledge. Competitively both teams are bad, but Sam is in a better position in Miami, as he can stay as long as he goes along with permanent tanking budgets. Everyone here may lose their job post transition period after Jerry passes. It’s the only way they’ll possibly shed Boyer.
  18. They haven’t spent much of anything this off-season. That save the money for later ended up being complete bullshit. They spent over a quarter billion on Lynn, Grandal, Keuchel, Benintendi and Leury. Not to mention over $100M on ancient bullpen guys who knew and played for TLR back in the day. They aren’t blocking a single player worth a damn, including the dozen already cut. A bunch of scraps held together by meat glue. The entire organization was/is that barren. The few solid prospects they do have are either in AA or just getting started in AAA. Colas needs to get his act together first before playing here.
  19. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/02/diamond-sports-group-in-agreement-with-rangers-twins-guardians-for-2024.html Pending 2/9 bankruptcy court approval, Cleveland, Minnesota and Texas will receive at least 85% of their current deal 2023 payments (Texas $111M; Cleveland $55M, Minnesota's deal which expired after 2023 was for $54M). Altitude Sports and Entertainment owns the rights to the Colorado Avalanche and Denver Nuggets. However, with the Rockies broadcasts with approximately 15,000 viewers per game, or 1/2 their in game attendance, they said hard pass to picking up rights to the Rockies. Therefore, MLB Media is making arrangements to take over Rockies broadcasts, similar to the Arizona and San Diego broadcast arrangements. Last year, MLB guaranteed 80% of previous rights fees, with losses eaten by MLB as a whole. This guarantee will no longer exist for all three clubs in 2024. Who owns what at this point? Online Streaming Rights: 22 Teams - Owned by MLB and each organization - Incumbered by current MLB blackout rules. 3 Teams - Owned by MLB and Cleveland, Minnesota and Texas, but teams are prohibited via the Diamond group to exercise these rights in 2024. 5 Teams - Amazon to acquire the rights to Detroit, Kansas City, Miami, Milwaukee and Tampa streaming rights pending court approvals over the next two months. Local Broadcast Networks: 4 MLB Teams or their parent companies which own their RSN without any non-MLB partners: MASN Baltimore Orioles (77% ownership) and Washington Nationals (23% ownership) - Split subject to change with pending Baltimore Orioles sale. Root Sports Northwest (100% Seattle Mariners - This network also broadcasts the Portland Trail Blazers and Seattle Kraken). Sportsnet One (100% Rodgers Sports & Media, owner of the Toronto Blue Jays). - Note National French Canadian Broadcast rights are owned by TVA Sports for the less than 80 games broadcast each season. 14 MLB Teams which own a split their RSN with other non MLB organizations: Bally's Sports Midwest (30% Saint Louis Cardinals + 70% Diamond Sports Group). Bally Sports Ohio (50% Cincinnati Reds + 50% Diamond Sports Group). Bally Sports Southwest (10% Texas Rangers + 90% Diamond Sports Group - Also broadcasts the Dallas Stars throughout all four broadcast markets exclusively, plus limited rights to Dallas Mavericks (Dallas-Fort Worth & Arkansas); San Antonio Spurs (San Antonio) plus Arkansas Rights for the Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder. Bally Sports West (25% Los Angeles Angels + 75% Diamond Sports Group). A portion of the schedule is broadcast OTA via Fox 11 Plus (KCOP Channel 13). Marquee Network (50% Chicago Cubs; 50% Sinclair Broadcast Group - Owner of Diamond Sports Group). NBC Sports Bay Area (50% San Francisco Giants + 50% NBC Sports Group). Select games are broadcast OTA via KNTV Channel 11. NBC Sports Chicago (25% Chicago White Sox + 25% each Chicago Bulls; Chicago NHL Team & NBC Sports Group) - Future beyond October 2024 TBD NBC Sports Philadelphia (25% Philadelphia Phillies + 75% NBC Sports Group). Select games broadcast OTA via WCAU Channel 10 and WPHL-TV Channel 17. NESN (80% Fenway Sports Group owner of the Boston Red Sox) + 20% Delaware North (Boston Bruins and Boston Garden II) SNY (65% Sterling Equities owner of the New York Mets + 27% Charter Communications + 8% NBC Sports Group). 28 Games are Broadcast OTA via PIX 11. Space City Home Network (50% Houston Astros + 50% Houston Rockets) Spectrum SportsNet LA (50% Guggenheim Partners - Owners of Guggenheim Baseball Management + 50% Charter Communications) Sports Net Pittsburgh (20% Pittsburgh Pirates + 80% Fenway Sports Group / Pittsburgh Penguins) YES Network (26% Yankee Global Enterprises; 20% Diamond Sports Group; 15% Amazon; 13% Each for The Blackstone Group; Mubadala Investment Co. & RedBird Capital). 21 Games are Broadcast on Amazon Prime Network, a platform separate from Amazon's ownership of the YES Network). 12 MLB Teams which do not own any stake in their RSN: (1 Primary / 2 Secondary) Bally Sports South & Southeast: Several States including all of Georgia for Atlanta Baseball. This entity also owns select North Carolina and Tennessee Markets for Cincinnati Reds Broadcasts; and three limited markets (Western Kentucky, Northern Mississippi and Memphis & Jackson Tennessee) for the Saint Louis Cardinals Broadcasts. (7) Diamond Sports Group: Cleveland Guardians; Detroit Tigers; Kansas City Royals; Miami Marlins; Milwaukee Brewers; Minnesota Twins; Tampa Bay Rays (3) MLB Local Media: Arizona Diamondbacks; Colorado Rockies; San Diego Padres (1) NBC Sports California: Oakland Athletics National Television Broadcast Rights (All times CDT) - Along with MLB.Com and Media Properties, each of the 30 teams received $103M in 2023 for the aforementioned rights and for the National Telecasts identified below. The 2024 Split is TBA or TBD: Pay Channel Broadcasts Regular Season Apple TV: Friday Night Baseball - Apple TV or Direct TV (simulcast of Apple TV games) required. Schedule TBA ESPN / ESPN 2: Thirty exclusive Sunday Night Baseball Games (April - mid June schedule linked) + Opening Day Telecasts; plus the MLB World Tour (3/20-3/21 in Seoul) and Two MLB Mexico Series (4/14 & 4/28 Mexico City) games and One London Series Game (6/9 10 AM Philadelphia vs. New York Mets). FS1: Exclusive Rights to 40 Games, 37 identified plus 3 TBD 4/22 6:30 PM Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins 4/29 6:30 PM Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox 6/15 9:00 PM Chicago White Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27 6:00 PM Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox MLB: 26 non exclusive live games. Schedule TBA TBS: 26 Tuesday Night Baseball Games (Schedule through June linked) Postseason ESPN; Wild Card Series FS1: Majority of NLDS and NLCS Series TBS: ALDS and ALCS National Over The Air Broadcasts Regular Season Fox: 19 Saturdays 1 of 2 identified games 8/10 6:00 PM Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox 9/7 6:00 PM Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox 2 Saturdays (6/1 & 8/3) 1 of 3 identified games 2 September Thursday (9/12 & 9/19) and 1 September Saturday Evening (9/28) Games TBD 6/8 1:00 PM London Series Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 6/20 6:00 PM Rickwood Field (Birmingham, Alabama) Negro Leagues Tribute (San Francisco Giants vs. Saint Louis Cardinals) Exhibition Game + Post Season ABC: Select Wild Card Games Fox: 7/16 All Star Game 7 PM (Arlington, Texas) Select NLDS and NLCS Games Entire 2024 World Series
  20. He'll battle it out with Brett Phillips to determine the 3rd, possibly 2nd best outfielder for the 2024 Chicago White Sox roster. I'm good with this, but please sign Duvall would be cromulent for OD RF plus covering all three OF positions. Kevin Pillar 2023 fWAR 0.1 (206 PA), Projected 2024 fWAR 0.0 (231 PA).
  21. What I would have liked to have seen, both in real time and to this day, would be a better effort to have kept the elite All Time White Sox around through the end of their careers. Would have been great if Buehrle, Thomas and Abreu would have stayed their entire careers with the White Sox. The first two had great years after leaving, and I believe Abreu would have stayed on a reasonable deal, signed in season, if he was shown more respect by the FO his final season (say 2 / $38M, would get not matching Houston's offer if he wasn't extended in season). Would have liked the same for Giolito (though wasn't going to happen under Jerry, don't regret the trade as a result) and at least through 2022 said the same about Tim (think it was best for both to go their separate ways after last season). Perhaps @Lip Man 1or someone else alive could speak to what lead Joe Horlen to leave for a final season with Oakland, which allowed him to appear in ALCS and World Series and win a ring. Oakland picked him up after the Sox released him at the end of Spring Training, before being signed by Oakland 17 days later. Perhaps they were doing him a favor like the did when they sent Adam Dunn to Oakland for September for a chance to play for his first playoff team (a wild card birth). 7 of the Top 50 Hitter bWAR and 10 of the Top 50 Pitcher Chicago White Sox Career bWAR leaders spent their entire Major League career with the White Sox. Luke Appling and Ted Lyons are the two lone BBWAA elected hall of famers, with Ed Walsh (highest BBWAA vote total 55,5% in 1945) elected via the Old Timers Committee shortly after the BBHOF was established, and Red Faber (highest BBWAA vote total 30.9% in 1960) elected via the Veterans Committee eighteen years later. Ted Lyons is the only White Sox for life inductee who broke the 75% BBWAA vote threshold without a run off election. Top 50 All Time bWAR White Sox For Life (13.1 + for Hitters and 10.8 + for Pitchers) Modern Era Hitters 16.2 Tim Anderson (2016-2023) - Will drop off if he signs and plays for another organization. 14.6 Ron Karkovice (1986-1997) Modern Era Pitchers 20.2 John Danks (2007-2016) 11.8 Dylan Cease (2019-Current) Segregation Era Hitters 77.5 Luke Appling (1930-1950) 1964 BBHOF (70.6% - 94.0% via the 1964 Run Off Election) 24.4 Johnny Mostil (1918-1929) BBWAA highest ballot 0.5% 1956 21.2 Buck Weaver (1912-1920) 1917 World Series Champion & 1919 American League Pennant Winner 20.9 Lee Tannehill (1903-1912) 1906 World Series Champion 19.4 Happy Felsch (1915-1920) 1917 World Series Champion & 1919 American League Pennant Winner Segregation Era Pitchers 70.6 Ted Lyons (1923-1946) 1955 BBHOF (BBWAA 86.5%) 63.9 Red Faber (1914-1933) 1964 Veterans Committee BBHOF + 1917 World Series Champion & 1919 American League Pennant Winner 25.1 Jim Scott (1909-1917) 1917 World Series Champion 20.2 Johnny Rigney (1937-1947) Married Charlie Comiskey's Granddaughter and became co-GM. 16.4 Joe Benz (1911-1919) 1917 World Series Champion 14.0 Roy Patterson (1901-1907) 1906 World Series Champion 12.2 Ted Blankenship (1922-1930)
  22. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/02/white-sox-sign-juan-then-to-minor-league-deal.html He’s 24, bounced around with the Yankees and Mariners. Has a brief MLB record, is a ground ball enduring pitcher, has had terrible ERAs but better FIP numbers.
  23. Lance Lynn earnings in his 30s: $97M including 2025 buyout ($107M if 2025 option picked up for his age 38 season). Lance Lynn Postseason ERA in his 30s: 2018 11.58 2021 12.27 2023 13.50
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