Dam8610

Didn't the White Sox reshape the market with Eloy's contract this past offseason?

http://www.tankathon.com/mlb Looks like the Sox are 9th now. A sustained losing streak could take them as high as 6, but I don't think they're catching the top 5.

As several people have stated, he changed his hand positioning pre-swing, which has cut down on his hitch. The results speak for themselves.

Doubt it would be an issue often, but I put Collins there because he's likely to have the best OBP on the team if he hits anything like he has in AAA recently, maybe excepting Madrigal if he hits for high average. Robert and Jimenez don't walk much, and Moncada has had the lowest BB% he's had at any level in what has otherwise been a breakout offensive year for him. Given all that, I feel that Madrigal and Collins would be the best table setters for a Robert-Moncada-Jimenez, who are the best power bats in the lineup. It might cost Robert a couple steals per year, but it also might save him a couple thumb injuries.

2020: 01) Madrigal 2B 02) Collins DH 03) Robert CF 04) Moncada 3B 05) Jimenez LF 06) Abreu 1B 07) Anderson SS 08) McCann C 09) Garcia/FA RF 2021 01) Madrigal 2B 02) Collins DH 03) Robert CF 04) Moncada 3B 05) Jimenez LF 06) Vaughn 1B 07) Anderson SS 08) McCann C 09) FA RF

Moncada - speed + plays C = very valuable player.

https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=jarens000jos

And you don't think Steiver has a similar likelihood of at least seeing some time in a MLB bullpen?

Okay, so he's playing slightly above average in a league where you'd like to see better numbers than that. Steiver is dominating and has the pen as an option if he doesn't work out as a starter. That's why I think he's more likely to get to MLB than Walker, unless the Sox are just being stubborn, but baseball seems to be the sport where value of a draft pick matters least to roster decision making.

I don't understand the bolded, because they both came from college and Steiver is dominating a level that Walker is struggling with.

It's been explained to you. You're giving the closer credit for the whole win in the "saves above average" category, which is wrong for reasons that have already been pointed out. Firstly, closers will always be well above the league average save rate because blown saves are credited to middle relievers and setup relievers who give up a lead, despite the fact that they never would have gotten the save had they not given up the lead. Further, as has been stated several times, you're giving the closer credit for the whole win in those situations. Under your model, the closer's contributions to the win are the only ones that matter. Not the starting pitcher's quality start, not the offense's performance, not the defense's performance, but only the closer matters. In fact, going further, based on your "calculation" of 6.86 vs. the fWAR calculation of 1.7, Colome is actually getting about 25% of the credit for the "wins" he's "responsible for", which to me is actually dramatically skewed in his favor.

That's not how WAR is calculated. Further, taking the league average save percentage is stupid, because closers are expected to get saves, whereas middle relievers and setup men are not, but they get a good chunk of the blown saves when they give up a lead.

How do you reach this conclusion? He's a LHSP putting up a 100 ERA+ and a lower FIP than ERA, and looks to be on pace to pitch between 180-200 IP. That's a mid rotation starter and a fairly valuable asset.

You can't reasonably say that at all, unless you have statistical evidence of a strong correlation between low K rates and low pitch/AB numbers or something of the like. I'd be willing to bet the opposite is true.

Cool story. How does not striking out preclude walking?