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Balta1701

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Everything posted by Balta1701

  1. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    Maldonado is under contract with the Astros for next year and will not be a free agent. You would have to trade for him.
  2. Balta1701

    2021 BOLD predictions thread

    Here's your chance to go on record with something emphatic. I don't want to hear in this thread how Minnesota and Chicago will come down to the wire or Luca$ Giolito will come in 2nd for the Cy Young in here - too many people expect that. This thread is for predicting 125 wins, or Tony LaRussa being fired midseason, or Luca$ winning 27 games, or the entire pitching staff coming down with COVID and it knocking the team out of contention. Have at it.
  3. While that might change things somewhat, the calculus with Eloy is still that he was injured for a lot of this year and is regularly an injury concern, he did not perform well this year, and he’s guaranteed $30 million over the next 3 years. If I’m a NL General Manager, I won’t say no to him, but I’m not giving a monster return for a player like that. He has some value, but you’re not getting back a front line starter or anything like that.
  4. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    But a few big things are different right now. First of all, for reasons we will probably have plenty of time to discuss, the relationship between the union leadership and Manfred and the owners is at probably its worst spot since 1995. There’s zero personal trust, so the players will think that if they give the owners an extension, the owners will view it as caving, as a sign their position is weak. Second, this will all be happening during the offseason which means nobody loses any real money if there’s a lockout from December through February. The NFL was in this situation a few years ago and they had a lockout start in the offseason and it lasted right up to the point it would have cost them week 1, at which point both sides said they’ll lose half a billion dollars a week if they don’t get something done, so they got something done. Last year baseball and the players both knew they were going to wind up with about a 60 game season to avoid big losses with no fans, so they fought up until the last second they had before they wouldn’t have made 60 games, and then magically agreed on the number they were dealing with the whole time.
  5. Saying that Leury vs. Vaughn/Sheets isn’t a downgrade is also not saying much. Leury in RF was a key part of the game 2 loss. For a bad defensive team the goal should not be to tread water, it should be to improve. I don’t see an easy way out of this with a trade though. Maybe someone who has need of a bat and young pitching to move is willing to go after Vaughn, but it’s tough to figure out who would do that. Sheets and Burger won’t have much trade value, and the White Sox could really use a guy like Sheets at DH - cheap and powerful, able to Homer from that 6 or 7 spot in the lineup. Maybe a full offseason of work on defense will be enough to turn Vaughn into an upgraded RF? I will say I significantly underestimated his ability to handle LF last year.
  6. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    The White Sox have a habit of striking early if they have a target. Grandal was signed around Thanksgiving. This year that won’t happen, as noted above, until there is a CBA.
  7. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    Yes they have been asking too much. But they also only have 2 years of control left of this player before they have to pay him. Unless he explodes in performance this year, his trade value doesn’t go up at the deadline this year, it hovers for a while and goes down. Cesar had 1.5 years of control, a little more expensive than this guy, and he only got Pilkington. Plus, it’s a little tough to see them competing in that division the next 2 years. You may have noticed there are a few good teams in the NL west.
  8. Balta1701

    ALCS - BoSox / Ashoes

    Um, is Michael Brantley actually CGI? There was a weird 1980s special effect vintage green line around him in that at bat.
  9. Balta1701

    Nitengale: La Russa "definitely" returning to the Sox

    See, I’d just say we need to hit more home runs.
  10. Balta1701

    Nitengale: La Russa "definitely" returning to the Sox

    Does anyone know how to find the records of the entire league in games where no home run is hit? We see that stat for the Sox yearly but I have no context for it. I’m imagining many teams have that same issue of specifically losing on days where they ball stays in the ballpark.
  11. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    If the Rockies are basing a high price on his RBIs then there's not going to be much to talk about.
  12. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    He also appears to have only 2 years of control remaining, and his fWAR was significantly lower than Moncada's even if their rWAR's were similar, because a lot of his value seems to be coming from defense and I think the systems don't agree well on defense. This is also his first year in his career where he was worth over 1 fWAR. Gut instinct - he is a guy who could be gotten for a couple of pieces from our system, one of whom is a legit/top 15 piece, but he isn't a guy you're going to talk about unpacking Vaughn or Crochet or anything close to that. You might get away with something like one of the top 3-4 minor league starters + Foster, since the Rockies are always in need of pitching.
  13. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    At least historically, my impression was this was exactly what they tried to do up to 2016, almost every year, when they finally hit a wall.
  14. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    Isn’t “trading away the cost controlled guys” the setup they have used consistently the last 3 years? Narvaez, Walker, Dunning, Madrigal, Heuer, Pilkington? That’s sorta their MO.
  15. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    I think it can be done but I don't particularly like it. You lose Leury from the bench and replace him with Romy, you keep the same backup catchers, and the bullpen weakens some. Here's an interesting thing about Marcus. This year he'd have been a great fit for the White Sox as his splits were reversed and he beat up right handers. However, I don't see any other season like that in his career, normally he beats up lefties more than righties. A guy who beats up righties fills a need for the White Sox more than a guy who beats up lefties, we have several of those. Will his platoon splits stay reversed next year or will they revert to his career pattern? That's actually really important for answering this question, as a team can beat us in a short series by throwing several righties at us right now.
  16. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    Ok, got it. Baseball savant team stats. They were bottom 5 in launch angle in 2019, bottom 3 in 2020, bottom 10 in 2015-2018. While this is something to work on, it does predate Menechino and there’s no drop off with him starting. It does suggest that as a team, they don’t care about launch angles, across multiple coaching staffs.
  17. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    What was that like for them in 2019 and 2020?
  18. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    The Vaughn I saw was starting to figure things out against right handed pitching in June and July, but broke in August for what I believe was fatigue. IIRC he has a stretch where he was hitting close to .300 against righties for a month or two? There seemed to be a lot to build on there to my eyes. They definitely do have an overflow of players at those positions though. Until they have another option or an injury happens the current setup would seem to put Vaughn in RF, which isn’t ideal even if he gets spring training there to work. Conforto to RF and Vaughn to the DH spot is one option, but it’s quite a bit more expensive than Sheets at DH. Interested in other options if people have them.
  19. Balta1701

    Offseason Thread

    To a good extent though what they did during the season was effective. They were middle of the pack in strikeouts, 19th in home runs, but 7th in runs scored, 3rd in OBP, 10th in slugging. In the playoffs yes, hitting home runs is historically magnified, so there is work to do, but I don’t know that the answer is obvious. Getting Eloy on track might be the most important part that I can see. My money says that Vaughn, if here, shows substantially more power next year just from experience. I do want to see Robert hitting the ball in the air more, that’s fair.
  20. Balta1701

    ALCS - BoSox / Ashoes

    Yes. Decent chance it trends on Twitter this series. Almost certainly will if they reach the World Series.
  21. Balta1701

    ALCS - BoSox / Ashoes

    The Tomahawk chop happening during the World Series would look…icky.
  22. Someone here suggested that this whole thing was a strategy to drum up calls and interest in him before they actually had to decide on his option, and that would be a decent setup to me. I see this as a very difficult trade to find a partner for - you need to find a team wanting to shed their own overpaid player, where both guys are better fits with their new team, but without the White Sox including much money to go with. Make an effort to drive interest on that before you have to make a final decision?
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