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Greg Hibbard

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Posts posted by Greg Hibbard

  1. Ask yourself this question: how would a historically bad season cause the outcome you want?

    because I’m not sure that a 120 loss season affects Reinsdorf’s net worth or the franchise valuation that much, especially because the biggest dollars are from cable, not from ticket sales. Unless lots and lot of people stay away for years I’m not sure it does anything either way.

    that all being said I’m verging on full boycott mode (as I did for the Blackhawks from 1997 until the day Bill Wirtz died)

    • Like 2
  2. 3 hours ago, T R U said:

    Gavin Sheets sucks, but as its already been said hes not blocking anyone or preventing anything so let him ride his hot streak and then we can all complain about how much run hes getting as the #3 hitter based off a week long streak at the start of the season.

    I'm good with playing him for 400 PAs this season. I just don't want the Sox to make him into a starter. 

  3. Just now, southsider2k5 said:

    So you aren't even worried about Gavin Sheets is going to block someone now, you are worried about him blocking someone years down the road who we haven't even acquired yet?  All because he has had a decent start over 12 games?  Yeah that is the definition of unnecessary panic.

    Ok. I guess you know how I feel. 

    I’m worried that the White Sox are going to do what the White Sox frequently do with fringe players that get hot. Bet on the flimsy notion that the kid has “come into his own” and “grinderball” worked 

    • Like 1
  4. 21 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

    I am confused as to who is this 1B that a short term moderately successful Gavin Sheets has you afraid of blocking.

    I have to say that panicking about Gavin Sheets being good enough to block someone is a new level of Sox fan achievement I did not expect to see this year.

    I am not panicking about anything, that seems a strange way to put this. How could anyone panic about anything on this team? We have reached the literal bottom of our fandom. 

    I’m not afraid of blocking anyone on the current team. The first baseman of the future should be a quality proven MLB FA or a high draft pick.

    The point is that I don’t want some Jose Valentin type of situation where a replacement level player becomes this evergreen mainstay “heart of the team” for the next four seasons while scuffling to Dan Pasqua type numbers because he has a hot first half in one year.

    That’s a very White Sox thing to do, and I think you know it. 

    An even more White Sox thing would be Gavin Sheets and Andrew Vaughn becoming some sort of “Veets” 1B platoon that maxes out at a combined 28 HR and .805 OPS. 

    I’m saying Sheets hot streak - whatever it ends up being - can’t be for real. He will come back to earth for many reasons.

    Having a replacement level 1B might be passable if we had any power prospects at any position. In the White Sox’ case, we need a prototypical slugger on a team that struggles to score runs. Sheets ain’t and won’t ever be enough. 

  5. 10 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

    You say that like it would be a bad thing. That's more than we have ever gotten out of him.

    Medium term I think it’s potentially a terrible thing for this organization.

    Holding onto a Gavin Sheets that has a hot two months (which turns in something like a full season at .250/.310/.450/.760) past this season, especially if Andrew Vaughn goes busto, means that Gavin Sheets is potentially your idea of a First Baseman of the Future that You’re Building Around.
     

    That would be a disastrous notion. 

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  6. Lost rebuilding season? Check

    Desperate team looking for anyone to pin a positive story on? Check

    Fringe AAAA 1/2 tool player having an insanely hot streak that the White Sox will want to “move forward” with in their latest “off the scrap heap” love affair? Check mate 

    I would love to believe in this guy, but I just can’t. He’s too old, too slow, too left handed, too one dimensional. 

    Please Please Please let him come back to earth before the Kool Aid Man reaches the White Sox FO

    • Like 2
  7. So the most fun aspect of this season is that we are probably THE team this season that other fanbases will feel it is absolutely unacceptable to lose even one game of a series to.

    Every time we win a game, it will be fun to read other team’s boards and reddits and see people freaking out to losing to Gavin Sheets’ White Sox. 

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  8. 34 minutes ago, chitownsportsfan said:

    Eloy is only a 2 WAR player if he plays 200 games a year. He’s closer to 1 at the moment. He’s a bust imo. Sox failed to develop him at all with a position defensively.

    I don't want Eloy Jimenez anywhere near a field and haven't for three years.

    I want him DHing 140 games and hitting home runs.  

    • Thanks 1
  9. 7 minutes ago, Balta1701 said:

    I mean, did we get what we wanted out of the Quintana deal even remotely? A couple decent years of Cease and basically a bust in Eloy? But, even with that, had they not traded Cease don't they likely end up with 20+, and that's with 1 guy about to have his options turned down at the end of the year.

    Remotely seems like an exaggeration.

    I would argue that there's no way to evaluate that trade for the White Sox as anything except an A. 

    With respect to Jimenez, how can a 2 WAR a year MLB player with 33 homers per 162 be a "bust"? I feel like there's this tendency here to either view players as overwhelming successes or failures.  Jimenez is a very solid offensive player when healthy, and not a "bust". He's a starting caliber MLB player. There's also still a chance he becomes a 40 home run / year slugger. We don't need him to play defense, even if he disagrees. 

    If I recall correctly, nobody really projected Cease to be anywhere near as dominant as he became when he was traded to the White Sox. He far exceeded my expectations with his 2022 performance, and we just flipped him for four other prospects coming off of a very disappointing year.  

    • Like 1
  10. 16 minutes ago, Balta1701 said:

    Cease is probably going to put up ~7 over the next 2 years right? With a ceiling higher than that? Getting 15 out of these guys when we have added 22 years of control total seems a little low. If one guy is an all star caliber player then he's putting up 4-5 WAR in a year, if two guys are average starters they're putting up 2.5-3 rWAR per year.

    Are you just counting "Excess WAR" beyond what is paid for? If I'm counting total over their entire time with the White Sox I'd have to hope we could pull off 20+.

    I understand your point about control, but 20 seems like it would be a outsized haul. Consider that Cease and Jimenez haven't even put up 20 combined yet, and I think most consider that an A+ haul for the White Sox side of the Quintana deal, which offered more control to the Cubs.   

  11. 3 minutes ago, Balta1701 said:

    You're looking at lots of guys who are pretty far out in the future, which means that the White Sox have absorbed lots of risk in terms of development and injury coming back for a guy who has been an elite starter for at least a period in his career.

    Let's say either one guy who is really really good, like all-star level good at their position + a minor contributor (backup or a reliever), or two guys who are at least quality starting players for the team, around 27-28.

    so something like 15 rWAR total for these four players combined?

  12. It seems to me that the jury will be out on the return of this trade for at least two years. 

    what kind of production do we need to see from these four players for this trade to be viewed as an overall success?

     

  13. 1 hour ago, Quin said:

    Let me brush off my We Didn't Start The Fire keyboard. I'm going year-by-year down, so this will seem like a strange order.

    • Yoan Moncada - Below expectations, but an above average major leaguer when healthy
    • Lucas Giolito - Good
    • Michael Kopech - Failure
    • Reynaldo Lopez - Failure
    • Carson Fulmer - Failure
    • Zack Collins - Failure
    • Zack Burdi - Failure
    • Luis Basabe - Failure
    • Alec Hansen - Disastrous failure
    • Dane Dunning - Good
    • Spencer Adams - Failure
    • Micker Adolfo - Failure
    • Eloy Jimenez - Failure
    • Luis Robert - Good
    • Dylan Cease - Good
    • Blake Rutherford - Failure
    • Jake Burger - Good
    • Ian Clarkin - Failure
    • Luis Gonzalez - Failure
    • Nick Madrigal - Failure
    • Bryce Bush - Failure
    • DJ Gladney - Failure
    • Jonathan Stiever - Failure
    • Matthew Thompson - Failure
    • Andrew Dalquist - Failure
    • Jimmy Lambert - Failure
    • James Beard - Failure
    • Benyamin Bailey - Failure
    • James Beard - Failure
    • Codi Heuer - Good
    • Jared Kelly - TBD, but so far, failure
    • Yoelqui Cespedes - Failure
    • Norge Vera - TBD, but so far, failure
    • Seby Zavala - Good for what he was
    • Gavin Sheets - For what he is, good
    • Andrew Vaughn - 50/50, not looking good
    • Bryan Ramos - Looking positive
    • Lenyn Sosa - I like him, but others don't
    • Oscar Colas - Pedro hates him
    • Carlos Perez - Failure at this point due to defense
    • Jose Rodriguez - TBD, but if he were further along he'd be knocking on the 2B door
    • Colson Montgomery - May be the crown jewel
    • Wes Kath - Failure
    • Romy Gonzalez - Good
    • Sean Burke - TBD, not looking good

    At this point, it's not worth highlighting anymore because they're all TBDs.

    Obviously no one would have a 100% hit rate, but unless the prospect had otherwordly talent (Robert, Moncada, Cease, etc.) or drive (Burger), Getz did damn near nothing with them.

    I agree with a lot of what you say, but I don’t know that Reynaldo Lopez is a failure in the same sense that some of these others are. He contributed quite a bit especially in the last couple years. 

    • Like 2
  14. I liked TA, and I also like this move both for the White Sox and TA. The org needs to move away from him and he needs a fresh start. 

    I would love for people against this to explain to me the maximum value Tim Anderson (given his last two subpar seasons, his age, and his power outage) hitting well next season would net the White Sox in trade. 2024 is dead; there’s no way this team can win as constructed; so it’s not likely picking up his option helps us win a title. 

    TA’s max value is prospects, and not top prospects, IMO, so I think this proposition was either paying $14 million hoping to get two mid tier prospects that pan out to decent major leaguers in two years - with a decent chance that Tim is actually just done and you waste $14 million - or you’re going to keep $13 million of that $14 million and know you can spend that money better elsewhere this season and in the future. 
     

    seems like a no brainer to me

     

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  15. Even if TA has a good first half of next year, what is the market value for a 2 month rental of an over 30 proven clubhouse headache who is also a defensive liability with almost no power? You're not going to get anything of real value long term for him. Cut bait now. The only way picking up the option makes sense to me is if you wanted him around and could get a team-friendly long term contract out of him at a good future value for a good first half. 

    • Like 2
  16. Why is Sox marketing and FO so desperate to force feed us this idea of Andrew Vaughn as leader on and off the field lately? Every time I turn around I’m reading another headline about Vaughn being some kind of leader, or that the FO consulted him regarding a trade. Today Sox FB splashed a big quote from Dylan’s Cease about how he was player of the game. 

    His stat line, his WAR, his defensive value, his speed….look, I like Andrew and hope he improves… but he is an utterly unremarkable first baseman. 15-20 homers and an OPS in the mid 700s is not going to cut it at a position where you need big slugging and big OBA. If he is what this is, he is kind of a bust as a major league first baseman. 

    I say this in sharp contrast to Sox marketing of Luis Robert, who they aren’t really putting forth as a “leader”. Like it or not, Robert is the very best player on the field and they better start making him the centerpiece of what they’re moving forward with…he is coming into his own as one of the very best players in the game. 

    Anyone have any insight as to why the Sox are so in love with Andrew Vaughn? Again nice player, but consistently unremarkable in every category. 

     

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