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NorthSideSox72

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Everything posted by NorthSideSox72

  1. As we approach the season, FutureSox is making one more call for local correspondents at the White Sox affiliates. In particular, we are seeking locals for the following areas: NC I-85 corridor (to cover Charlotte and/or Kannapolis primarily, possibly also Winston-Salem) Great Falls or elsewhere around the PIoneer League cities (mostly MT, ID) Phoenix area (for Spring Training, AZL, and fall leagues) We already have people lined up for Birmingham and Winston-Salem, and one for the AZL but not the shoulder season leagues (and more coverage there is better). We have a local media person for Great Falls too, but he is employed in media already so he is limited in what he can do for us there. Our hope is to have dedicated people for every team if possible. Here is what we are looking for: in-person coverage to include one or more of written stories, interviews, video, photography, podcast appearances. Once on-boarded and established to make sure the trust is there, we will credential these people as media at those affiliates. Currently our writers are ALL volunteer, however we are aiming at making these paid roles as the year goes on (no guarantee of that yet). What we certainly can offer today is a platform that reaches a pretty large audience, being part of a media site with a strong reputation and a wonderful team of contributors. This is a hobby for most folks, but if you are interested in a future career in the field, note that FutureSox writers have gone on to roles with two Major League teams, Baseball Prospectus, Hardball Times, NBC Sports, Boras Corp and more over the years. If you are interested, or even just know someone who is, send an email to futuresox at gmail with any related background in media or sports (or something related) and why they would be interested in, and effective at, a correspondent role with FutureSox.
  2. NorthSideSox72

    2018-19 NCAA Basketball thread

    Win on the road at Oklahoma Lose at HOME to TCU Win on the road at #18 Kansas State Lose at HOME to BAYLOR This team is driving me batty. And usually, any good ISU team is nearly unbeatable at Hilton.
  3. NorthSideSox72

    2018-19 NCAA Basketball thread

    I wish I had posted it here, but I was telling another fellow ISU alumnus during the week, put money on ISU to beat a ranked KSU team on the road. After that TCU mess. It was just so predictable. Sure enough, boom. I guess they are still in the thick of it for the conference title with 6 to play. Along with 5 other teams.
  4. NorthSideSox72

    FS: 2019 is the Year of Seby Zavala

    For Mike Rankin's second article on FutureSox, he takes a look at the "next up" catchers in the organization with a focus on Seby Zavala as the likely next prospect to get a shot on the MLB club. Do you agree? Or do you think Collins gets there first? Do you agree with Collins and Zavala being together at AAA to start the year? Who will ultimately be the better player? Will Collins even stick at C?
  5. NorthSideSox72

    FS: 2019 is the Year of Seby Zavala

    Collins K-rates in 2017-2018: 27.4% in 2017, 29.8% in 2018 Zavala K-rates in 2017-2018: 23.9% in 2017, 25.9% in 2018 And Zavala had a wrist injury in 2018. 25% isn't a good number, but it's not worrisome in today's environment, where as pushing 30 is getting into that worrying territory. They are not dramatically different, but the difference is significant. I'm not personally a believer in BABIP at the minor league level given the defense, fields, etc. I just don't see it as an evaluative tool. And if you think his averages are inflated by BABIP, he's been in the pros now for 3.5 season (maybe more like 3 with a little missed time) and kept doing it, hitting .270 for his career. That's enough time for BABIP to even out quite a bit at any level. I have substantially more concern about Collins' hit tool than Zavala's, at least in terms of basic bat-to-ball. But Collins has more raw power and will obviously walk a lot more often too (though I think the walk rates will deteriorate some as he moves up if he doesn't start hitting more pitches).
  6. NorthSideSox72

    Amazon HQ2

    I have a very hard time believing that a THIRD of them changed residency. I am sure some did, but that number just seems unbelievable to me.
  7. NorthSideSox72

    Amazon HQ2

    This is key to what I was saying earlier. Even in NYC, you aren't hiring that many people right away, or even in a year. And any of the cities I listed have at least a handful of schools nearby with IT and/or business related disciplines, but more importantly, recent college grads move to new cities for THESE types of jobs all the time. You will have to import a lot of people, and have to spread the hiring over multiple years, no matter what.
  8. NorthSideSox72

    FS: 2019 is the Year of Seby Zavala

    I'm not sure Collins actually is a "much" better hitter. I agree his offensive ceiling, given his 60 or 65 power (Zavala being more like 55) and elite eye (Zavala's walk rates and K-rates are middle-of-the road), is definitely higher. But he's got substantial problems with the hit tool, and IMO a pretty low floor as a hitter. His swing has been under regular changes and sometimes has a problematic hitch, and he's not putting the ball in play enough yet to portend a good future in the majors. He needs more cooking.
  9. NorthSideSox72

    Amazon HQ2

    That's the downside (though I wasn't really meaning those specific cities beyond just being examples). But I also think, you can't practically put in that many people right away anyway, even in NYC. And people will move to some cities for good jobs (some cities more than others). I think Amazon ends up being forced to grow organically over time whether they want to or not, which takes away some of the advantage of a deeper pool in cities like New York. I just think, if I'm NYC or Chicago, having HQ2 is overall a good thing, but not enough that I would throw absurd benefits at it. Paraoxically I'd be more willing to throw more at it if I were a smaller, but still decent-sized (million-ish people) city.
  10. NorthSideSox72

    Amazon HQ2

    I always thought that HQ2 didn't make sense for a New York or other super-large city. It just doesn't move the needle enough, with all the incentives they have to throw at it. On the other hand, if this was for a city in like the just below to just above a million range for the metro - that's your Indianapolis, El Paso, Albuquerque, Memphis, Rochester, New Orleans range - it could be much better for all involved. Large enough to have a major airport and a decent population to draw at least some locals from, but small enough that it helps in a bigger way %-wise and sort of puts it "on the map" for other large businesses that add value beyond the direct stuff. Plus less worry there about traffic, housing price issues, etc. And for Amazon, everything there would be immensely cheaper.
  11. NorthSideSox72

    Speed pitch challenge at Grate Field

    From what I gather, it was not only cold, but they weren't on the mound and the ground was slick too. Add that to no warm-ups and mid-70's winning starts to make sense.
  12. NorthSideSox72

    2018-19 NCAA Basketball thread

    This ISU team plays really young. I mean they also are pretty young, but perhaps they play even more so due to a couple key guys being out in the early going.
  13. NorthSideSox72

    2018-19 NCAA Basketball thread

    Well that didn't work out so well. This team is frustrating. Just when they look like they should make a run at the top 10, they lose at HOME to TCU. And the game wasn't even all that close until near the end.
  14. NorthSideSox72

    Chicago Elections

    Yeah there is really no winning there. Best case you make things slightly less bad, and still get hammered over it. Preckwinkle is an interesting example of this. Not that she's been spectacular for Cook County, but she has made things better financially and did it without massive tax hikes. That is a small win, but even that is difficult to achieve with what she was given. I know people will likely take this opportunity to scoff at her, and I'm not really a fan either, but small wins are about the best we can expect at this point.
  15. NorthSideSox72

    Speed pitch challenge at Grate Field

    Just 73 to win? I mean I am sure I couldn't hit that now (haven't been able to throw that hard since my 20's), and I get there are no warm-ups. Just surprised there weren't people higher than that from a group as big as I assume this was.
  16. NorthSideSox72

    Tax Refunds

    That would seem to be ideal - have loans go out as interbank rate plus the very small default risk component, which usually will make it right around inflation-neutral. Student Loans have a relatively low default rate in part because they are almost impossible to clear in a bankruptcy - they stick.
  17. NorthSideSox72

    Tax Refunds

    I'll try to get this back on the tracks... For us, we had expensive Day Care / Preschool bills, until they started Kindergarten at public school. So what worked really nicely was, as soon as that fell off for each kid, we immediately put a chunk of that each month into a 529 instead. Still got to save some bucks, because the 529 amount was much less than the school was. And we never missed it that way. I am not sure why, but the interest rates on my wife's student loans (finished PhD in 2004) were only like 2%. And after we paid on time for like 2 years straight, it went down to 1.75%. On in inflationary basis that was like free money. Never re-financed, it just came that way. Was through Great Lakes Credit Union, then the debt was bought by Nelnet.
  18. NorthSideSox72

    Prospects I'm Following

    I mean, I'm on just about all of them, haha. That said, my biggest focus is on the guys who were injured: Kopech (though he won't pitch, more on rehab), Robert, Madrigal, Dunning, Adolfo, Hansen, Burdi, Burger, Walker, Zavala, Lambert, McClure, Puckett... I mean that's an insanely long list of guys who dealt with injuries in 2018. How they recover is huge for the system. And I'll put my stake now on a couple sleeper guys, like deep sleepers: Ty Greene and Amado Nunez.
  19. NorthSideSox72

    Tax Refunds

    I mean let's be honest, NO ONE reads the full text of the laws, including the people who vote on it in Congress.
  20. NorthSideSox72

    Tax Refunds

    From what I understand, the main reason many people are seeing much lower refunds is not because they paid less taxes during the year (though that is true for many or most), but because the tax law went into effect so late in the game that the projection models used to advise on auto-deductions by employers didn't have a chance to be very accurate. They misfired.
  21. NorthSideSox72

    2018-19 NCAA Basketball thread

    I agree. Number one is the best. I would argue that. I did look up both Sagarin and KenPom the other day and saw them in the 12-14 range on both. Yet AP still had them like 17 or 19 at the time. Anyway, this is a high ceiling team that could, if they keep a hot hand, make a deep run in March.
  22. NorthSideSox72

    2018-19 NCAA Basketball thread

    I've been very impressed with the recruiting. Again, I admit i am not a deep expert in this stuff and I've only watched a handful of the games this year, but... I was worried after the last of Hoiberg's recruits were leaving and ISU was falling back, that there just wouldn't be much of a bounceback. Clearly I was wrong. There's a lot of talent on this team and a lot of it is in the underclassmen, which is encouraging too.
  23. NorthSideSox72

    2018-19 NCAA Basketball thread

    Looking at the remaining schedules for the teams in the mix, if I had to put down money on one team, I'd buy ISU. But its messy enough I'd take The Field if that were an option. Clones are hitting a stride which is great, but they are still so young and inconsistent. Fun season so far though.
  24. NorthSideSox72

    PECOTA: 70-92

    Maybe I wasn't clear what I meant. I am not say 70 wins is right or wrong - in fact I think it's close. It's that by nature, any statistically-based system to evaluate a player or a team if that team is heavily populated with players having minimal MLB time is just not going to work well. It just can't know what it needs to know, good or bad, when it comes to players on that cusp. And this team will be loaded with guys on the cusp.
  25. Our Ken takes a look at five outfield prospects in the White Sox system who are all crammed into the 7 to 15 range of the Top 30. Includes ranks by not just our own but other services too, and talks about ceilings/floors and trajectories. How would you rank the five?
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