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caulfield12

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caulfield12 last won the day on May 9

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About caulfield12

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  1. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    50% of each contribution, up to a maximum of $2,800 ($5,000), to be designated toward DJTFP’s 2020 general election account for general election debt retirement until such debt is retired. 50% of each contribution, up to a maximum of $2,800 ($5,000), to be designated toward DJTFP’s Recount Account. Any amount that exceeds the applicable contribution limit for 2020 general election debt retirement, including any amounts donated to DJTFP after such debt has been retired, will be designated in full toward DJFTP’s Recount Account, up to a maximum of $2,800 ($5,000). I've read where this number has shifted from 50% (general election debt retirement) to somewhere in the vicinity of 60-75% over the last week. Of course, the danger here is that he's taking money away from the two GA run-off races. Reverend Warnock appears to have a much better shot to win than Ossoff against Perdue, fwiw. That would mean 49-51 with Romney/Mnuchin as possible swing votes. https://currently.att.yahoo.com/att/georgia-senate-race-reminds-republicans-154714822.html Warnock's campaign, unlike that of many Democrats in recent years, hasn't shied away from religious appeals to voters and making the election about moral reality. This even applies to the issues that Democrats are most often averse to discuss through a religious frame. "I'm a pro-choice pastor, and I believe that a hospital room is way too small for a woman, her doctor, and the United States government," Warnock tweeted recently. He's also pledged to support the Equality Act, which would amend existing civil rights law -- including the Civil Rights Act of 1964 championed by King -- to explicitly include sexual orientation and gender identity as protected characteristics. Warnock isn't alone. Many progressives today are rooting their political appeals in their religious convictions at levels that haven't been seen since King and the Civil Rights Movement. "The Squad" in the House of Representatives have all embraced religious appeals. Religion News Service even described them as "the new version of the God Squad." Earlier this year, New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gave a passionate defense of LGBTQ rights rooted in her faith during a congressional hearing: "I feel as though if Christ himself walked through these doors and said what he said thousands of years ago, that we should love our neighbor and our enemy, that we should welcome the stranger, fight for the least of us ... he would be maligned as a radical and rejected from these doors."
  2. caulfield12

    COVID-19/Coronavirus thread

    What doesn't make sense is that if he really wanted to win in 2024, why wouldn't Trump do everything possible to get Emergency Use Authorization for the Moderna vaccine (and Pfizer, too) and start getting it distributed at the end of November? I can see stalling or not doing anything on the stimulus, that's typical politics of not wanting to help someone of the opposite party coming into office (we haven't seen an incumbent lose since Bush in 1992.) Instead of throwing a tantrum, Trump could at least make an argument that reopening the economy and betting on a vaccine was the optimal choice, and the timeline they've achieved (public/private partnerships without the WHO/China) would have beaten all but the most optimistic timelines from back in March/April/May about how long it would take to get a product out on the market and mass distributed. He's obviously STILL going to spend the next four years trying to take credit for the vaccine, no matter how things would out ultimately with Covid-19 and the total death count, as well as the speculated-upon number of deaths that could have been avoided had he not thrown a child-like fit for the past 2+ weeks now. 1,956 deaths in the US yesterday 1,658 the day before
  3. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    Even so, the JPMorgan strategist laid out several developments that could cast doubt on that outcome, including that one or more states submit competing slates of electors. Those competing slates would then be resolved January 6 by the new Congress through rules spelled out in the Electoral Count Act of 1887. "The nightmare scenario for markets," according to Cembalest, would be if Senate Republicans declare the ECA unconstitutional, flip three states in Trump's favor to give him the required 270 electoral votes and Democrats refuse to participate. "All of which sets up the prospect of dueling inaugurations," Cembalest wrote, noting that this outcome was only "narrowly averted" in 1876. Another risk laid out by Cembalest is if Barr directs investigators to "seize or impound election records" to probe for voter fraud, slowing down the process. https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/18/business/stock-market-election-trump-jpmorgan/index.html
  4. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    Now comes my own failure, and the failure of the people with labels just like me. I am a Bible-believing Christian minister, I am blue collar, and I have been a committed member of the working-class poor most of my life. Many of my people support Trump and will continue in four years to support the next Trump type if the Democratic Party doesn't start changing its approach. By the way, the Trump type is here to stay. Trump brought in more votes than any other Republican ever — the Republicans aren't just going to wash their hands of him now. That's just a pipe dream of the left. The true path to defeating Trumpism forever lies within the blue-collar, working-class poor of this country. If I had any political network besides a bunch of package handlers at FedEx I would start a new political party called the Blue Collar Party, the leaders of which would only be front-line workers around this great country. The laborers, the line workers, the waitresses, the janitors, the shovel holders and anyone else suffering from holding up this country. These people understand this country more than any reporter, politician or entertainer with a voice and a big salary ever could. The best part of that blue-collar fight is that it empowers all races, since class doesn't have a color. Naturally enough, providing upward mobility to the working-class poor will predominantly bring hope to many people of color and will potentially show a new sense of unity that could break down some of the barriers between races. I have worked side by side with the working-class poor who love Trump, and I promise you there is hope in reaching them. Hell, Obama reached them a little, and Bernie Sanders did more so. Even Bill Clinton did, but for the most part they feel forgotten by the Democratic Party. In spite of all this, the liberal media simply wants to explain away half the country as racist, sexist and ignorant voters. God forbid the vote they gave for Trump had a genuine purpose. I admit it may have been a flawed purpose but it's one that needs to be addressed before the country completely loses sight of itself. https://www.yahoo.com/now/understanding-trump-voters-heres-why-110001165.html Along with continuing to battle for and chipping away at some of the religious centrists/moderates, this idea makes a lot of sense. Doing it is another matter altogether. Cheri Bustos, who had a REALLY difficult time defending her NW Illinois district from a challenge and Klobuchar (like her message more than her personally) and Buttigieg are all in the right "territory" but it has to be an emotional call like a Reagan or Trump...it can't be confused for technocratic, McKinsey & Co. consulting reports in terms of socioeconomic arguments. It requires emotion and charisma.
  5. caulfield12

    COVID-19/Coronavirus thread

    There’s going to be enough material for Bob Woodward to write another full book at this rate. Maybe the strategy is to let Covid run free so as to discourage an attack against the US when Defense, CIA, FBI top leadership is fired or crippled? Of course, that would require the admin having any “strategic” plan other than retiring campaign debt until January 20th. Operation OAN is already up and running, it seems.
  6. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    Wisconsin Republicans caught apparently encouraging voter fraud in Pennsylvania Ballots received by that point without postmarks, or with illegible postmarks, will be considered to have been mailed in time 'unless a preponderance of the evidence demonstrates that it was mailed after Election Day,'" the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports, adding that "in Pennsylvania, postage is prepaid on some ballot envelopes. These prepaid envelopes are not automatically postmarked." The idea appeared to be to slip votes through by the Friday deadline in order to swing margins in the state back in Trump's favor, although Ben Geffen, an attorney at the Public Interest Law Center in Philadelphia, mused to The Daily Beast, "I wonder if they’re doing this in hopes of slipping one through and then waving it around as an example of the flawed process." Either way, experts agreed the plan was exceedingly dumb. "This seems deeply stupid as it seems to be a solicitation to commit voter fraud," Richard Hasen, an elections law specialist, told the Journal Sentinel. "It's hard to believe this is real." https://www.yahoo.com/news/wisconsin-republicans-caught-apparently-encouraging-141226986.html
  7. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    Fine, Az/Phoenix/Maricopa...Nevada is LV/Clark and Reno. GA spread over 7000, PA nearing 30,000 and could end up at 75-100,000 with provisionals. Nevada also trending in the right direction...everywhere but AZ. It would be hard to set foot in any US state, since I haven’t been able to leave Wuhan since August, 2019.
  8. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    Nevada down to around 30k, started day at 47k....but only one more significant Maricopa dump of another 85,000 coming in tomorrow. One from tonight was 38k Trump, 31k Biden.
  9. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    https://wgntv.com/news/coronavirus/north-dakota-legislature-candidate-who-died-of-covid-19-wins-election/ Fitting for 2020...
  10. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    PA at 18,000 lead for Trump with 97% reporting... but it’s all over if AZ, NV and GA hold up.
  11. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    From eand.co comments section, I thought this was one of the better opinions shared...I know, TLDR Now for what we did wrong, but first I acknowledge that some of you won’t agree with my assessment and that’s okay, my opinion may stink like everyone else’s, but I hope that at least you will be open minded enough to consider it and be self-reflective enough to consider a different path forward, out of the divisiveness, based on at least some of what I’m bringing up. It started with the fact that we couldn’t accept he won four years ago. Rather than look at many of the legitimate reasons for his victory, we ascribed nefarious and negative reasons for it; Russian Collusion, Sexism, Illegitimacy of winning just by virtue of Electoral College win, his Lies, uneducated/deplorable white males, etc.... We never acknowledged that people had the right to choose him as a leader regardless of how distasteful he was to the rest of us. Many people denigrated half of our country for 4 years calling them stupid, uncaring, racist, sexist, etc, worse yet, that attitude was amplified by almost every large Traditional and Social Media source — A LOT, on most days, incessantly, for FOUR YEARS. regardless of whether or not we agree with much of what was said, we BROWBEAT HALF of our FELLOW COUNTRYMEN... I’m certain most of you know that there are MUCH better ways of attracting more flies (bees?) than with vinegar. We had a 4 year tantrum and we should now be able to see how much good that did us. Consider now how much LESS trusted traditional media outlets are. Many people now have retreated to a place where what we read serves to only feed our confirmation bias, and there is NO universally trusted source of information. Ask yourself what may have been the public’s reaction if traditional Media had simply covered trump’s ridiculous tweets by simply putting them on screen for more exposure, and perhaps having a trusted non-partisan scientist, or legal authority, or former govt official to dispute any factual inaccuracies (with perhaps a second opinion as well), injecting as little “commentary” as possible. What if these large Media conglomerates didn’t keep fostering the division themselves, because they were beside themselves because their side lost, or perhaps because they faced having so many of their favorite political contacts/sources thrown out of positions of authority, making their job harder ? Or do you think their commentary and coverage was the way it was simply because it generated so much viewership ? In any case, no one who voted for trump wanted to experience 4 years of sour grapes, four years of constant berating, four years of being told they were just BAD people. Not to mention how much other news we never saw in deference to the onslaught of trump. Let’s be INTROSPECTIVE here, so we can learn and grow, and also so we can look with out hypocrisy towards what may come next... First, let’s not expect because our guy won that simply things will improve. The tone was set last time, and I’m assuming that a certain portion of HIS side will do the same thing that they felt was done to them for 4 years, minus a significant amount of traditional media’s opinion. Let’s be understanding and graceful in victory in a way we weren’t in defeat, even if they are just as petulant as we were. Let’s address issues that may have drawn them to him on which we can find common ground (I will endeavor to write about a few issues, soon, where I think both sides can be satisfied where previously people assumed we were at loggerheads)... Let’s stop making overly generalized, negative assumptions about our Friends, Neighbors, Family, and other Countrymen, simply based on who they voted for. Let’s stay away from words that make others assume things about what our intentions are before we have a chance to explain ourselves. We start off many conversations with buzzwords and labels that throw up barriers between us; it gets us no where. Are you talking with people to “beat” them with an argument, or are you hoping to educate them and offer a perspective that may get them to re-examine their own thoughts ? The way we’ve been trying to do things for the last 4 years has not resulted in the winning of hearts and minds with better ideas, it’s been a street fight, And I fear if we don’t do better it will get bloodier..."
  12. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    Arguably, Rep. Clyburn in SC played kingmaker twice, Obama over HRClinton and then "pragmatically" rejecting Sanders for Biden.
  13. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    Henry Wallace from Iowa, FDR's VP. Other than that, the closest would be Paul Wellstone or maybe LaFollette from Wisconsin a century ago. Hearst was more populist than socialist. Or the AFL-CIO leaders in the 50s 60s 70s.
  14. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    Can anyone imagine Sanders turning Texas? His main argument was that younge Hispanics were turning out for him, but the sympathetic Castro comments would have crushed him in Florida.
  15. caulfield12

    2020 Election Thoughts

    Conor Lamb already rallied back in that area of PA...seems like a foregone conclusion Biden will eventually win there.
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