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caulfield12

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Everything posted by caulfield12

  1. caulfield12

    MLB 2021-2 off season thread

    Sure, but it does put more pressure on the Sox to clear him quickly when this flurry of moves eventually takes place...as they will be more unlikely to add a larger contract like Conforto with Kimbrel still occupying that 2022 payroll space.
  2. caulfield12

    Carlos Rodon and a 6-man Sox rotation?

    Right...in the postseason, TOR starters largely reign, or at least guys like McCullers. What works in the regular season inexorably falls apart without Glasgow. It's the cheapest, most coat efficient way for that particular market, of course. It's also not so much fun for fans, comparable to excessive shifting.
  3. caulfield12

    Carlos Rodon and a 6-man Sox rotation?

    Let’s get through another full season before confirming that as a universal phenomenon…most teams still don’t follow the Rays’ path, and they have suffered a number of very high profile pitching injuries as well. Glasnow, McKay, Honeywell, etc.
  4. caulfield12

    Where could Kimbrel be traded, and for what?

    That might be a more balanced trade if you consider that Glasnow was likely to miss all of 2022 while adding to payroll…
  5. Only for trade partners/speculation…not Madrigal/Heuer commentary. LAD K. Jansen off the books, but he could also return for much less than $20 million 2021 salary, could go with a Knebel/Melancon type and save a lot SD Melancon will decline affordable option and hit market coming off overachieving season, Padres are near luxury tax threshold, need to dump Myers, Hosmer, Frazier/Kim/Profar Cardinals might not be 100% set with Gallegos, also saw “good” version of Kimbrel firsthand in 2021, but not the first franchise you think of spending that money on a closer…new manager will have a big say in decision LAA depends on QO situation and keeping Iglesias happy with multi-year deal better than “bargain” $9,125,000 deal this year…top closer on the market if he leaves, would be looking at 3/$39-45 realistically. Milwaukee could throw a wrench in the White Sox plans by putting Hader on the market…they certainly wouldn’t want to take on Kimbrel’s salary. Kimbrel for Narvaez reunion, haha? Minnesota….but they won’t spend like that unless they lock up Buxton and go for it next year, highly unlikely due to budget/payroll Cincy had Iglesias and didn’t want to pay him big money in the first place, or Wade Miley for that matter. Unlikely. Joe Kelly is a pitcher who also is going to draw considerable interest as a potential closer. Kendall Graveman will draw interest as well. Teams unlikely to be looking. Sea, Cle, Philly, Atl, KC, SFG, Toronto, Houston, NYM https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/early-2022-fantasy-baseball-relief-pitcher-rankings-top-20-shows-that-bankable-closers-are-in-short-supply/
  6. Something just doesn’t sit well reading the board’s tenor this morning about being close to lowered luxury/competitive balance tax numbers. How was Hahn ACTUALLY planning to fit Machado or Harper into the future Sox payroll three years ago? Exchanging Wheeler for Keuchel, more or less, is pretty obvious. But what did we actually do with that money…where was/is “it will be spent”? Hendriks and now Kimbrel, those two are obvious, we could have gone much cheaper there, and have historically at the closer’s spot. Keeping McCann instead of bringing in Grandal. So that leaves an alternative reality of let’s say McCann and Wheeler instead of Keuchel and Grandal as the offset. You can argue which is better. So it really comes down to spending that on closers versus one superstar in Machado or Harper, take your pick. Because with all the extensions for our young core pieces becoming increasingly expensive as we move closer to 2023-24, we’re to the point where they’re capped out (at $175-180 million) for all intents and purposes. And Fathom will be annoyed, but where does the money for Giolito and Anderson extensions come from? Trade Moncada down the line, maybe? If the plan is simply waiting to eventually shed Abreu, Keuchel, Kimbrel, Grandal and Hendriks from the payroll, what are the future solutions at all those positions beyond our 1B/DH depth? Of course, that still leaves only Vaughn, Sheets, Burger and Crochet as trade bait to fill RF and additional SP depth, assuming Leury gets another 120+ games again now moving forward. Obviously, shedding Kimbrel will help mitigate this sudden financial pressure, at least somewhat, but certainly not if it commits us to spending $20 million at 2B in Segura/Gregorious/Leury. Plus we still have to replace the Heuer/Tepera spot. It’s hard not to argue that Kimbrel is the main culprit, but it still really comes down to buying Hendriks at peak instead of spending another $10 million per season on a Harper or Machado…what am I missing here?
  7. caulfield12

    Where could Kimbrel be traded, and for what?

    He’s got a much more extensive record of performance than, let’s say, Cesar Hernandez. If they want to dump him, the Sox should be quite interested. Plus, the AL Central isn’t nearly as competitive as the AL East. Solves the Conforto lineup balancing quandary without the 4-6 year commitment.
  8. caulfield12

    You have $30m to complete the roster...

    Invest that $30 million in SoxTalk SPAC and eventual take to market via IPO…everyone can be millionaires like BuzzFeed. Or to create the best analytics department in baseball, one that is the envy of all.
  9. caulfield12

    2022 Offseason Plan Thread

    No way in H.E. double hockey sticks LL
  10. caulfield12

    Carlos Rodon and a 6-man Sox rotation?

    Or post-season...the Rays' downfall.
  11. caulfield12

    5 year anniversary of the start of the rebuild

    He's now essentially on a four year, $79 million contract. The odds of an MVP for either Yoan or Buxton are approximately equal, as are their risk/reward scenarios financially. You could even argue Buxton financially has more of an incentive with those Top Ten MVP vote escalators built into his deal. Both top overall prospects in the game at similar career crossroads in terms of putting together one full totally dominant season. Moncada's 2019 is the closest...but then Covid and new baseballs.
  12. caulfield12

    MLB 2021-2 off season thread

    It means we better not sign a cheap starter at under $6 million and expect a repeat of 2021 Rodon and Lynn…as they were paid a total of $11.5 million for a whopping 9.1 fWAR. It was an occurrence that’s usually only once or twice a decade with the White Sox, that a FA or acquired pitcher puts up those kind of numbers.
  13. caulfield12

    The Second Base Options (as it stands)

    I guess he was pretty much the bottom of the barrel, due to his availability to the rest of MLB...and despite having a really decent fWAR one of those years. Maybe a case of misleading numbers, where the player doesn't equal the sum of all those parts in the clubhouse. Hasn't had a bWAR over 2+ since 2016 with the Brewers. Five different teams over the last five seasons. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jonathan-villar/10071/stats?position=2B/SS Interestingly, Fangraphs had him at 3.9 fWAR (0.0 bWAR) after playing with Baltimore in 2019, they still didn't protect him on the roster. 2.1fWAR for 2021 with the Mets. Negative defensive ratings for 4 years in a row. Getting older.
  14. caulfield12

    Where could Kimbrel be traded, and for what?

    They're really going to trust Suzuki as a starter but not Gallo, based on what?
  15. caulfield12

    Now that Sox have totally wet the bed

    Yuck. Another $7-9 million on this bullpen, would make it far and away the most expensive in MLB. And you are unlikely to get a repeat out of Tepera, but you're buying high on him, too.
  16. caulfield12

    2021 College Football

    They had seven shots inside the five in that quarter and couldn't score. Guess that was the high point of the Iowa effort against Michigan...oh, well.
  17. caulfield12

    2021 College Football

    Whatever they do, Georgia shouldn’t be able to play Alabama again until they at least win a playoff game first. Right now, it might be Michigan/GA and then Alabama/Cincy. From a competitiveness standpoint, though, Cincy/MI and UGA/Bama would be more compelling semi finals, I guess. Then again, Bama might overlook Cincy. Unlikely, but possible. OkState and OU definitely didn’t belong anywhere near the playoff. Notre Dame might/should be able to hang with Cincy or Michigan.
  18. caulfield12

    2021 College Football

    Looking like yet another title for Bama. Yawn.
  19. caulfield12

    The Second Base Options (as it stands)

    Not sure how 1.4-1.6 fWARs the last two seasons are much of an upgrade. At best, you’re even with Madrigal’s projected production. Just at a much higher price point. If they’re going this route, would almost rather bet on Andrelton Simmons returning to a 5 fWAR player at age 32 after three consecutive disappointing seasons…where he could just concentrate on defense and have no pressure to do anything but hit 9th. That’s still not likely to beat Madrigal, either.
  20. caulfield12

    Carlos Rodon and a 6-man Sox rotation?

    He’s referring to Rodon…
  21. caulfield12

    2022 Offseason Plan Thread

    His rookie season was very solid before he hit a wall like Beckham, it was his second year that was much less so…
  22. caulfield12

    Welcome to the MLB work stoppage

    They won’t cross the picket lines if they are legit prospects…
  23. caulfield12

    Welcome to the MLB work stoppage

    Rodon earned a lot more than $3 million last year…same with Lynn’s deal, although duly rewarded with a nice extension. McCann before the Mets paid him off.
  24. caulfield12

    Welcome to the MLB work stoppage

    Major League Baseball’s first lockout in 26 years is already off to a weird start — players aren’t officially listed on any team site, just faceless mugshots where smiling faces should be. The only question remaining is how long the lockout will last. Negotiations are ongoing. I turned to our stellar MLB writers to gauge the temperature: Levi Weaver, Rangers: Feb. 1 Jake Kaplan, Astros: Feb. 10 Dan Connolly, Orioles: Feb. 14 Chris Strauss, MLB managing editor: Feb. 14 Tim Britton, Mets: Feb. 16 Jayson Stark, senior writer: Feb. 23 Nick Groke, Rockies: March 1 Andy McCullough, senior writer: May 15 (“I'm laughing to myself, thinking about how bad Twitter will be if it lasts until May 15. Put me down for that. It won't last until May 15.”) Consensus average: Nobody believes in some pre-January breakthrough. February it is. I’ll enter the fray and say this gets done quickly: Pencil me in for Jan. 20. Feel free to reply to this email with your prediction and, if you get it right, we’ll figure out a fun prize. theathletic.com
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