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danman31

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Everything posted by danman31

  1. danman31

    When will Luis Robert be promoted again?

    His injury is exactly why you don't play the service time game with pitchers. Injuries happen so you want to get them when they are ready.
  2. danman31

    5/30 Games

    If he replicates those numbers in the majors, everyone is thrilled. The worry is that he struggles to maintain those numbers as he moves up the levels. You want to see some level of domination because it obviously gets harder as you move up.
  3. danman31

    5/27 Games

    His walk rate is only OK and ideally you'd like to see the batting average/on-base higher if he's not going to hit for power. I'm not saying he's been doing poorly, just that I want to see more before any rush to promote him.
  4. danman31

    5/27 Games

    I wouldn't expect him to struggle in the same way many of the other prospects have, but it's still a level up for a guy who has only been OK in High-A. Outside of his extremely low strikeout rate, there's nothing about his High-A performance that screams it's time for a promotion.
  5. danman31

    5/27 Games

    I'm not sure I would want him in AA until at least the midseason all-star break down there. Even then, I want sustained success. The concept of rushing him I think goes away when you're seeing the clear weaknesses in his offensive game. Moving him to AA, where he's likely to struggle out of the gate, isn't the best environment for him to make adjustments to his swing and approach. I wonder if he will end up like Whit Merrifield as a bit of a late bloomer because of his approach.
  6. danman31

    5/18 Games

    Heck of a concept
  7. danman31

    5/18 Games

    Both guys have walked way too many in AA. Hansen more than Burdi. The strikeout stuff is there, but they will have to improve their command. I feel like both guys are so fragile right now.
  8. danman31

    5/16 Games

    Oh yeah, I had a hard time understanding that previous post ha. It looks like service time will dictate when Robert comes up more than anything else. I'm honestly starting to believe he will end up being a more valuable player than Eloy too. Solid defender, plus speed. He will be valuable to the team without destroying the ball. Eloy is a much more well-rounded hitter, but Robert is a much more well-rounded player. Very cool to have both.
  9. danman31

    5/16 Games

    I know the Eloy situation was frustrating from a patience perspective, but there's no way Robert would be able to reach that level. Eloy entered 2018 with 18 games at a .956 OPS in AA under his belt. Robert didn't reach AA until May of this year. Even if he mashes in Birmingham, they're probably going to give him at least two months there. That would mean he would have only two months left in the season in AAA. There's nothing outrageous about having a guy spend two months at a level. Honestly, September is a reasonable best-case scenario target if the White Sox don't want play the service time game.
  10. danman31

    5/13 Games

    I watched his start on milb.tv today so I have no idea on velo. Nothing is straight. Has a bit of a leg hitch in his delivery that seemed to fool hitters. He pounded the zone, mostly kept the ball low. He made some hitters look really bad in the first 3-4 innings and then appeared to tire in the last few. He got behind more batters, got fewer whiffs and was giving up more solid contact towards the end. His curve has good movement. I could see him being a solid lefty reliever. He just got promoted to AA so I don't know that the Sox will be in a hurry to move him again, but I would like to see him try his stuff in a hitters' environment in AAA just to see if there's anything there.
  11. danman31

    5/13 Games

    I assume this is sarcasm, but I'll respond anyway. People were complaining about him striking out too much (and to some extent that he wasn't walking much) when he was destroying the ball for Winston-Salem. His approach seems to have changed based on early numbers in Birmingham. He has more walks with Birmingham (5) than he had in about twice as many PA with W-S (4). His K rate is much lower (16.3% vs. 23.8%) in AA. We're obviously dealing with a small sample size, but it's a good sign that he is improving in some ways while the other numbers aren't coming as easily as they did in A ball. I understand looking at box scores everyday and getting caught up in a small slump and noticing batting average because it's visible in every box. Madrigal I get worried about, but Robert will be a good player. Maybe he has a shot to be a great one, too.
  12. danman31

    5/13 Games

    Robert's home run was an eight-pitch at-bat and his last AB he took one to the track in left field. He will be fine.
  13. danman31

    5/11 Games

    Bryce Bush has an OPS over 1.000 since April 22. If he sustains anything like that for two more months, he's probably a top 10 prospect in the system for me. That also might be an indictment on how the 8-20 group has performed so far this season.
  14. danman31

    Keith Law Mock 1.0

    Without writing them out side-by-side, more or less similar. Frank had a better freshman year, Vaughn had a better sophomore year. Frank's junior year is currently a tick ahead.
  15. danman31

    Keith Law Mock 1.0

    I get the reservations on Vaughn due to position, but saying a guy who has only ever raked has to continue raking to be valuable is fine. His hitting profile is impeccable. Obviously, I'd prefer to have Rutschman, but that would be wild if he falls to 3. The bottom line is, as long as the White Sox don't go off the consensus board they're getting a stud prospect at 3. And in all likelihood, someone with a higher upside than Madrigal on top of that.
  16. danman31

    Hansen to Birmingham

    I think regardless of any of that, he was just too dominant for High-A. Yeah, he still had a high walk rate, but he struck out nearly half the batters he faced and gave up one hit. The batters weren't challenging him. I understand you want a low stress environment for him to work on throwing strikes and repeating his delivery, but there is a limit to that given the numbers he was putting up.
  17. danman31

    5/3 Games

    Considering the horrid start and that he is 19 in Low-A, I'd take an OPS over .700 at the end of the year. He also had an interesting postgame interview tonight. "I struggled in the beginning of the season. I couldn't see very well. I got my vision back. I'm seeing the ball very good right now." I'm not sure if this was literally what he meant, or he meant in the baseball sense, but "I couldn't see very well. I got my vision back" is interesting. If it was something as simple as that, maybe that start was an aberration. Either way, I'm calling his play a big win so far this season.
  18. danman31

    5/2 Games

    There are people who still like bunting? Huh
  19. May need to bump the OBP projection if he hits .300. Madrigal has been walking more lately. He's at 9 in 98 PA, which still isn't elite, but is notable improvement in that area. His contact rate remains insanely good and it's still just the first month of his first full pro season. He's not polished, but he is showing a profile of a productive player with further improvement. That's every prospect in the minors, otherwise they'd be in the majors or wouldn't be considered a prospect.
  20. I noticed that, too, but he is on a roll and showing discipline during his hitting streak.
  21. danman31

    4/24 Games

    He's not exactly killing it, but he's definitely playing much better the last week or so. Maybe they can get away with letting him play through it.
  22. danman31

    04.22.19 Games

    I have the same thought, but what if he ends up being the White Sox version of an impact reliever? A guy who is put into high-leverage situations with overwhelming stuff when he's on. Yeah, we'd rather have him be successful as a starter (and the SP depth has taken some blows recently), but I'd take Hansen as a stud reliever right now. Sign me up
  23. danman31

    04.22.19 Games

    Getting a quick look at Kanny via Milb.tv... Man it's no secret why some of the younger guys are struggling. No cheap swings. Bush went for the fences on every swing in his first AB. He showed *some* patience, but was very aggressive when he swung.
  24. I can't argue with any of this, but I think what you're saying has little to do with your original point. They signed five high school picks (Lency Delgado, Cabera Weaver, Kelvin Maldonado, Gabriel Ortiz, Bryce Bush) last year. Delgado was a fourth-rounder. Bush appears to be a notable late-rounder overslot signing. Is that the progress you're looking for? That's more to your point than what they've done with first-rounders the last several years, and I still say they've been fairly successful.
  25. I don't think I got that out of the interview. I think the explanation as to why they were drafting a certain way is concerning, but it seems clear that he was saying they're going away from that. This predates Hostetler being in charge, but Courtney Hawkins was far from a sure thing. Tim Anderson the same. One of those was a colossal bust, the other is an emerging MLB player. Even looking at second rounders, Keenyn Walker and Keon Barnum were raw/upside players that didn't come from three years of college. People were complaining that the team was just drafting athletes and not baseball players. Then they draft Madrigal and you have a (hopefully different) crowd complaining that Madrigal is a low-upside guy. You can bash the organization for the first-round picks of Royce Ring, Lance Broadway, Kyle McCulloch and Aaron Poreda, but those picks are all over a decade ago. At some point, you have to separate that bias and look at what we've seen more recently. As far as first-rounders go, they've done fairly well since Anderson in 13. Anderson and Rodon are solid big leaguers. The book is still out on the rest, but the only one that looks unlikely to at least make it to the majors is Burger and that's just due to injury.
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