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About Buehrlesque

  • Rank
    Winston-Salem (High A)
  • Birthday 05/24/1982

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  • Location
    Chicago, IL

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  • Favorite Sox Minor League Affiliate
    Birmingham Barons (AA)
  • What do you like about Soxtalk?
    Love good Sox/baseball discussions
  • Favorite Sox player
  • Favorite Sox minor leaguer
  • Favorite Sox moment
  • Favorite Former Sox Player
  1. Buehrlesque

    Kopech will have a chance to win a rotation spot next spring

    QUOTE (flavum @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 12:30 PM) If that's the case, then I also change my mind on Jimenez. They may get these guys to Chicago faster as long as they feel they can handle the inevitable ups and downs. QUOTE (CaliSoxFanViaSWside @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 01:13 PM) Anyone else get the impression the Sox might want to not tank next year ? I read a lot of Sox stuff and that's the impression I am getting. Yes. That's what I've thought all along, the Sox do not seem likely to tank in 2018, and they aim to compete in 2019. I don't think Kopech will break camp with the big league club, that's ridiculous, but I do think both he and Eloy will be up next year (and for good) before September.
  2. Buehrlesque

    AFL Rosters Announced

    QUOTE (Sockin @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 02:06 PM) Sox players going: Pitchers: Dylan Covey, Jace Fry, Matt Foster, Connor Walsh Catchers: Seby Zavala Infielders: Danny Mendick Outfielders: Tito Polo http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/events/afl/club.jsp?team_id=454 Personally, I like it. I don't think the Sox' top tier guys need the AFL time as much as these bubble and/or injury guys do.
  3. Buehrlesque

    Who has best farm system: ATL or Sox?

    QUOTE (Jerksticks @ Aug 11, 2017 -> 02:47 PM) Super quality thinking post here Mr Buehrle. Maybe overall talent under 25 yrs old? Overall talent under 1000 ABs? Yeah! Something like either of those would work. Or something that gives less weight to a recently graduated prospect, so he still factors into the ranking but not as heavily as players in the minors. QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 11, 2017 -> 03:28 PM) Prospects are quite literally defined by rookie status. If you don't have rookie status anymore, you aren't a prospect anymore. When comparing for the #1 system, losing the #1 prospect to the majors can effect that status. I just don't like the binary nature of today you are a "prospect" but after your next at bat tomorrow you are not. In the end, it's all just meaningless labels I guess.
  4. Buehrlesque

    Who has best farm system: ATL or Sox?

    QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 11, 2017 -> 01:40 PM) FWIW, Moncada should be graduating just about any day now. Not a big deal, but does it irk anyone else that the day a prospect "graduates," they are worth zero in these kinds of rankings? I get that they have become major leaguers, and that lists like this are just a snapshot in time, but I would love some kind of system that uses weights of some kind so players could still factor in in some form. It's not like a guy like Moncada is a prospect with X major league at bats and not a prospect with X+1 major league at bats. It'd be cool if there was room for scale or gradient.
  5. Buehrlesque

    What is Blake Rutherford's upside?

    I get that power is important for a likely corner OF, but with all the power of Jimenez, Moncada, Burger and Sheets, et. al. in the system, I would rather Rutheford turn into a high average/OBP guy with middling power than a low average/OBP guy with a significant amount of homeruns. Basically, I hope his power develops, but I also hope he doesn't "sell out" his approach for dingers.
  6. Buehrlesque

    Jake Peter is mashing so far for Charlotte...

    I've always been a part of the (somewhat small) Jake Peter fan club, but he's obviously blocked at 2B. Does anybody know anything about his glove at SS? I would think if he was good enough, he'd already be playing there regularly. He's been playing 2B exclusively, but could he be a capable SS or utility guy?
  7. Buehrlesque

    Will Eloy Jimenez get to AA this year?

    QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jul 27, 2017 -> 02:12 PM) If you aren't able to win 90 games, you really aren't competing. An 83 win team isn't competitive in my eyes. That is an average team. Realistically we would need a ton to go right to be able to see even that .500ish team by 2019. Even the Cubs weren't above .500 until the fourth season after hitting bottom. That would put us at 2020 or even 2021 if next year is worse than this year. The Cubs not only burnt the ground down, but they were also going out and signing free agents during that span to start to build the roster. At this stage the White Sox are still burning down the house. 2018 is going to be a terrible team. IMO even with the prospects coming in, it is going to be closer to 2003 Tigers than .500. These kids will need time. I get the prospect sheets look great now, but I think a lot of people are WAY too optimistic in their hopes for these kids as a whole, and have to realize that a lot of prospect flat out fail, and for every Kris Bryant that hits from his first day in the majors, there are a lot more guys like Avi Garcia and Kyle Shwarber who spend seasons struggling as well as guys like Tim Anderson whose development is up and down. Already this year we have seen steps back from guys like Giolito, Fulmer, Anderson, and Collins. This could be blips in the road, or it could be the tip of the iceberg for them. It is a statistical certainty that some will bust. Who and how many? Well that is the fun part. I agree with more of what you say here, except a team the ends up with 83 wins is competing, and I think the Sox can do that by 2019. (Not saying they will, but they can.) That's not the ceiling of the organization's plans, like it was for most of the past decade, which is a welcome change. They will theoretically and hopefully only get better as a team on the rise. I think, by 2019, it will be more fun than people think.
  8. Buehrlesque

    Will Eloy Jimenez get to AA this year?

    QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jul 27, 2017 -> 01:21 PM) Unless you believe that almost all of these kids are going to come up in 2018 and 2019 and all have instant success, there is zero chance of these team being good in the next two years. You have to understand that a percentage of these kids will flat out flop, as well as having others who take the Avi Garcia route of needing 2-3 years to realize their potential. Especially since a large portion of these talent is currently in the low minor leagues with 2017 being a month from being over in the minors. I think the tide is going to turn significantly faster than you do. But in any event, there is simply no defending the statement "this team has no chance at competing until next decade." That is categorically false. This team absolutely has a non-zero chance to compete. "Competing" does not equal "prohibitive Word Series favorites." Are they likely to win 90+ games in 2019? Probably not. But there is more than enough young talent making its way to Chicago by the end of next year to construct a slightly-above-.500 team if enough goes their way. And guess what, that constitutes competing in the two-Wildcard era. Obviously, the ultimate goal is a juggernaut team in the early '20s, but I don't know why you would 100% dismiss the idea that nothing will happen sooner. Sometimes I think people are so used to the "all-in/win-or-bust with patchwork veterans" Sox underacheiving and imploding that they don't realize how easy it is to be in a playoff race until late in the season these days, especially in the two-Wildcard era.
  9. Buehrlesque

    Will Eloy Jimenez get to AA this year?

    QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jul 27, 2017 -> 01:03 PM) If he hits like that, he still has AAA to go through. There is zero need to rush this kid, especially because this team has no chance at competing until next decade anyway. Why start his clock early? This is plain old untrue.
  10. Buehrlesque

    Will Eloy Jimenez get to AA this year?

    QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jul 27, 2017 -> 10:47 AM) The simple post is WHY? Look at our 2018 roster, and tell me why he needs to spend any time on it. That is going to be a mid 50's wins horrible team. With where he is now, let him finish in A ball, and start in Birmingham next year. He has already moved once to come to the Sox, no need to have him move again for a month in Birmingham. If he destroys Birmingham, bump him up to Charlotte after the All Star Break and let him finish there. The absolutely soonest we should look at him in Chicago is after the Super 2 deadline in 2019. There is no good reason with the roster construction we currently have to rush the guy up here. Zero. Well, time will tell. Things move fast for hitters like Jimenez. No point in arguing over it, but pin this thread and come back to it 13 months from now, and I think Jimenez will be getting ready to make his major league debut.
  11. Buehrlesque

    Will Eloy Jimenez get to AA this year?

    QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Jul 27, 2017 -> 08:42 AM) I don't really agree with any of this. A lot will change in a year's time. If Jimenez dominates AA to end this year and start next year, he'll get to AAA sometime next summer. I'll be surprised if he's not a Sept. call up next year.
  12. Buehrlesque

    Will Eloy Jimenez get to AA this year?

    QUOTE (ChiSox_Sonix @ Jul 27, 2017 -> 08:18 AM) No way. If he gets sent for a cup of coffee in AA this year (which I think he will) and then to the AFL and performs, he'll begin next year in Birmingham. If he is cruising along in June/July there is no reason he can't be called straight up from AA. True, it doesn't happen as often with hitters, but it does sometimes happen. I'm not saying it's the more likely outcome, but it is not at all unreasonable to think he's in Chicago mid-year next year or as a September call-up If he gets to Birmingham in a few weeks, he would definitely be on track for (at least) a cup of coffee in the bigs a year from now, and I would say it is the most likely outcome. It would actually be a disappointment if he didn't, because it would mean something went wrong or he got hurt.
  13. Buehrlesque

    How do you rate the rebuild so far?

    QUOTE (Two-Gun Pete @ Jul 20, 2017 -> 11:24 PM) I don't mean to bury TA, but lets put to rest this idea that his gift of a contract extension was anything at all like the previous extensions offered to others in the past: Prior to his extension, Sale pitched ~300 IP over 2 1/2 seasons in The Show. Prior to that, he was a 1st round pick, before which he pitched 3 years on a scholarship in D1. Prior to his extension, Quintana pitched ~300 IP over 2 seasons in The Show. Prior to that, he pitched for 8 seasons in MiLB. Prior to his extension, Eaton had had ~900 PA over 1 full season here, & 2 cups of coffee in AZ. Prior to that, he'd played 5 seasons in MiLB; prior to that, he played 3 seasons on scholarship in D1. By contrast, Tim Anderson was gifted financial independence after a measly 99 or so games, & 55 AAA games. He wasn't even on scholarship when he went to juco, & he'd only played 2 years in HS. On balance, he hadn't done enough to CONCLUSIVELY prove that he EARNED the contract; he was GIVEN it. So, when someone wants I conflate the gift to Anderson with the contracts that Sale, Q, & Eaton EARNED, I have to roll my eyes. Don't get me wrong, as a Sox fan, I want TA to become a star. But his contract extension was premature at best, & ill-advised, at worst. I agree that TA didn't "earn" the extension, but that doesn't make it a bad move. The Sox are (hopefully) going to have a lot of young, pre-arb talent coming up in the next couple of years. The more they can sign to these kinds of extensions, the better. Plus, as a bit of a silver lining, Anderson's struggles may help justify other players signing these kinds of deals and locking in some money. They can't all be ultra team-friendly homeruns. If everyone who signed an extension like this outplayed their salary, why would any player ever do it again?
  14. Buehrlesque

    Future Lineup and rotation idea's

    QUOTE (Scoots @ Jul 21, 2017 -> 04:32 AM) So, short-term thinking, what does the rotation realistically look like for 2018? You'd have to think Giolito is going to get his shot at his first full major league stint, regardless how bad he is at AAA this season. Lopez is probably there. Rodon obviously. Who else? I dont think Dunning will be up at the start of the season. Shields and Holland will be gone, (thank goodness), so who mans the other 2 spots? Another couple rentals?? Or are we trying our luck with Holmberg again? If Stephens or Adams gets a chance to make some AAA starts next month, they wouldn't be out of the running for a rotation spot in 2018. I'll go with Rodon Lopez Shields Giolito Scrap heap veteran to start the year, then Stephens Fulmer and Danish in the pen.
  15. Buehrlesque

    Renteria is a horrible in-game manager

    QUOTE (harkness @ Jul 20, 2017 -> 11:19 PM) just some data for people about bunting (some have read similar things, but I'm sure not everyone has) "Sacrifice bunting is giving the defense a free out. Free. No work, no need to make quality pitches. According to ESPN Stats and Info, the sacrifice bunt results in an out just over 96% of the time in major league baseball. According to a 2011 study of high school baseball in Texas, an attempted sacrifice bunt resulted in an out 83% of the time. This out is just about the most sure thing you can give. Attempted sac bunts in the bigs also result in the lead runner being throw out 17% of the time and a double play being turned 8% of the time. It is understood that the out is granted in the situation and an understood part of a sacrifice, but let’s look at other methods of getting to second if you insist on playing for one run. From 2000-2014, base stealers in MLB were successful 72.3% of the time. The success rate is loftier at the high school level (not including the increased likelihood of a wild pitch or passed ball at the amateur level). Would you rather have a 73% chance of having a runner at second with no outs or an 83% chance of having a runner at second with one out? The answer seems obvious. Just how important is it to get that man to second anyway? According to Dan Levitt of baseballanalysts.com, using a study that gathered information over 15 years of professional baseball, the expected run table for an inning sets at .877 in situations where there is a runner at first with no outs. However, if you decide to bunt the runner over, your expected run table for the inning drops to .693 with a runner on second and one out. In essence, you are voluntarily killing your own rally. In addition to the expected run table, basic percentages say that the sac bunt is the wrong play. According to Baseball Prospectus, you have a 24.4 percent better chance of scoring a runner from first with no outs than you have of scoring a runner from second with one out. 24.4 percent! Swing away. In addition, in situations with two base runners, teams stand a 10.4% better chance at scoring one run with runners on first and second with no outs than they do with runners on second and third with one out." This is everything right here! This needs to be printed out on paper.... no, chiseled into rock... and put in every office, dugout, scoreboard and locker room at the stadium.