QUOTE (danman31 @ Jul 9, 2011 -> 07:27 PM)
Frankly, I don't see all the recent optimism around Flowers. He's hitting .255 with 84 K in 220 AB in AAA. Yeah, he walks and has power, but that contact rate should put him barely above Adam Dunn's territory right now.
He has an OPS around .890 in AAA at a position that currently has miserable hitting depth league-wide. What's average production this year in the MLB at that position? .700 OPS?
Yes, he still strikes out far too often, and it is a legitimate question just how far his production will far off unless he cuts down on those strikeouts at least a bit (and whether he could even keep up this level of production at AAA). But the good news: he is playing catcher. Being a successful hitting catcher is a pretty low threshold.
Not saying they should pencil him in as the future starter. But I am definitely interested to see how he can do going forward, both at the AAA and the major league levels.
Also, while strikeouts are a part of Dunn's problems, by far the bigger issue is his lack of power: .164 ISO, infield fly % that has shot up, HR/FB rate that is half his career rate all point toward weak hitting even when he makes contact (as everyone can tell just by watching him). Not trying to start a debate about Dunn, but the point is: Flowers can strike out 35% of the time and still hit a lot better than Dunn this year. Like I said, skepticism is warranted, but so, I think, is optimism (or at least interest) given his solid production this year and the production by catchers in general in the majors.