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About CyAcosta41

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    Birmingham Barons (AA)
  1. CyAcosta41

    FS: Absolutely Go Into The Light

    Great insights. And Julie ... for realzzzz ... great writing!!!! I humor myself to think that I know just a little about GREAT writing.
  2. CyAcosta41

    Draft Day Poll: Who is your guy at #4?

    Evaluating talent is of course always subjective, but I do think that if you wind-up with the fourth pick in the entire draft, you can't be so fearful of "failing" and not hitting on it" that you go overly safe. I can't see using that pick on anyone that doesn't have the ceiling of "special." BPA at the 1-4 level almost certainly requires that. Now, perhaps the brain trust believes Singer can be special. Not sure I see that. Not at all. At the major league level, he seems to be an "intangibles" guy with nothing special on the "stuff" front. That's okay. Every team needs such guys. And every team has them -- on their 40 and throughout their system. Hoping for a little more with this draft. I think you can make a case for a "special" ceiling for each of Madrigal, Bohm, and Bart. Perhaps even Kelenic. Grab Singer, Phils. Don't tempt the brain trust. Please. Now, if Mize drops, then there is a decision because easy to see that he's a great college pitcher with the definite chance of a special career as a pro.
  3. CyAcosta41

    2018 MLB Draft

    And we'll know the answer soon, folks! Like many of you -- love this time of year. This draft is particularly important given the rebuild. It's a shame that this is one of those years with limited or no "super talents" at the top. Personally, I think Mize is without question the only definite superior talent on the board. You can pick 10-20 other names and make a case for a future outstanding career, but all come with projection concerns. If I'm the Sox, I go into the draft with this board: Mize -- unlikely that he falls, but strangers things have happened Madrigal / Bohm -- whichever is available, if both, then Madrigal If all three of the above are taken, then best available physical talent with the chance of being an impact big leaguer (I'd consider Kelenic, Swaggerty, India, and even Gorman -- I'm not on the Singer train because that style of player is ubiquitous and we have a good track record of either developing them or finding them elsewhere). And then, later in the draft -- PREP players over and over again, balancing out the system for the longer-term. Going to first Sox game of the year on Saturday. '83 Road Jerseys. Joked with a friend before I bought the tickets prior to the beginning of the year, I knew that somehow I'd get a Shields start. Reflection on how tough this year has been is that it turns out that 2018 Shields is my very best chance to see a Sox win. Who would have thunk that?
  4. I've never been one to talk about trolling or otherwise ascribe bizarro world motivations, but you can't be serious, Greg. Or, perhaps you are serious, but self-described "baseball aficionado (at times)," or not, you don't have a particularly in-depth understanding of the great game of baseball. As far as that looking like a catcher thing ... the vast majority of catchers have been big, burly, beefy guys. They were called backstops and functioned as backstops. Sure, you can cherry-pick a few exceptions to the rule, but they are exceptions. And that's all the time I have for this, because, in the end, who cares what a solid player "looks like." Jose Altuve looks like a little leaguer, but I'd take him on my team in a heartbeat. The more fundamental problem with your recurring TA to catcher comments is that it shows no understanding about the training involved in catching and the mentality of those who catch. Emergency catchers aside, virtually everyone who catches at any advanced level of baseball has caught every day of their baseball playing life and wants to do nothing more in life than catch. These dudes are warriors. They live for catching. Not only are they involved in every single play on the field, they have to develop a rapport with the entire pitching staff, many of whom are nearly out-of-their-mind, all the while taking a physical beating like few others in sport. They are in every respect the on-field captain and they are the only player on the field who plays in the right direction -- all other players face backward! Tim Anderson is a gifted athlete who no doubt COULD catch (and learn a lot about in an off season), but the pounding of catching absolutely destroys bodies and damages hitting, running, and so forth. Why would you do that to Tim? And why is this even being discussed?
  5. Love that we're targeting and (finally) getting some potential position player studs like Moncada, Jiminez, and, evidently, Rutherford. These types don't come cheap in today's game. That has to be factored into analyzing this trade. The Sox simply need as much top level talent as they can amass -- hence $50M on Robert, hence taking quality over more 10-15 types in this deal. Haven't seen it mentioned, but I read the Clippard take as helping the Yank-mes with cash, but also, it has a Clippard return to the Nats trade written all over it. So maybe we're really talking a Nats 10-20 guy instead!
  6. CyAcosta41

    Bobby Parnell to the Sox

    Prioritizing sensible development plans of the potentially valuable arms of the future is what matters the next couple of years. So, good pick-up for our "now." That said, this particular move is so quintessentially White Sox. So KW. He always gets his man. All those overhyped Mets pitching prospects of 2005-2010? Humber, Pelfrey, Parnell. The Sox won't quit until we get 'em all!
  7. CyAcosta41

    White Sox Winner!

    QUOTE (Rowand44 @ Apr 16, 2017 -> 05:37 PM) Kinda sucks that Holland, Shields and Robertson are going to steal Cy Young votes from each other. That does suck. But Sale is going to win it anyway. You know -- East Coast media bias.
  8. CyAcosta41

    Teams have upped their offers in Q derby in the last week

    QUOTE (Baron @ Jan 18, 2017 -> 06:19 PM) Has nothing to do with Christmas or getting the prospects ASAP. For me it's about overplaying his hand and having the other teams call your bluff that I'm worried about. You're not alone -- others have mentioned worrying about Rick overplaying his hand. I don't get the concern. At least I don't get it quite yet. It's 18-January; we've got roughly 75 days until the Sox open up on 3-April. Other than rumor, speculation, and possibly team spread leaks, we've got exactly zero hard evidence of who has offered what. But what we know for a certainty is that Q is currently the top available arm by far -- durable, consistent, professional, and by all of the generally accepted metrics a top 10-20 starter for the past four years in ALL OF BASEBALL. If that wasn't enough, he's under control for four years on an absolutely killer contract that provides near unheard of surplus value. Why the concern that Rick is OVERplaying his hand (when it's only 18-January)? Why not give the 2016/2017 version of Rick Hahn ... the dude who has shown his bona fides this year ... the guy who is clearly having an MVP offseason ... the benefit of the doubt? For the time being, why not assume that Rick Hahn is simply PLAYING his hand (not overplaying it ... playing it intelligently and with skill)? For the moment and arguably through the end of spring training, the Sox have ALL the leverage. Given what has transpired thus far this offseason, why take the risk of leaving "money on the table" by accepting the best deal now when the best deal later can very well be superior. I understand some concerns of a long-term hold and an overall shift in leverage when other top pitchers are available, but it sure looks like through 3-April there is one top dog, and we've got him. At worse, some close variation of deals that are available now will still be available on the last day of spring training (or the first day of spring training, take your pick). But Rick has no idea whether another 30-75 days of waiting will ratchet up the pressure on at least one potential trade partner such that they lap the field. I think he's playing his cards masterfully!
  9. CyAcosta41

    Teams have upped their offers in Q derby in the last week

    QUOTE (bmags @ Jan 18, 2017 -> 02:00 PM) Arguing on a message board is always healthy. Touche. I don't disagree. There is a difference between arguing (sparring, jousting, call it what you will) and true worrying. My post was intended for those unfortunate few who are truly "worrying."
  10. CyAcosta41

    Teams have upped their offers in Q derby in the last week

    Fellow Sox fans! Ladies and Gentlemen! Relax. Take that chill pill. Just checked the calendar. Yep. It's still 18-January. Seems to me that most of the sparring here breaks down into people falling into two major factions -- (1) those who want Ranger Rick to be strong, studly, and resolute, bringing home mega value for this hugely valuable trade chip, no matter how long it takes; and (2) those who also want max value of course, but who for one reason or another have this nagging feeling that Hahn is being unrealistic and overplaying his hand (despite absolutely zero hard evidence that support this nagging feeling) and therefore he's going to botch this golden opportunity. I don't believe that there is really anyone here advocating trade for trade's sake; instead, I think those getting that tag are simply the most conservative sub-faction of Faction #2. What do we actually know today? Just one thing -- Hahn is almost certainly willing to trade Jose Quintana if he likes the deal. That's it. Everything else -- EVERYTHING -- is simply rumor and supposition (including rumor and supposition almost certainly leaked/planted by the actors involved in our little drama). Thing is ... the reason it pays for everyone to relax ... because it's 18-January, and whether you fall into Faction #1 or Faction #2, all hard evidence should make you feel comfortable. If you fall into Faction #1, then it's 18-January, there is infinitely more pressure on the potential purchasers than on us, and all signs point to Rick being strong (as he was in both the Sale and Eaton deals), demanding the proper quid pro quo for his supremely valuable trade chip. If you fall into Faction #2, then it's still 18-January, the season opens Sunday, 2-April (Sox open at home on Monday, 3-April), and there are roughly 75 days left before the season opens, 75 days where the pressure ratchets up on the prospective purchasers, and NOT at all on us, with Rick being able to consummate a pre-season deal at the time of his choosing that allays all of your nagging feelings (sure, weirdness can happen and Jose's arm can fall off pitching in the World Games, but Q's track record demonstrates that's a risk worth taking). Seems to me that it's healthier to worry about things when it's time to worry. We're far away from the time to worry on 18-January!
  11. CyAcosta41

    Teams have upped their offers in Q derby in the last week

    QUOTE (iamshack @ Jan 17, 2017 -> 09:58 PM) I hate to break it to you, but that is not how a market works. Jose Quintana is not a fungible good or a widget. He is not a barrel of oil or a bail of hay or a megawatt of electricity or a british thermal unit of natural gas. He is a unique and rare asset and sometimes such assets require time to find the right buyer. Such an asset necessarily is expensive and thus the number of buyers is lower than less expensive assets. There is no rush here. There is only impatience. You go, Shack! I've been tempted to say almost exactly this over and over again the past few weeks, but never got around to it. Perhaps a different analogy may persuade some of the naysayers. Let's talk real estate. So many starters are little more than interchangeable houses in a cookie-cutter subdivision -- there are always plenty available in any given market, many buyers looking at most of them, and comps that any realtor can produce that ultimately demonstrate a narrow range of offer and acceptance pricing. Jose Quintana ain't no subdivision. He's custom-built, all the upgrades, built-to-last, and sitting on a premium lot with a one-of-a-kind view. There is little in the way of true comps and a deal is ultimately struck when the buyer who must have that particular house ultimately ponies up enough so that the current owner is willing to let it go. Back to baseball -- depending on the metrics you choose to emphasize, Q is a top 10-20 starter in ALL OF BASEBALL, he's likely a surer bet for 200 IP with outstanding traditional and advanced metric numbers as anyone, he's seemingly a pitching machine with as little risk of injury as anyone, and he's locked up for another 4 years under a contract that provides the kind of surplus value that happens a couple of times a decade! Perhaps Rick won't get the Sale or Eaton deal, but he's looking to get darned close to that. And he should. No way do we sell the Q with a view dream home without getting back a couple of top prospects who we are going to feel real good about (I'm talking Meadows/Keller ... or Frazier/Mateo/Rutherford). If posters don't accept that Jose Quintana is EASILY the best starter available this offseason, then we're not talking the same language. For once, we're holding the cards. You play it hard; you play it strong; you extract maximum value. Rick Hahn has had a masterful offseason to date -- a strong Sale deal, followed by a near brilliant Eaton deal. I see it as a good sign that our own posters are getting antsy. There's a good chance the same is happening with many of our potential trading partners, whether the known suspects like the Astros, Pirates, Yanks, Braves, and Rangers, or with some other potential partners who are feigning disinterest, but are ready to swoop in at the last minute to avoid bidding against themselves (I'm thinking Rockies, Dodgers, and maybe even Red Sox / Nats here). It's only the middle of January. Why in the world should be worrying NOW that Hahn is "overplaying" his hand and needs to ratchet down his demands? Why in the world would he do that now? Instead, it's exactly the time where a frustrated potential partner may have his Tom Cruise in Risky Business moment -- sometimes, you just gotta say "what the f*ck," and maybe we have a third great deal in this offseason. If we're May/June and Q is still here and we start hearing about teams starting to auction off TOR-type pitchers to the 2017 crop of contenders, then hit me with all of the Hahn overplayed his hand arguments. But we're a long way from then. In fact, for the next couple of weeks we're arguably exactly at the time when our suddenly astute (or perhaps, suddenly "freed") GM can generate max value. Can I quote you? There is no rush here. There is only impatience. You are spot-on!
  12. CyAcosta41

    The FutureSox Podcast is back! New and improved!

    Brian, Rob ... Outstanding, guys. Substantively, the two of you delivered the goods -- lots of well-researched material, keen insights, and informed speculation. Serious listening for serious fans. As entertainment, professional, polished, and entertaining. Wayne's World is a great comedy, but I don't want that as part of a podcast in my areas of interest. Nothing of the sort with this one. Thanks for your efforts, hard-work, professionalism, and expertise. I listened via the Pocket Casts app (highly recommended) and I'll be checking in for new episodes as they become available. Now let's kick the Yankees, Pirates, and Rockies into action so we can have Quintana trade talk on the next podcast!
  13. CyAcosta41

    Quintana Rumors: Round and round and round we go

    QUOTE (iamshack @ Dec 26, 2016 -> 04:38 PM) No, no, no. For an increasing number of folks, reading your posts is an absolute pleasure. Please error on the long-winded side of the fence, if ever in any doubt. Reading here is a guilty pleasure, but I usually prefer to hear voices other than mine. And then there's that darn "lacking time" problem. The long-windedness is often explained by the famous Twain quote: "I apologize for the length of this letter. If I had MORE time it would have been SHORTER." Back to Hahn and Q, I'm very confident that Hahn will get a deal done for Q that is in the same general ballpark with the Sale an Eaton deals. If you're going to tear it down and build it back up, it's imperative that you get the funding (a considerable quantity of high-quality prospects that accounts for the inevitable busts) to give that build-up a fighting chance. Love hearing about ceilings for one prospect or another, but, please, assigning WAR to a ceiling and then acting as if that number compares one-to-one with a known consistently excellent big leaguer's number? Voodoo economics there. I'm particularly excited with the chance of using Robertson and Jones intelligently through the ASB and getting strong value for them at the deadline. I'm sure within the nerve center, they've discussed doing that and filling their roles late season with some combination of Fuller, Burdi, and, just maybe, Kopech. Let those young guys start for the first 3 months, then limit their innings by bringing them up for relief roles here, but getting the benefit of learning at the big team level. Won't be a great W/L year for the Sox, but it won't be lacking in interest. Not at all.
  14. CyAcosta41

    Quintana Rumors: Round and round and round we go

    QUOTE (iamshack @ Dec 26, 2016 -> 04:24 PM) I disagree. I understand your point, but we are still the one moving the established piece. While the increased understanding of the value of prospects has made blue chippers more difficult to acquire than ever, I think our demands are reasonable. We can't come out slightly ahead or even IF things work out in the best way possible. We need to come out WELL AHEAD if things break in the best way possible - because the odds are that they won't. I don't understand why the Sale deal is so incredibly lopsided in our favor. Sure, show me up ... make my points in far fewer words!
  15. CyAcosta41

    Quintana Rumors: Round and round and round we go

    QUOTE (Con te Giolito @ Dec 26, 2016 -> 04:07 PM) Its worth taking a bit less of a price than TOTAL FLEECING and just dealing Quintana now to avoid being burned by the ever-present threats (even in the case of Mr Consistent himself) of ineffectiveness or injury. Could you imagine if Q busts his shoulder in May for a terrible Sox team and getting basically nothing in return for him? This isn't an argument to give him away, but it is an argument to be a little more flexible on the asking price. Agree to disagree here. First, I don't buy the premise that Hahn fleeced Rizzo (that got a lot of play from our biased buddies out East) or, to a lesser extent, Dombrowski. Instead, Hahn showed admirable discipline, valued some incredibly valuable assets appropriately, and didn't chase. Create something akin to an auction and somebody will pay the reasonable, albeit stiff, price. Hahn wasn't trading stiffs; he was trading star or near star current big leaguers with near unheard of $/control/WAR analytics. Just because many in the industry have become prospect over-huggers, doesn't mean that Hahn shouldn't extract reasonable value from teams with surplus to trade for Hahn's surplus to trade back in return. With Q, keep fighting the good fight, Rick. Someone will pay an appropriately reasonable price for that incredible top 20 starter (at least) pitcher otherwise known as Q. Don't chase. Don't telegraph. Don't be KW. And absolutely absurd to even entertain the notion that Qs contract is a negative for the Pirates. It's an absolute -- Q's contract is valuable for ANY team. Just because Huntington and gang boxed themselves into a corner by coming for Q before dealing McCutcheon (and I'm not sure that's honest anyway -- it's also a likely ploy to back the Sox off of a Meadows demand) and signing the immortal Daniel Hudson and Ivan (the not terrible, but not so great) Nova, doesn't mean the Sox need to cut the Pirates a special break. Or any break. Q's outrageous value is in part related to his fantastic contract. If the Pirates can't pay for that, then the Pirates don't play. It really isn't that complicated. I recognize that Hahn can overplay his strong hand, but I think we're far, far from that point in December 2016.