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Eminor3rd

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About Eminor3rd

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    Male
  • Location
    Allentown, PA

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  • Favorite Sox Minor League Affiliate
    Charlotte Knights (AAA)

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  1. Eminor3rd

    2018 White Sox catch-all thread

    You seem to think you know a lot more about the business of professional baseball than you actually know.
  2. Eminor3rd

    MLB Pipeline Updated Top 100

    Yeah, that's true. A lot of it might be that they just aren't willing to go out on a limb for guys like some of the smaller publications do. Like everyone knows three or four guys that Law or Longenhagen or whatever are super high on compared to consensus.
  3. Eminor3rd

    MLB Pipeline Updated Top 100

    Mayo/Callis are consistently 6-12 months behind the rest of the industry. It's baffling that MLBAM hasn't managed to get better guys to run what should be the most legit source of coverage we have.
  4. Eminor3rd

    Mas Garcias return, Thompson DFA, Rondon to Charlotte

    Oh, ha. Full spit-take moment stopped us all in our tracks lol
  5. Eminor3rd

    Mas Garcias return, Thompson DFA, Rondon to Charlotte

    lol Palka CF, Engel DH?
  6. Eminor3rd

    Astros interested in Abreu?

    This is a common misunderstanding of the framework, but it's false. While FIP is useful because it tends to be more predictive of its own future than ERA, FIP is NOT a predictive model. It is a descriptive statistic whose purpose is to strip the effects of defense and batted ball luck from measures of run prevention. To go deeper: The "flaw" that exists in FIP is that it is not a complete descriptor of what has happened that has resulted in a run. Essentially, it assumes the pitcher has nothing to do with the quality or nature of contact as long as it isn't a homerun. Literally no one, not even the creators of the statistic, think that it is correct to assume that the pitcher has no effect on the quality or nature of non-homerun contact -- the statistic assumes it because no one has found a way to factor it in and produce useful, stable results. The "flaw" in ERA is that while it's a complete description, it's a purposely inaccurate one. Essentially, it assumes the pitcher takes ALL the credit or blame for what happens to balls in play, except in the case of an official error. Quality of defense, batted ball luck, weather, etc. are all charged to the pitcher. Literally no one, not even the creators of the statistic, that that is correct to assume the pitcher should be credited with everything that happens on the field -- the statistic assumes it because to do otherwise would leave you with an incomplete description of the events. Both approaches are flawed, but in different, mutually exclusive ways. The reason sabermetricians prefer FIP is because it turns out that it's more predictive, and thus a more useful indicator of a pitcher's ability. But both are descriptive statistics, not predictive models.
  7. Eminor3rd

    Astros interested in Abreu?

    Which part do you think is subjective?
  8. Eminor3rd

    Astros interested in Abreu?

    1.5 years of a 125 wRC+ DH/1B just flat out hasn't been worth a top 25 prospect. There's always the possibility of something unprecedented, but given that Astros have been among the stingiest of teams when trading prospects recently, and they already have a borderline legendary offense, there really isn't any reason to believe they'll suddenly decide to set a new market level.
  9. Eminor3rd

    Sox @ Cleveland, 6/20, 12:10 CT

    It won't, unfortunately.
  10. Eminor3rd

    Astros interested in Abreu?

    It's easy to say totally absurd shit when you don't care at all about being called out for being wrong.
  11. Eminor3rd

    Ed Farmer and Darrin Jackson

    I thought they hated each other for years. I don't think so anymore -- they're both just weird. It's whatever -- I think we are conditioned to ascribe too much importance to play-by-play guys. At the end of they day, my enjoyment of the game comes primarily from the events being described, not the WAY they are being described. Good guys definitely add value, but true difference-makers are few and far between.
  12. Eminor3rd

    Moncada

    You guys. Seriously.
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