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Posts posted by maxjusttyped

  1. 1 minute ago, fathom said:

    Just reading the Stone tweets, he was quick to say the Sox shouldn’t trade Dunning or Cease. He didn’t say the same for Collins and Basabe.  I do wonder if McCann and some quality prospects (think Stiever) for Diaz could work

    Wilson Ramos is a better catcher than McCann. Maybe that could work as a three team trade, but I don't see McCann having a ton of value to the Mets.

  2. 5 minutes ago, Harold's Leg Lift said:

    Rutherford's hitting metrics were pretty good last year.  He had an avg exit velocity of 91 mph.  46% of  his balls in play were 95+ mph and 6% were hit 105+ mph.  There's power in there he just has to lift the ball more often and at 22 years old he has plenty of time to figure that out.

    Where do you find statcast info on minor leaguers??

  3. 1 minute ago, poppysox said:

    That is the same dynamic at play in every extension.  Players get more money for more years than they are currently guaranteed... kind of insurance against things that could end or hinder their careers.  Teams hope to save some money by paying more than necessary now to have some cost certainty for years down the road.  Sale was a great example of the player wanting the security while Kris Bryant wanted to gamble on himself.  

    The amount of surplus value teams are getting from early extensions has been ridiculous. Maybe Madrigal flops, but the odds of any extension for a prospect of his caliber going wrong is small and the financial upside of it for teams is enormous. No team in baseball has benefited from extensions more than the White Sox. It's one of the few areas in baseball they're clearly out in front of other teams on and it's something they should continue pursuing.

  4. 2 minutes ago, Harold's Leg Lift said:

    He had an avg exit velocity of 85 mph last year and he didn't hit a single ball harder than 105 mph.  That's in the bottom 20% of all minor leagues and the bottom of MLB.  It's a ton of soft contact and there is no way to tell how that will translate against big league pitchers and shifts.  He simply doesn't impact the baseball.

    Where did you find exit velocity numbers for a minor leaguer? That's really cool info.

  5. 1 hour ago, Dick Allen said:

    This is a guy who advanced stats really gives no justice. He doesn’t give up a lot of runs. I will take a3.75 ERA from him and let others argue why guys with ERAs over a run more are way more valuable. 3 years in this market, with his agent, is good. He will have to earn year 4.

    I'm not concerned at all about a one year dip in Keuchel's peripherals, but for his career he's essentially pitched to his "advanced stats." Career 3.67 ERA, 3.80 FIP, & 3.52 xFIP.

  6. 10 minutes ago, BackDoorBreach said:

    EE would be a waste imo.  They have plenty of guys to slot in DH.

    Right now the DH platoon is looking like Collins and McCann. There isn't a great option available if Collins flops. EE is a reliable ~120ish wRC+ guy, would raise the floor of the lineup and it'll almost certainly come on a 1 year deal.

  7. 5 minutes ago, Moan4Yoan said:

    By the way, Gio is actually a Boras client.  Obviously this doesn’t mean as much when signing old vets to cheap one year deals but maybe this helps grease the wheels to a bigger Ryu / Keuchel signing?

    If the Sox are the highest bidder on any Boras client it's hard for me to believe he'd instruct them not to take it.

  8. 13 minutes ago, soxfan49 said:

    That doesn't mean he "sucks." It means he's been average. He's also 24 and his latest ~300 PA's were really fucking good.

    I wasn't the person who said he sucks, but Mazara has never been an average hitter or come remotely close to being an average player. The Sox will need him to take a significant step forward if they're to get that type of value from him.

  9. 2 hours ago, Greek-konerko said:

    What else red sox can thrown in in the deal so hahn will trade Vaughn?maybe a 2nd so?or a good reliever?

    I wouldn't be in favor of this, but adding Benintendi to the deal might cause them to include Vaughn depending on how much money Boston is willing to eat. Greg Nix at Sox Machine speculated about a Dunning + Rutherford + "flier" package for Price + Eduardo Rodriguez & $15M which makes sense to me at first glance.

  10. 21 minutes ago, RTC said:

    This dovetails with some of the comments that Giolito made on the pitching side.  It made it sound like guys like him and Cease are dragging Coop kicking and screaming into the 21st century.

    It's depressing to think how far behind teams like the Astros, Yankees, Rays, Dodgers etc the White Sox are at incorporating analytics into player development and coaching.

  11. 1 hour ago, Chicago White Sox said:

    Ozuna was a top 25 hitter in all of baseball last year based on xWOBA.  I know people don’t think he’s that good of a hitter based on his OPS / wRC+ the last two years, but I personally put a ton of faith in the Statcast metrics and think he’s a guy who blow up next year.

    I was shocked looking at Ozuna's statcast metrics from last season. Obviously every team in baseball is aware of these numbers and most factor them into long-term projections, but if he actually hit to the level xWOBA says he deserved Ozuna would probably be in the ~25M AAV range. Seems like there's still upside in his bat. My opinion on him as a hitter definitely went up after seeing those.

    Marcel Ozuna last year

    exit velocity: 93rd percent tile

    xWOBA: 92nd percent tile

    xBA: 86th percent tile

    sprint speed: 63rd percent tile

    • Thanks 2

  12. Just now, Dick Allen said:

    Again, if the White Sox are searching for bargains in modern day free agency, they won't be plucking players from the top of the list.

    They aren't smart enough to find the right bargains. The Yankees, Rays, Dodgers etc can dumpster dive and consistently find valuable players. We've seen the results when the Sox try to go that route. It doesn't work.