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OmarComing25

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Everything posted by OmarComing25

  1. I think RA9 WAR is much better than bWAR to evaluate a pitcher's career. I don't like the method bWAR uses to adjust for defense. It gave Nola a full win over deGrom in 2018 despite deGrom blowing him away in actual results because DRS viewed the Phillies as a historically awful defensive team. However, even if the Phillies defense was that bad, it clearly didn't affect Nola the same way it did the team's other pitchers considering he had a .251 BABIP so giving him such a huge boost for it doesn't make any sense. RA9 works much better if you care about results on the field IMO.
  2. I definitely phrased that poorly. I don't think it's an either or scenario and I'm willing to overpay a bit for Wheeler. Just saying that in a hypothetical where you had to choose one or the other I'll take consistent playoffs over a one and done title. Agree it doesn't have much relevance to a potential Wheeler contract though.
  3. OmarComing25

    Moncada

    Just listened to the latest Statcast podcast and they had a segment about Anderson and Moncada and their BABIPs. Mentioned that they were among the highest in the history of the game (both at .403 coming into today) but then took a look at their expected BABIP based on Statcast and Anderson came out to .355 while Moncada was at .386. Said that Moncada could have the ability to sustain very high BABIPs going forward because he hits the ball so damn hard, is very fast and sprays the ball all over the field so he's impossible to shift.
  4. OmarComing25

    WSI

    I actually got banned from there in September in 2005. It was when they were in that slump and about to lose that huge lead and someone posted "Man I hate this team right now" and I responded with "I know the feeling." Mods said we were both trolls and banned forever.
  5. OmarComing25

    GT Chicago v Chicago, 6/18/19, 7:05 CT

    Yeah inning is still going on if he wasn't sulking after hitting the popup.
  6. OmarComing25

    GT Chicago v Chicago, 6/18/19, 7:05 CT

    I don’t consider Bumgarner a top guy anymore.
  7. OmarComing25

    GT Chicago v Chicago, 6/18/19, 7:05 CT

    I wouldn’t be against a Hamels signing, he’s a fitness freak so the age thing might not be as much of a concern.
  8. OmarComing25

    2018-2019 Official NBA thread

    Injuries are part of the game though. It's not like the Warriors haven't greatly benefited from injuries in every single one of their title runs (Kyrie/Love, Kawhi, Paul).
  9. OmarComing25

    ***Day 1 MLB Draft Thread***

    I understand wanting a higher ceiling pick but your expectations for the third pick are too high. To add on to what Balta just said, I looked at all the #3 picks since 1980. If we cut it off at 2014 since it's the most recent year a #3 pick has made the majors then 16 of the 35 picks have had 10 or more career fWAR. Of those 16, only 3 of those you can call stars (Manny Machado, Evan Longoria, and Matt Williams) with another 2 very good players in Troy Glaus and Bobby Witt. So there's basically only a 1 in 7 chance that the #3 pick becomes a very good player and stars only come along once a decade. Vaughn doesn't need to be a top ten bat in the league for the pick to be worth it.
  10. OmarComing25

    ***Day 1 MLB Draft Thread***

    LOL a top 10 bat in baseball is like a 145 wRC+. You going to be disappointed if Vaughn is just a 140 wRC+ hitter?
  11. OmarComing25

    05/29 Games #CeaseDay

    Also wRC+ in the minors isn't park adjusted, so a 170 in that park is likely higher.
  12. OmarComing25

    Sox and Stros 7:10 Central

    Yeah I remember actually betting on the Astros when they faced Chris Volstad and he ended up holding them to one run and the bullpen shut them down the rest of the way.
  13. OmarComing25

    2018-2019 Official NBA thread

    Obviously this sucks and the Bulls need all the luck they can get but of the four teams currently in the Conference Finals there’s exactly one top 5 pick playing (Durant). Brooks Lopez is the only lottery pick starter in the ECF and he was at 10. I feel like people overrate draft position.
  14. OmarComing25

    Game of Thrones

    Someone on the ASOIAF subreddit said the original plan was to have Rhaegal killed during the ringing of the bells and have Dany snap after that but they decided Episode 4 needed more shock value. That would have been far better than what happened.
  15. OmarComing25

    And that's a White Sox Giolito Gem Winner!

    I mean go to any team’s forum and they all act the same, regardless of recent success. It’s definitely the nature of the internet. Go to the Cubs subreddit after they have a 2 game losing streak, half the sub is ready to jump off the ledge. Despite winning the title last year a bunch of the Red Sox subreddit want to hang themselves after the slow start. Happiness seems fleeting in general in sports fandom.
  16. OmarComing25

    Game of Thrones

    It's not like the ballistas can shoot straight up, just dive bomb them, attack at night and burn them all, how are they going to stop that?
  17. It also can't be a coincidence that so many players have their career worst years here and then go on to other teams and still be useful players.
  18. This is why I think player development is a way bigger issue than an eye for talent (not saying that we couldn’t use big improvement there too). In that 2019 Fangraphs update about our prospects Kiley wrote that many of them had taken a step back and/or the future outlook isn’t as good as once hoped but he noted that he didn’t think it was because the White Sox picked the wrong guys because Kiley’s team were all in on them too.
  19. Oof. Surprised to see the Cubs so low though I guess all their hits have been picks in the top ten and those are probably the hardest to raise the FV.
  20. OmarComing25

    Game of Thrones

    If Tyrion and Jaime die I don't think it will be in the White Walker battle, otherwise the whole assigning Bronn to the task of killing them would be utterly pointless.
  21. OmarComing25

    The Anderson Saga (continued from game thread)

    Flipping/throwing your bat and yelling towards your teammates is not taunting the other team, nothing Anderson did was directed towards anyone on the Royals.
  22. OmarComing25

    Future White Sox Lineup #GetExcited

    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/war-update-catcher-framing/ Here was the article about it, also includes a table of who got the biggest boosts and decreases from the change. Buster Posey now has a 10 fWAR season.
  23. OmarComing25

    Future White Sox Lineup #GetExcited

    Fangraphs made updates this offseason to include framing in WAR FWIW.
  24. OmarComing25

    The Anderson Saga (continued from game thread)

    I'd want the kids to do it even more than the MLB players (and I want them to do it too). Let the kids have fun. I really don't see the problem.
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