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Two-Gun Pete

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Everything posted by Two-Gun Pete

  1. Two-Gun Pete

    Rebuild

    Nah, he's OK. He likes optimism at all times, and that's OK. Our White Sox are still undefeated in the offseason. I'm just waiting for the first poster to conflate an opinion on a rebuild that has "stalled tremendously" by strawmanning something about my post as being about a "failed rebuild." I don't think we're in a "full failure range" of outcomes-yet. But I think that a lot of decisions and decision-makers are doing their part to push it that direction. We'll know more around ~June/July or so, but it seems like we STILL have more questions than answers than we should at this point, IMO.
  2. Two-Gun Pete

    At least a dozen killed in CA bar shooting

    I don't know. But I don't think other posters should have to do your research, when it was you that lumped all ex Marines together, in all honesty. If you're going to make such a statement, and forward such an argument that lumps all Ex Marines together, then support your view with a link. Otherwise, it was kind of a dick statement on your part. [Disclosure: I'm attacking your post, not you.] Why not point out that the overwhelming majority of mass shooters are white males, and then lump all white males together, instead? [If you did, it would be a more accurate statement, although no less dickish.] Signed, One of many Ex Marines who, together with many other vets of other services, provided you with a blanket of freedom.
  3. Two-Gun Pete

    Luis Robert tearing it up in the AFL

    But does he have a higher ceiling than any prospect not named, "Fernando?"
  4. Two-Gun Pete

    Luis Robert tearing it up in the AFL

    I don't take much away from the AFL results, beyond Robert remaining healthy, and looking like he belongs. I take MORE away from his middling 81 WRC+ in A+, which suggests to me that he should start 2019 in A+, and only move up once he's proven himself by right of performance. [Yes, we all know he had the injuries and the long layoff from competitive play, and he's young and raw, and whatever other excuse we want to pile onto him having a middling performance in A+ last season.] Of course, this being the White Sox, and knowing that RH/KW have the patience of a virgin on prom night, I fully expect him to be stupidly rushed up to AA to start 2019.
  5. Two-Gun Pete

    Rebuild

    As we all dream on the distant hopes of this organization landing either Machado or Harper, I think its perfectly cogent to reflect upon how the rebuild is going. For my part, I think the rebuild has stalled tremendously. I believe the key players in the front office have made some big blunders, particularly in the "development-of-prospects" area. Looking at the top youngsters, I doubt many of us are happy with the way Moncada/Giolito have performed hereto fore. Nor can we be happy about the cavalcade of injuries to key prospects. [Yeah, Moncada had a miraculous Sept/Oct to get to a respectable fWAR for the year. But this was fueled by an unsustainable .452 BaBIP. I doubt that he can continue forward at this clip; YMMV.] Fegan reporting that Hahn wants to start Robert in Double-A next year [after a mediocre and injury-riddled 2018 campaign] suggests to me that this front office is simply unwilling or unable to learn from their previous mistakes with Moncada. Do they promote prospects based on "talent alone," or do they OBJECTIVELY promote based on performance? If not, WHY not? Watching Abreu have to seek outside help to fix his swing, and watching Collins have to revert to his old swing makes me wonder about Steverson. I also have this haunting thought that none of the other coaches/Manager in Chicago are MLB caliber, save for Cooper. At the same time, I look at Cooper, and wonder if it hasn't been well overdue for a change at his spot, given that I can't remember the last time he "fixed" a pitcher. All told, if these are the "best coaches" in the organization, how much more incompetent are the coaches at lower-level assignments? And even if this org has much more talent than in recent seasons, how will these youngsters be properly tutored in their craft and nurtured into big leaguers? The recent draft picks [Burger/Sheets in particular] make me wonder how many of these high draft picks will actually pan out. I also wonder if Hostetler is actually good at his job, or if he simply looks better than Laumann and his craptacular track record. On balance, while we can credit KW/RH for the "accumulation phase" of the rebuild, and while I think its without a doubt that this rebuild NEEDS a top FA signing or two, we're also into the hard part of the rebuild, which is the "development phase." I just don't know that this org has the right people making the right decisions at the moment. I hope I'm wrong, and that miracles happen, but I have my doubts after years of failure at the executive levels of this org. We'll see.
  6. Two-Gun Pete

    At least a dozen killed in CA bar shooting

    This reads as if you are lumping all ex Marines together as ALL having mental health issues. Care to clarify? Indeed. The shooter even admitted that he was "insane." PTSD may or may not have had anything to do with it. Being a veteran had fuck-all to do with him being [by his own admission] "insane," but access to guns has a fuck-ton to do with yet another mass shooting, IMO.
  7. Two-Gun Pete

    The Moncada / Madrigal Situation

    On Moncada, he shouldn't have started 2017 in AAA. He came from Boston with a 31% K rate in AA. He should have started 2017 in Birmingham, & finished in Charlotte, IF (& ONLY if) he kept the K rate down. The other prospect they stupidly rushed was Kopech, only because there weren't enough innings left for him to have been promoted. On balance, these two abject failures mean that Getz should be looking for new work, IMO.
  8. Two-Gun Pete

    Your Offseason Plan

    I hated the way Moncada was handled. He came to us from Boston, having K'ed in ~31% of his PAs in AA. I thought THEN that he should have started 2017 in AA with the goal to reduce his Ks into a ~25% range, before finishing 2017 in Charlotte, again with the aim of him KEEPING the K-Rate down. I also thought that Opening Day of 2018 should have been his White Sox debut, NOT mid-season 2017. Exactly what was that supposed to accomplish, other than Hahn having the opportunity to snark about letting reporters post to Twitter that Moncada was coming up? Instead, they stupidly started him in Charlotte in 2017, which is a notoriously hitter-friendly park, which likely papered over his inability to avoid the strikeout. Now, some 200 games into his MLB career, his value [by fWAR] is mainly in the fact that he's fast and he plays 2B. Meanwhile, a season and a half of his controllable years have been squandered, and we STILL don't know for sure if he's a good player or not. Hell, he had to catch fire [thanks to an unsustainable .452 BaBIP] during garbage time to even make this last season look respectable. This is a real fvkcing problem if they can't turn the former #1 prospect into anything more than a speedy strikeout machine. Hahn, and Getz, and Williams should be held to account, but they likely won't be.
  9. Two-Gun Pete

    Your Offseason Plan

    Yeah, no shit. If we're going to dream on things that will likely never happen, why not dream big? My plan: Fire: Kenny Williams, Rick Hahn, Chris Getz, Doug Laumann [yeah, he's still listed as receiving a check for some sort of work or another on the website], Jeremy Haber, Ricky Renteria, Daryl Boston, Nick Capra, Don Cooper, Todd Steverson, Joe McEwing, and Curt Hasler. Interview the following candidates for Kenny's job: 1. Matt Arnold, Brewers assistant GM/VP. Despite Milwaukee not having a top 3 farm system in recent years [IIRC], and despite not having piles of cash to blow, and despite being in the NL Central with a massive juggernaut in the scrubs and a traditional powerhouse in the cardinals, and despite being one of the least-favored desinations for FA talent, the Brewers won their division. His experience in a small market could prove useful in a similar organization that is averse to spending BIG money in FA, and has a smallish share of a big market in the SOX. 2, and 3: From the "Epstein" tree, Jason McLeod, scrubs senior VP; and Jared Porter, Arizona assistant GM. Both have scouting bonafides, either in Boston or the north side. McLeod has the additional benefit of not fvkcing up the development of Bryant [unlike the moronic handling of MLB's K machine Moncada], as well as having run some decent drafts in Boston as well. 4. Kim Ng, former Dodgers exec, current MLB exec, former Yankees assistant GM, former White Sox intern, U of C MBA. 5. Dan Kantrovitz, As assistant GM, former Cardinals scouting director, has some sort of masters degree from Harvard. Hire whoever is the best of this lot, and have them: A. Un-fuck what looks like a stalled rebuild. B. Bring the overall operation of this organization into the 21st Century. C. Conduct a proper search for the on-field coaching staff. [This team hasn't had one of those since whenever Ozzie was hired], and D. [Most Importantly] Restore PRIDE in the White Sox, as this front office has made this team a laughingstock of MLB for what seems like forever. My view is that neither Kenny nor Rick should have been kept on board to clean up their mistakes. Since the fire sale, which [to their credit] was apparently bountiful, the "development stage" of the rebuild seems to have been bungled, and horribly, IMO.
  10. Two-Gun Pete

    2018 Democrats thread

    While I thank you for the effort, I was really hoping for some Fox News polesmoker and/or right wing pigeon to tell me why I should give a fuck. This, in a day and age when our president lied to his wife, to the media, to the American people about his affairs, and then used payoffs to cover up his lies. After all, "alternative facts," right? Thanks in advance, trumpologists.
  11. Two-Gun Pete

    2018 Democrats thread

    Remind me again, why the Fuck does this even matter? Who gives a flying Fuck about Sen Warren's ethnicity, other than moral relativists on the right? You know, the bullshit artists that look the other way at lies coming from our joke of a president every fucking day? So again, if bullshit is eaten up by the right on an hourly basis, why does this comparatively minor infraction (and apparently one time bullshit) by Sen Warren register, except for Fox News polesmokers? Why should I give a fuck?
  12. Two-Gun Pete

    Moncada hopes to stay at 2b

    I could give a fuck about where Moncada plays, IF he can fucking strike out less than ~30% of his PAs next year. Regrettably, I don't know who will "coach him up," given the incompetence and enabling of this coaching staff and FO, respectively.
  13. Two-Gun Pete

    Sox and analytics

    Yeah, it isn't so much that an 80-something year old owner has no appetite for spending on analytics, so much as the [snicker] high school graduate team president simply can't understand analytics. He just isn't smart enough to figure this sort of thing out, IMO.
  14. Two-Gun Pete

    New Owner

    Exactly this. I HATED them stupidly bringing Moncada up last season, because he clearly was in no way ready. He had severe swing & miss issues that were never addressed, severe handedness deficiencies in a so-called "switch" hitter, and questionable concentration on defense. [I also questioned his maturity vis a vis the custom car buying binge and twinkie diet, but others may disagree. YMMV.] What's worse, is that now, its hard to even squint and see any improvement in his game. His K%, BB%, and wrc+ are all worse than in 2017. Despite his BABIP being UP some 15 points, his OBP is DOWN 27 points. He's near the bottom of qualifiers among 2B in MLB in WAR and DRS, with negative trends in both, when compared to 2017. [Well, his fWAR is up this year, but he's played in nearly 100 more games.] To top it all off, I don't have any idea how this coaching staff will help him improve in any way. I just don't think Steverson and Renteria and the rest are good enough at their jobs. I too am not a Moncada "hater," so much as I HATE and despise how this stupid FO utterly bungled the development of this crucial piece of the rebuild hereto fore. I am also NOT calling him a bust by any means, but the trends are not looking promising for him. Setting aside his "garbage time heroics" in the past few weeks, something's gotta "click" for him going forward, or I'm in agreement with you: Some other prospect will have to "come out of nowhere," and surprise us, or this rebuild may be significantly jeopardized, IMO.
  15. Two-Gun Pete

    2018 Democrats thread

    Where Rauner has gone wrong is for him to petulantly expect the members of the legislative branch to just do whatever he says, RATHER than knowing that all three branches are co-equals. Where Rauner's burned all bridges is to petulantly blame Madigan for all of this state's ills, rather than living in reality, and [for better or worse] figuring out ways for HIM to work with Madigan and 67 other dems in the house. It's almost as if he expected his political foes to just bend over and take it, and he's stunned that they don't. [Again, this is where experience matters in the executive branch.] For fuck's sake, several GOP governors in this state have had to deal with Madigan and they were able to get stuff done. Yup, you're correct on the arithmetic. That said, Rauner moronically thinks that he can badmouth Madigan, and then ALSO expect him to "work with" him? What an imbecile! And again, even if Madigan is out of the speakership tomorrow, how do we know LISA Madigan won't be appointed to the speakership? Or Lou Lang, or any one of the other 67 Dem members of the house? To expect the majority-party speaker, in a BLUE STATE, to kowtow to the moron of a governor is just plain dumb on the part of Rauner.
  16. Two-Gun Pete

    Davidson/Palka

    Oh, I'm aware that both Davidson and Castillo aren't worth much of anything in the trade market this upcoming offseason. And yes, you're probably right, in that Avi/Castillo/Davidson will all likely have to be non-tendered or bought out. But my overarching view is that these three would be out of this roster for next season, at least as thing stand right now; I'd rather give Palka/Delmonico and Narvaez/Smith 2019 to prove/disprove themselves.
  17. Two-Gun Pete

    Davidson/Palka

    The need for roster spots, and the relative depth in choice at C means [to me] that Castillo is surplus to requirements, and can be traded for a flyer; I'm relatively comfortable with Narvaez/Smith until Collins/Zavala arrive. Similarly, I'd trade away Davidson and keep Palka/Delmonico. Davidson has no more options, while Palka/Delmonico have options. Is it possible that trading away Davidson and Castillo could bite the SOX in the ass? Sure. But the relative risks are minor in doing so, IMO. For the rest of that list, I don't think I'd offer a contract to Avi , and both Cordell and Engel can be sent back to Charlotte, if need be. Sanchez has value as a utility IF, and Leury can similarly be the 4th OF until Jimenez arrives.
  18. Two-Gun Pete

    New Owner

    Well, we can't prove the unprovable here. But, we're into the truly difficult part of the rebuild, which is the development phase; I think the extant front office has not done everything to maximize the assets they acquired earlier. Thus, with "fresh eyes" on the assets in residence, perhaps a more prudent course could have been taken with certain players, and cords could have been cut with others that should have been cut loose sooner. The other side of the coin is that having more or less the same top of the front office likely means that there hasn't been much innovation insofar as operations. [Yes, I'm speculating, but long-term incumbency tends to invite stagnation in organizations.]
  19. Two-Gun Pete

    Davidson/Palka

    How many options do each player have left? I think I'd trade away the one with fewer/no options left for a low-level flyer, and give the other one more chances to prove/disprove himself.
  20. Two-Gun Pete

    2018 Democrats thread

    OK, here's where I lose your train of thought: The dems have a supermajority in the House. Therefore, EVEN if Madigan is gone from the speakership tomorrow, there is a fucking snowball's chance in hell that another Speaker will be nominated by the dems, and then allow himself/herself to be led around by the noots by Rauner. Especially after Rauner did jack and shit, other than to talk shit about Madigan for four years. So again, why would you vote for 4 more years of the same? This is where I lose your reasoning for voting against your wife's own financial self-interests. And worrying about the NEXT election before we get through THIS election seems odd. Four more years of inertia will be bad, particularly when we as a nation are overdue for another recession, which WILL come, irrespective of who is in power. But having a bad budget is better than having NO budget, because the moronic chief executive won't execute. Full disclosure: I'm NOT a fan of inexperienced, obscenely rich assholes taking over executive branch roles. [See Trump and Rauner as examples, and Pritzker as a potential future example.] However, voting for four more years of the same thing is insanity, IMO. I'm also no fan of Madigan, but to pretend that he's going to turn the other cheek is fucking moronic. Better to find ways to live in reality, and work with people who have different political views than your own, but Rauner has done jack and shit instead. YMMV.
  21. Two-Gun Pete

    Actual Values vs Party Values

    The only things for which I have any commentary are: 1. On Healthcare, continuing to do what we’ve been doing is moronic. Each client I sit with needs to know that [as currently comprised], the average Boomer retiree couple will need to set aside ~$280k JUST for healthcare for items NOT covered by Medicare. http://time.com/money/5246882/heres-how-much-the-average-couple-will-spend-on-health-care-costs-in-retirement/ For those of us in Gen X or later, it will likely be closer to $500K or more. It is for THIS REASON [primarily] that I prefer a system that is Medicare For All, with options to purchase additional “First Class/Front-of-line” supplemental coverage. a. Moreover, how many folks would innovate and start small businesses, IF they didn’t have to fear the lack of/loss of medical coverage from a job they hate? b. How many extant small businesses won’t hire additional people, due to the added expense of health care? c. How many folks won’t move jobs because of the fear of losing coverage? d. Thus, to me, the BEST option is to embrace a “social system” of health care, as we already have for streets, bridges, highways, airports, seaports, national parks, the police, fire department, public grammar/high schools and universities, and all branches of the military. 2. On Gun Rights, hardcore 2nd Amendment types fail to recognize that, as currently written, a strict interpretation of the 2nd Amendment means that an individual has a right to a machine gun, grenades, a nuke, or the like. There has to be SOME limitation of absolute rights to all weaponry, and we as a society have to choose WHERE to draw the line. [Both for TYPE of weaponry, as well as WHO can be trusted to carry said weaponry.] As an aside, the NRA isn’t about “gun rights,” so much as they are about sucking up cash from arms manufacturers, and then puking it back out to politicians they control by their balls. 3. On the Military, I disagree with cutting spending, TO THE POINT that we NEED a draft. I believe that we need a draft to put EVERYONE’S kids on the line, and therefore, restrain our application of force worldwide. I think loads off freedom freeloaders who never served, armchair generals, and paper tigers are War Hawks, in part because poor kids do the fighting and killing and dying while Jenna and Barbara Bush and the Trump kids never had to do jack shit to do the fighting/killing/dying. 4. Fiscal responsibility is simple: Make a “Balanced Budget Amendment,” with carve out exceptions in cases of natural disasters, financial crises, or war. 5. Lastly, your comment about Hollywood is a strawman argument, in all honesty. Hollywood types only have more influence because they’re in front of cameras more than the rest of us. Who gives a shit what they say/think?
  22. Two-Gun Pete

    2018 Democrats thread

    Ok, help me understand your view: 1. There's a snowball's chance in hell of Madigan going away anytime soon. 2. Rauner & Madigan TOGEHTER did exactly Jack and Shit for the pension issue over 4 years. 3. After 4+ years of Rauner talking shit about Madigan, exactly how will 4 more years of Rauner will make any difference? In other words, isn't doing the same thing over and over again [Keeping Rauner & Madigan together] what some call "insanity?" Thanks in advance for your elucidation of your viewpoint.
  23. Two-Gun Pete

    Moncada

    You know, it CAN be both. It CAN be that he doesn't mind being average, AND it can be that he pads his stats in "garbage time." Looking at his numbers, Moncada did the EXACT same thing in 2017 in a meaningless September as he's doing now: He's padding his stats against sub-standard opposition. So I ask you: Was Yoan Moncada's September of 2017 an indication of "improvement," or were they merely "garbage time" heroics? (Feel free to reference his 2018 numbers, with the YAWNING K rates to answer.) Hell, Adam Fucking Engel has looked cromulent in September. Trayce Thompson looked like a golden god in September a few years ago. When will people stop buying the fools gold that are Garbage Time Heroes? So no, there's no "hypocrisy," unless you're the type that actually believes that "Garbage Time" is a true reflection of a player's ability.
  24. Two-Gun Pete

    Moncada

    Look, we're all pleased by his recent up-turn in results, but remember that this is "garbage time," and he's facing quite a bit of opposition that are just playing out the string, just the same as we are. I heavily discount garbage time results when considering a player's overall track record. That said, I'm NOT saying he isn't an MLB-caliber player. I'm just doubting that he'll become a star. I surely hope I'm wrong.
  25. Two-Gun Pete

    Moncada

    Haven't we as SOX fans seen this "he's-fast-so-we-hope-and-pray-he-can-learn-to-get-on-base-and-become-a-leadoff-hitter" movie before? I seem to remember Jerry Owens, DeWayne Wise, heck, even the corpse of Jimmy Rollins as "fast-guys-so-we'll-lead-him-off" types that couldn't get on base. By extension, the White Sox offense has suffered because of this stupidity. By contrast, good teams with good offenses with smart on-field and Front Office Management PRIORITIZE OBP over a player's footspeed in terms of selecting a leadoff hitter. [The team across town seems to do so, but if the rosters were switched, you just KNOW that Heyward and his mediocre bat would be written in INK atop the lineup.] That aside, WHO in this "awesome" coaching staff has the ability to reach this kid? Do you trust Ricky or Steverson to be able to coach him up? I don't. I think those guys were picked by Front Office types that are stupid, and by extension, I think Ricky and Steverson aren't the best in the business at their jobs. Also, you previously questioned Moncada's ability to learn. I likewise doubt his ability to learn, but moreso from the intrinsic motivation angle: After all, him going out and blowing gobs of cash on cars, knowing that he's wealthy-for-life, might be what "success" is for HIM. Maybe he doesn't really WANT to be a STAR in MLB, maybe he's happy cashing checks. Has he shown any WANT to be a better player? Has he shown any DESIRE to be the best? [You know, the personality trait that Jimenez seems to have in spades?] I don't know, but as you said, "we'll see."
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