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Black_Jack29

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Everything posted by Black_Jack29

  1. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    I'm guessing that Collins has at least a couple of options left. If that's the case, he can spend a good chunk of 2020 in Charlotte next season. McCann is a FA in 2021 and I don't see the Sox re-signing him.
  2. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Lopez is dirt-cheap and is under team control for the next three or so years. He's inconsistent as hell, but he's also young and has shown flashes of dominance. That's exactly the type of pitcher the Sox need to anchor the back of the rotation while they spend on a couple of established veterans to fill out the rotation. I don't know what to expect out of Collins going forward, but I doubt that McCann is going to put up a .789 OPS next season.
  3. Black_Jack29

    Steve Stone not returning to the booth next season???

    They certainly don’t hire the right scouting and player development personnel to compete with those constraints.
  4. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    I think that the Sox are going to have a tough time competing in this division with the Twins and Indians, even with the changes that I outlined. That said. I agree that they’ll be interesting and fun to watch in 2020.
  5. Black_Jack29

    Steve Stone not returning to the booth next season???

    They are?
  6. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Sorry, "traded for." I'd love to believe that JR was actually willing to sign a 10-year, $250M commitment to a player. But nothing about his way of doing business suggests that he'd do such a thing.
  7. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    You know what else doesn't make any sense? Reinsdorf and Einhorn switching the Sox to pay TV while their in-town competitor broadcasted their games on a nationally aired cable TV station. Or JR leading a hard-line contingent of owners and triggering a strike while the Sox were in first place. Or trading away some of your best players in late July when you're 3 1/2 games out of first place. The Sox have a long history of making moves that seem incredibly dumb in hindsight.
  8. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    You can make all the disparaging comments you want, but it doesn't strengthen your argument.
  9. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    I never claimed that it was an intelligent strategy and, yes, it clearly backfired. (The silly signing of Alonso and Jay was a big part of it backfiring.) But I honestly believe that the Sox never intended to pay Machado $250M.
  10. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Does it make sense that a notoriously cheap owner would want to be on the hook for $250M at age 83, when he's probably close to selling the team?
  11. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    So are you saying that the Sox front office didn't have the incentive to create the false impression that they're pursuing a big-money, marquee free agent, when they're struggling with attendance and were in the process of negotiating a new TV contract?
  12. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/debase
  13. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    It gives the impression that the Sox are trying, which is in contrast to what most of their fans believe. If the Sox were serious about signing Machado, they would've out-bid San Diego.
  14. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    I agree with this. The Sox are better off paying less to a guy like Wheeler, signing an average-to-below-average starter to anchor the bottom of the rotation, re-signing Abreu, going after a decent LH bat at the RH or DH spot, and seeing how Kopech, Cease, Robert, and Madrigal develop in 2020. Even with these additions, they're probably not a playoff team. They can always add more via free agency in 2021.
  15. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Unless there's a change in ownership prior to 2024, the Sox are not going to re-sign Moncada and pay him the $40M/year that he's going to command on the FA market.
  16. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Given what you know about this organization, which is more likely: (1) JR wanted to be on the hook for paying Machado $250M over the next decade or (2) JR wanted Sox fans to believe that he did all he could to sign Machado.
  17. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Yes, and the signings of Alonso and Jay are pretty strong evidence of that.
  18. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Look, I suppose that the Sox's alleged $250M + incentives offer could have been real, but I would bet you a million dollars that they didn't make that offer until they knew that somebody (San Diego) offered more guaranteed money. It just doesn't make sense than a notoriously cheap owner who never gave out a contract greater than $69M would suddenly be willing to commit to a 10-year, $250M deal. When it's that far out of character for the organization, I'm going to need a lot more than hearsay to believe something like that. This whole sad Machado episode was a giant PR stunt where the Sox front office tried to convince fans that they were really, really serious about signing Manny without having to actually pay Manny. If they hadn't gone overboard and signed Alonso and Jay, their stunt might've been more believable.
  19. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Debasing your franchise by cynically signing the targeted player's buddy and brother-in-law is also the opposite of business 101, so the Sox are clearly not playing by your rules.
  20. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Given that contract negotiations are confidential and between GMs and agents, there's all sorts of opportunity for lies and misinformation.
  21. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Not sure I agree with that, but the Sox could've very well made that offer after the Padres made their offer with more guaranteed money, knowing that Machado wouldn't have accepted it. This is why I tend to believe that the Sox actually made the initially reported $175M offer or whatever it was. Because it was a lowball offer that Machado likely laughed at.
  22. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    I'm saying that the Sox front office has every incentive to mislead its fan base by pretending to pursue marquee free agents. The Alonso/Jay signings show how low they'll stoop to achieve this, so I don't see how leaking a fake offer is that much of a stretch. There's no way to confirm any of this stuff because none of it's written down or recorded in any other way. It's not like making an offer to buy a house, where there's a dollar amount and signatures on a legal document.
  23. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    If the fake offer improves the client's negotiating position, the agent will happily keep quiet and let another team out-bid it.
  24. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    Do you have evidence that they actually offered that contract? Or are you relying on a "source" for that information? What makes you think that the Sox front office wouldn't leak a lie about a contract offer to improve their standing with their fan base, or that Machado's agent wouldn't leak a lie about an offer to improve his client's negotiating position?
  25. Black_Jack29

    A Realistic Offseason

    My understanding is that insurance covers injuries, but not degraded performance. That's as big a worry as a major injury (and often follows one). I don't see JR committing more than $150M to any single player, and even then it's going to have to have opt-outs that are favorable to the Sox (e.g., Albert Belle's contract). So I would be pretty shocked to see the Sox land Cole. I wish that weren't the case, but this is an organization that's never eclipsed a $69M deal. I'll believe it when I see it.
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