Polar Bear
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Posts posted by Polar Bear
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30 minutes ago, WestEddy said:
He was horrible on defense, almost injured other players on a few plays, and his offense didn't come close to making up for it.
Colas is better than our current OF by far on defense
Colas > Fletcher
Colas > Grossman
Colas > Benetendi
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16 minutes ago, Dick Allen said:
Pedro would be 50 under .500 with a loss today. I know it's cosmetic, but can you at least fire him for ineptness?
JR don't/won't pay dead money. We stuck with Grifol through 2025
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Its a sad day, when the Oakland A's are more entertaining than this
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1 minute ago, Pale Sox said:
No argument here. Being labelling as a big market team, despite having (I’m guessing) ~35% of the Chicago market hurts us. If not for that label we wouldn’t be limited to picks 11-30.
At this point does the Sox even have 5% lmao
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3 minutes ago, Pale Sox said:
10
s%*#, still way too many. With the lottery rules you really have to go for it after a terrible season.
Not do what whatever this crap is
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I actually would like to see Garcia as a SP over Flexen
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3 minutes ago, Dick Allen said:
What would a wasted year look like?
Setting the all time record for losses in a season and turning around and seeing 14 other teams pick before us 🤣
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1 minute ago, nrockway said:
he throws a cutter to decent effect.
Won't a work. If everything is straight or going in to righites its a recipe for disaster vs good right handed hitting teams
All SP, not just Crochet, really need a change, splitter, or two seam to ride away from opposite handed pitchers
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Crochet needs a 3rd pitch. Why do they continue to think pitchers can get away with facing the opposite handed hitters without one.
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58 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:
Because they don't care and/or aren't calling him up again.
Well then the calls for a new gm, new manager, new coaches, and new staff will grow loud af
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16 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:
It's 5
So only 3 more times he can come up, that can't be right can it?
If so, why the f use one knowing he wasn't going to play
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19 hours ago, Bob Sacamano said:
I thought you had a limit on how many times you can do it in said season now.
This is correct in some way. Its like 6 or 7 times in one season, not sure if the initial option counts though
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On 4/8/2024 at 6:50 AM, Y2Jimmy0 said:
Where’s your top 30 list?
Due to a family medical emergency a couple weeks ago I haven't done them.
Don't know how much time I will have with the few projects I have going on and trying to catchup with work
I could try and pump out a rough draft in the coming days
Its a certain of the top 2
1. Noah Schultz
2. Colson Montgomery
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Looks like Tanner McDougal is gonna be on the bump for WS. There should be a video feed tonight. Definitely will be watching that one to see how he looks this year
Greensboro has a good looking team with some good prospects, led by top 100 prospect Termarr Johnson, so it should be a battle
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Just now, Polar Bear said:
Its what I do. I rank and write about prospects across baseball. Could it be a slight overreaction to what I have seen numerous times over the years, maybe. Is it statistically the most likely outcome, yes absolutely.
Any outcome is possible. I'm just speaking to the greatest likelihood based on the statistical probability of what happens with the smaller stature players as they transition stateside.
In the DSL and Rookie ball, power for smaller stature players appears, but as they face actual pitchers stateside that throw harder, are bigger, and more precise the power is zapped due to the physics of a baseball swing in correlation with their size.
Smaller stature players have to break the physics and be more precise and perfect than taller and bigger players that have natural power and don't have to fight the physics.
You ever wonder why Judge can flick the bat and hit a HR, it isn't bc of skill as much as it is size and length. Longer levers create more power.
So im just speaking to the realistic expectations of Mogollon
10, maybe 15 home run power MAX with that dropping as he progresses higher in the minors.
How's Madrigal's power?
How's Chapelli's power?
Those same "scouts" loved them as well
Is Mogollon the once in a generation unicorn?
You tell me, do you really believe he is going to get to 20+ HR power?
Do you really believe he will get to 40+ SB
Its more like a .270 avg, 10 HR (or less), 20-30 SB. And thats in the minors. If he makes the bigs it will be more like
.240, 0-5 HR, 10-15 SB.
A prototypical utility bat at best.
At the same time, heights for prospects are entirely unreliable, especially in the DSL. For all we know the kid grew 3 inches and is 5'11", he was only 17. Hell for all we know he is 20 (more of a joke related to the age falsification stuff going on down there).
Ultimately overreacting to DSL stats are a slippery slope that will get you burned and it seems like futuresox and this board and leaning that way. I'm just trying to be the cautionary and conservative voice here.
You have to be more conservative with those players than most bc as I said, these are mostly high school juniors, in fact the same age as Wolkow.
I wonder if Wolkow hits 20 HR in the DSL last year, that would have been a fun experiment to do lol
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22 minutes ago, Sleepy Harold said:
Curious, if you haven't seen him play, how could you make these declarations about what he is or isn’t capable of doing? Seems to go against what industry scouting reports are saying he did in the DSL from scouts who watched him play with data to back it up.
Its what I do. I rank and write about prospects across baseball. Could it be a slight overreaction to what I have seen numerous times over the years, maybe. Is it statistically the most likely outcome, yes absolutely.
Any outcome is possible. I'm just speaking to the greatest likelihood based on the statistical probability of what happens with the smaller stature players as they transition stateside.
In the DSL and Rookie ball, power for smaller stature players appears, but as they face actual pitchers stateside that throw harder, are bigger, and more precise the power is zapped due to the physics of a baseball swing in correlation with their size.
Smaller stature players have to break the physics and be more precise and perfect than taller and bigger players that have natural power and don't have to fight the physics.
You ever wonder why Judge can flick the bat and hit a HR, it isn't bc of skill as much as it is size and length. Longer levers create more power.
So im just speaking to the realistic expectations of Mogollon
10, maybe 15 home run power MAX with that dropping as he progresses higher in the minors.
How's Madrigal's power?
How's Chapelli's power?
Those same "scouts" loved them as well
Is Mogollon the once in a generation unicorn?
You tell me, do you really believe he is going to get to 20+ HR power?
Do you really believe he will get to 40+ SB
Its more like a .270 avg, 10 HR (or less), 20-30 SB. And thats in the minors. If he makes the bigs it will be more like
.240, 0-5 HR, 10-15 SB.
A prototypical utility bat at best.
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12 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:
Even after a 5-5 day, Nishida is hitting .220 in his pro career with 3 XBHs. He's 23 years old in low A ball playing at two and a half years above the league average.
Mogollon is doing his work in an age appropriate setting (actually almost a year under league average) and putting up far superior numbers across the board.
Looking at how people played in the same season after being drafted is not wise. If you did that, Dylan Crews is utter trash according to you (he hit .208 with 0 HRs at AA)
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4 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:
Disqualifying one guy because he is 5'8", but not the guy who is 2 inches shorter isn't rational. Neither is talking about a "hit tool" for a guy who topped out at .312 in college at age 22, but ignoring it for someone who hit .314 in pro ball at age 18 with better power numbers.
The DSL isn't pro ball. Its high school juniors on a dirt field vs pitchers that can't pitch. And I've never disqualified him outright.
Mogollon's power will evaporate when he comes stateside. He didn't show enough speed or enough of a hit tool to expect it to continue stateside either.
Thus no tool for him, in my opinion, is good enough to project him to be more than a guy that will stall at AA or AAA
Aslo, you do know College is the equivalent of A+, AA if its the SEC.
The DSL is the equivalent of JV in high school at times. At times varsity
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6 minutes ago, Chick Mercedes said:
Spontaneously?
Probably once the team is on a 15 game or longer losing streak
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1 minute ago, southsider2k5 said:
Spoiler alert, he's 5'6"
I know and you were you capable of having a rational convo you'd know why...
There are exceptions to the height if they have a tool or two that can overcome it.
Nishida has a good hit tool, but he also should not be at Kanny so it's going to appear better for now. He should be at WS.
It's also about expectation. I wouldn't expect him to be much more than maybe a utility type. Possibly he could be starter but his hit tool will have to be very high once he gets to the upper minors.
Hell i think Dylan O'Rae in the Brewers org is going to soar up rankings (including mine) this year and he is only 5'7" but he has a great hit tool, speed that rivals or tops Victor Scott and Chandler Simpson, and exceptional plate discipline.
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33 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:
What is the difference between #25 and #42?
Power. I have him at 40. He needs to start showing in game power or he could be a Benetendi type (the blasphemy)
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I said last night I'm gonna be watching Nishida closely. Game 2 of the season and Nishida goes 5 for 5 💪
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Just now, fathom said:
One thing that is obvious looking at all the lineups is just how much power this organization lacks. Need to find some in the draft IMO.
There is a ton this year. Should be a big pick this year. I want Jac but a lot of options will be there
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2 minutes ago, fathom said:
It’s the weakest Sox affiliate roster I think of all time
Here's a question to ponder
Who wins, Kanny or the Sox?
I dont think its an easy answer
Tommy Pham close to deal with White Sox
in Pale Hose Talk
Posted
He's played it a bunch to begin his career with the Sox, I really don't think he'd be worse than Fletcher there. At worse I think he'd be equivalent