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About GenericUserName

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  1. GenericUserName

    Pomeranz as RP target?

    I could go back and listen, but I think that was the point. Other guys who had similar numbers over small samples all ended up doing well outside of one person who got injured.
  2. GenericUserName

    Pomeranz as RP target?

    The Statcast podcast had a good segment on him. It's worth the listen, but the general point was that very few people who put up numbers like he did end up being bad. So while it might be a smaller sample, he might actually be less volatile than other relievers.
  3. GenericUserName

    Team USA 2020 Olympics team has 2 Sox prospects

    They better bring a better team to the next qualifying event. It will be embarrassing if we don't even make the Olympics.
  4. GenericUserName

    Sox trade rights to Welington Castillo to rangers

    They have the next 8 months to spend the money. J2 doesn't mealy July is the only time you can sign people. The window remains open until mid-June. If they want to sign any amateurs that pop up between now and then (and there are a lot with the Cuban defections), they need this money.
  5. GenericUserName

    Sox trade rights to Welington Castillo to rangers

    Fuck Jerry Reinsdorf and everyone he has hired to run this organization into the ground so he can make a buck
  6. GenericUserName

    Badler 2020 J2 Preview

    I don't know if he will be 2020 or if he will be cleared and sign in this current period, but Pedro Manuel Leon has left Cuba. IMO, he was one of the top 2 or 3 best players left. Hopefully we have enough money to make a run at him whichever period he decides to sign in.
  7. I think what you have to do is ask the Red Sox if they are willing to trade him, and if they are then ask if you can first contact Mookie's agent. You don't need to agree to a deal, just to see what kind of number he would need to see to forego free agency and see if you are comfortable going to that number for him. At least to me, this isn't the same as agreeing to a trade contingent upon an extension, so we should only have to pay the price for one year of control and not the many more from the extension. Once we get him we then negotiate for the extension knowing it is going to be close to market rate. You take the number he said he wanted and basically offer that and make him turn you down and risk playing a whole year just to maybe get a little more. That said, I don't see us doing it. I think its much more likely they try to sign him to an extension and let JDM walk when he tries to add a year or two to his deal. And even if they do put Mookie on the market, I think some other team will be willing to pay him enough to agree to an extension and the Red Sox will let the team negotiate so they can get a better package in return. At that point I think we are better off avoiding it because it would simultaneously limit our payroll flexibility and greatly reduce our prospect capital.
  8. GenericUserName

    Hahn SOTU

    We're not going to get JDM. If he doesn't have a lot of suitors, he won't opt out. If he opts out, its because he has a lot of suitors. In either case we likely aren't going to be the high bidder for him, either through FA or a trade.
  9. I looked at his statcast page and there are a lot of blue boxes. Hopefully that means there are things he can work on and not that he is just untalented. One of the questions I have is will he have the same ability as Giolito to work on stuff in the offseason? If he has to go back to the DR, do they have the same type of analytics based training that they do here at places like driveline? Or will he be able to stay or come back to work on that stuff? Just from looking at his numbers, I would wonder if he tries to add a cutter. His slider gets pretty good results from an xwoba perspective even though its flatter than normal. On the other hand, his four seamer get hit around even though it has above average horizontal break. Maybe by adding a cutter between those two there are no longer two distinct pitches batters can recognize, but one pitch which looks like another which looks like another. Three different speeds, two directions of break, and two degrees of break in the same direction. I would also call up James Shields and get him to coach him up on the changeup and see if he can get some more vertical break to it. A four pitch mix of 4 seam, cutter, slider, change with the occasional curve thrown in could probably be more effective than he was this year. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/player-scroll?player_id=625643#pitchTypes
  10. GenericUserName

    The juiced ball

    This is what I don't think people get. They think the coverup is players doing steroids again when the real coverup is MLB saying they didn't change the ball on purpose. When we look back on this in a decade, people are going to be asking how no one noticed that MLB changed the ball when it was so obvious and the answer will be that people did, just not the people who were looking for steroids again.
  11. GenericUserName

    The juiced ball

    Well pitchers now have a better understanding of pitch movement and pitch tunneling/sequencing than ever before. But also, IIRC the laces aren't as low this year but the leather is different. They are using a new one designed to prevent the blistering issues pitchers were having and apparently it is more aerodynamic than the previous leather. In that case the break over a shorter distance would likely still be there, but over a longer distance the drag would still probably be lower than a non-juiced ball.
  12. GenericUserName

    The juiced ball

    I don't think there is any real debate that it is the ball. With all the technology at the games now they can literally show that the ball is traveling further for any given velocity and launch angle. They have also tracked that the ball doesn't slow down as much between coming out of the pitcher's hand and crossing the plate. Then there are all the numbers with the AAA leagues using the MLB ball instead of the MiLB ball and how the home run rates skyrocketed. The most important thing to note with regards to the AAA ball change is how players hit for more home runs in AAA than they did in AA in the same season, which would rule out any effects of steroids unless you believe all these players only started taking steroids once they got to AAA. On top of all of that statistical evidence, there is also the anecdotal evidence of all the pitchers who say the ball feels different this year and it effects how they pitch.
  13. GenericUserName

    JDM staying in Boston

    Why? Apparently attendance and viewership numbers are up this year which seemingly would mean revenues are also up. They are already seeking season ticket renewals which would give them every reason to pump up hopes again. Sure, KW and Hahn took some heat, but in the end nothing bad actually happened after that died down. And these guys aren't as big of names as those guys so it would likely get even less blow back from common fans when we miss but it would provide hope for those that know them.
  14. GenericUserName

    Kansas City Royals Sale

    Interestingly, in 2016 the Browns hired Paul DePodesta who was one of the original moneyball guys. In fact, he was who Jonah Hill's character in the Moneyball movie was based on. Apparently the Browns are kind of on the cutting edge of the analytics revolution in football. So a few years from now we might look back at the Browns like the Astros when they sucked but then came to rule the league with analytics.
  15. GenericUserName

    Notables from the Dominican Summer League

    https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/minor-league?pos=all&lg=30&stats=bat&qual=y&type=1&team=&season=2019&seasonEnd=2019&org=&ind=0&splitTeam=false&players=&sort=18,1&pagenum=0 Laureano and Bailey finished 8 and 10, respectively, in the DSL in wRC+ among qualified hitters. If you lower the required ABs, then Reuben Benavides also is on the list and is even higher than Laureano and Bailey.