OmarComing25 Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/instagraphs...dule-strengths/ We're projected to have the hardest schedule in the MLB in the second half. Fangraphs projects us at a .380 winning percentage the rest of the way, and that's with all of our trade assets still on the team. It's going to be ugly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiSox59 Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Jul 11, 2017 -> 03:59 PM) http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/instagraphs...dule-strengths/ We're projected to have the hardest schedule in the MLB in the second half. Fangraphs projects us at a .380 winning percentage the rest of the way, and that's with all of our trade assets still on the team. It's going to be ugly. Hmm. A little surprised to see this since we've already played 13 more games on the road than at home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmarComing25 Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Jul 11, 2017 -> 04:17 PM) Hmm. A little surprised to see this since we've already played 13 more games on the road than at home. Looking at our schedule it makes sense though. Our interleague slate is the Dodgers, Cubs and Giants. The latter two are likely much better than their record thus far. In the AL we have yet to play the Astros and are finished with the A's. We still have to play at Fenway and aside from potentially the Tigers there are no "easy" wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiSox59 Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Jul 11, 2017 -> 04:25 PM) Looking at our schedule it makes sense though. Our interleague slate is the Dodgers, Cubs and Giants. The latter two are likely much better than their record thus far. In the AL we have yet to play the Astros and are finished with the A's. We still have to play at Fenway and aside from potentially the Tigers there are no "easy" wins. Fair enough, makes sense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
witesoxfan Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 I know the Sox are 9 games ahead of the Phillies right now, but I really don't think that is too big of a gap to jump. With that difficult of a schedule plus selling pieces off and bringing up inexperienced players, it really wouldn't surprise me terribly for them to play right around .300 baseball down the stretch. Frankly, once Quintana is gone, I don't see much of a reason to keep around guys like Shields, Melky, Frazier, Swarzak, Holland, Gonzalez, or Robertson, though they'll be dealt as the offers come in. Maybe we even see surprises and guys like Kahnle and Avisail are dealt too. The team could be really, really ugly in the second half. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Jul 11, 2017 -> 04:37 PM) I know the Sox are 9 games ahead of the Phillies right now, but I really don't think that is too big of a gap to jump. With that difficult of a schedule plus selling pieces off and bringing up inexperienced players, it really wouldn't surprise me terribly for them to play right around .300 baseball down the stretch. Frankly, once Quintana is gone, I don't see much of a reason to keep around guys like Shields, Melky, Frazier, Swarzak, Holland, Gonzalez, or Robertson, though they'll be dealt as the offers come in. Maybe we even see surprises and guys like Kahnle and Avisail are dealt too. The team could be really, really ugly in the second half. The suck has only begun. We are about to get worse in the starting rotation and in the infield defense, as well as the bullpen. It is going to be ugly with a capital U after the deals start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hi8is Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jul 11, 2017 -> 02:42 PM) The suck has only begun. We are about to get worse in the starting rotation and in the infield defense, as well as the bullpen. It is going to be ugly with a capital U after the deals start. Very excite Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flavum Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 15 games before the deadline. 6-9 would be nice...get a couple vs Cubs. 60 games after the deadline...20-40 would be tough viewing, but that could happen depending on who is left. 98 losses would be 2nd or 3rd pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmarComing25 Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 Also the Dodgers have the easiest second half schedule in the MLB by far and are currently on pace for 110 wins. They could potentially challenge the 116 win record if the breaks go their way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Sacamano Posted July 13, 2017 Author Share Posted July 13, 2017 Now the tank can truly commence. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmarComing25 Posted July 13, 2017 Share Posted July 13, 2017 After the trade Fangraphs upgraded our ROS projections. We dropped from .380 to .362, 50 points behind the Padres who are the next projected worse team at .410. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hi8is Posted July 13, 2017 Share Posted July 13, 2017 QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Jul 13, 2017 -> 12:12 PM) After the trade Fangraphs upgraded our ROS projections. We dropped from .380 to .362, 50 points behind the Padres who are the next projected worse team at .410. So that has us with what... the number 2 slot? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panerista Posted July 13, 2017 Share Posted July 13, 2017 QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Jul 13, 2017 -> 11:53 AM) Now the tank can truly commence. I doubt we hit number 1 overall, but dang, we're set for a nice pick next draft. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmarComing25 Posted July 13, 2017 Share Posted July 13, 2017 QUOTE (hi8is @ Jul 13, 2017 -> 02:22 PM) So that has us with what... the number 2 slot? Yes http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hi8is Posted July 13, 2017 Share Posted July 13, 2017 QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Jul 13, 2017 -> 12:29 PM) Yes http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx 💪🏻 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kwill Posted July 14, 2017 Share Posted July 14, 2017 Does anybody know if we have a shot at getting a competitive balance pick if we suck enough. On MLB they say it is a formula including standing and revenue generated but really don't go into further detail. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hi8is Posted July 14, 2017 Share Posted July 14, 2017 QUOTE (kwill @ Jul 14, 2017 -> 12:04 AM) Does anybody know if we have a shot at getting a competitive balance pick if we suck enough. On MLB they say it is a formula including standing and revenue generated but really don't go into further detail. Based on how I interpreted the competitive balance rules when they came out - we're considered a large market team regardless of standings and have no shot at a pick... however, someone more knowledgeable should chime in because I'm not 100% certain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Sacamano Posted July 14, 2017 Author Share Posted July 14, 2017 Rodon Shields Holland Gonzalez Pelfrey The rotation of a tanking team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiSox59 Posted July 14, 2017 Share Posted July 14, 2017 QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Jul 14, 2017 -> 09:24 AM) Rodon Shields Holland Gonzalez Pelfrey The rotation of a tanking team. It could most definitely be worse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmags Posted July 14, 2017 Share Posted July 14, 2017 QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Jul 14, 2017 -> 09:39 AM) It could most definitely be worse. I actually think this is the low point. The production may be worse initially from lopez/giolito/fulmer but i'd much prefer watching them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoxAce Posted July 14, 2017 Share Posted July 14, 2017 QUOTE (bmags @ Jul 14, 2017 -> 10:19 AM) I actually think this is the low point. No. Rodon could easily get injured again. Then... it'll be worse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted July 14, 2017 Share Posted July 14, 2017 QUOTE (SoxAce @ Jul 14, 2017 -> 10:25 AM) No. Rodon could easily get injured again. Then... it'll be worse. Wait until prospects start busting and the hindsight starts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flavum Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 Padres-Giants this weekend. If the Pads win tonight, Sox move up to 3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maxjusttyped Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 4.5 games behind SF for #2. 0.5 games behind SD for #3. Let the scoreboard watching begin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SonofaRoache Posted July 15, 2017 Share Posted July 15, 2017 I get that scoreboard watching is fun, but in all honest picks 1-5 are a crapshoot anyway. From 2002-2014 there were four guys that lived up to the hype. I don't care where we draft, as long as we find the right player. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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