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2019 MLB draft thread


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BA's Top 50 High School Prospects for the 2019 Draft:

https://www.baseballamerica.com/rankings/top-50-high-school-baseball-prospects-for-the-2019-mlb-draft/

Premium article, but here's the top 5. Willing to answer questions/provide snips for further prospects as requested.

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1

Bobby Witt Jr.

SS

Notes:

School: Colleyville (Texas) Heritage HS
Ht: 6-1 | Wt: 183 | B-T: R-R
Commit: Oklahoma
Scouting Report: A five-tool talent out of Texas and the son of a former 16-year major leaguer, Bobby Witt Jr. has an expansive toolset that includes plus power, speed, arm strength and defensive ability at shortstop. How high Witt Jr. goes in the draft next spring will depend on the conviction that scouts have in his hit tool, as evaluators have questions about the amount of swing-and-miss in his game after his performance this summer. Still, he hit massive home runs at multiple events this summer against top competition and routinely impacts the game defensively thanks to his elite hands, quick footwork and the ability to throw on the run and from multiple arm slots. Witt Jr. is committed to Oklahoma.

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2

C.J. Abrams

SS

Notes:

School: Blessed Trinity HS, Roswell, Ga.
Ht: 6-2 | Wt: 185 | B-T: L-R
Commit: Alabama
Scouting Report: A speedy shortstop out of Georgia, Abrams has some of the best bat-to-ball skills of the 2019 class with a simple, clean stroke from the lefthanded batter’s box. He uses his elite contact ability and plus-plus speed to drive balls to both outfield gaps for extra-base hits, and he beats out infield singles by routinely posting 70-grade run times from home to first. Abrams has below-average raw power and rolls over on the ball at times, leading some scouts to question his future impact potential, but his defensive ability at shortstop is among the best in the class. He has a short arm action, quick hands and a fast exchange with excellent range, allowing his arm to play up. He also logged a few innings in center field this summer, where he chased down balls well. Abrams is committed to Alabama.

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3

Riley Greene

OF

Notes:

School: Hagerty HS, Oviedo, Fla.
Ht: 6-2 | Wt: 197 | B-T: L-L
Commit: Florida
Scouting Report: An outfielder out of Florida, Greene is arguably the best overall hitter in the high school class. He entered the 2019 draft cycle as one of the most anticipated hitters, and he did nothing to dispel that status by performing in several events this summer, routinely squaring up the best pitchers in the class. Greene has a small hitch in his smooth, lefthanded swing, but he has more than enough bat speed to avoid it being a red flag. He has a patient approach and a great understanding of the strike zone, with solid power and a chance for more as he fills out his 6-foot-1, 192-pound frame. He likely fits best in a corner at the next level as a below-average runner with questionable jumps at times, but he has an accurate arm. He is committed to Florida.

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4

Brennan Malone

RHP

Notes:

School: IMG Academy, Bradenton, Fla.
Ht: 6-3 | Wt: 203 | B-T: R-R
Commit: North Carolina
Scouting Report: A 6-foot-3, 203-pound righthander, Malone put himself at the top of the high school pitching class thanks to an excellent package of starter traits, premium stuff and projection for more down the line. His fastball is among the best in the class, touching 97 mph and sitting in the low to mid-90s in short stints this summer. His quick and loose arm action, combined with a terrific frame, lead scouts to believe he will touch 100 mph at some point. Malone throws a slider and curveball that are presently inconsistent, but have shown flashes at times this summer. His low-80s slider is currently ahead of a mid- to upper-70s curveball, and he also throws a mid-80s changeup with solid arm speed. Malone transferred out of North Carolina and will play his final high school season at IMG Academy in Bradenton, Fla. He’s committed to North Carolina.

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5

Daniel Espino

RHP

Notes:

School: Bulloch Academy, Statesboro, Ga.
Ht: 6-0 | Wt: 196 | B-T: R-R
Commit: Louisiana State
Scouting Report: The Georgia righthander has the best present stuff of any pitcher in the high school class—with no exceptions. His fastball touched 100 mph this summer, and the pitch regularly sat in the 94-98 mph range in short stints. His mid-70s curveball is a plus pitch presently, with sharp, late break, and he also throws a slider in the low 80s with late life that could become another plus offering. Espino infrequently throws an 86-89 mph changeup that needs refinement. Born in Panama, Espino lacks the future projection of other arms in the class. Some scouts worry about the length to his arm action, but he has a strong lower half and gets off the mound with tremendous force, allowing others to worry less about the stress he’ll endure on his elbow and shoulder.

 

 

 

 

Edited by DirtySox
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3 hours ago, dominik-keul@gmx.de said:

Asked McDaniel from fg about vaughns future and current raw power. Says both is a 60 which is not spectacular for a 1b but he has a good chance to get to 60 game power which is good.

60 not spectacular???

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6 hours ago, dominik-keul@gmx.de said:

60 means 23-27 Homers on average.

https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scouting-explained-the-20-80-scouting-scale/

Most 1b drafted in the top10 will have 70+ power. But of course Vaughn projects also for like a 70 bat which is not that common.

Based on MLB.coms rating of the top 100 prospects there are exactly 2 who score higher than 60 for power, Eloy (70) and Vlad Jr. (65). 

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57 minutes ago, Flash said:

Based on MLB.coms rating of the top 100 prospects there are exactly 2 who score higher than 60 for power, Eloy (70) and Vlad Jr. (65). 

For what its worth, among high 2018 picks considered to be power hitters, Bart, Bohm and Beer rated 55s and Gorman 60.

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Yes, and none of those mentioned struck out fewer times than they hit those home runs. Vaughn had just 18 strike outs, while hitting 23 homers and a .400 AVG. That is quite remarkable, especially as a sophomore. If he repeats, or exceeds that performance, he will likely go #1. I don't care about his size, or the position he plays. That kind of hitter is rare.

Edited by Lillian
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On 10/10/2018 at 2:46 PM, Dick Allen said:

Bobby Witt Jr. with a questionable hit tool and swing and miss question marks is exactly the kind of guy the White Sox don't seem to be the ideal organization for him to be drafted.

Was gonna say the same thing. McDaniel/Longenhagen spent some time talking about Witt on a recent podcast and at what point said it’s possible that Witt is a 30 hit at maturity and will be a major leaguer on the strength of his speed and power. This is not the type of player I want in the White Sox organization. 

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45 minutes ago, Lillian said:

Yes, and none of those mentioned struck out fewer times than they hit those home runs. Vaughn had just 18 strike outs, while hitting 23 homers and a .400 AVG. That is quite remarkable, especially as a sophomore. If he repeats, or exceeds that performance, he will likely go #1. I don't care about his size, or the position he plays. That kind of hitter is rare.

I don't know why 5'11" is a bad thing anyway. Reggie Jackson and Dick Allen are 5'11". But it's sort of taboo to draft a 1B that high. If he's the best hitter, who cares? I guess the 1B position is one to move people who can't field elsewhere.

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1 hour ago, Eminor3rd said:

Was gonna say the same thing. McDaniel/Longenhagen spent some time talking about Witt on a recent podcast and at what point said it’s possible that Witt is a 30 hit at maturity and will be a major leaguer on the strength of his speed and power. This is not the type of player I want in the White Sox organization. 

Yup. If you want an up the middle prep talent, Abrams fits the White Sox development profile much more than Witt. Abrams question is the power, not the hit tool.

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On 10/11/2018 at 1:59 PM, Flash said:

Based on MLB.coms rating of the top 100 prospects there are exactly 2 who score higher than 60 for power, Eloy (70) and Vlad Jr. (65). 

But the 60 is raw power not game power. Most have higher game power than raw power.

Examples (fangraphs)

Vlad jr 80 raw, 70 power

Eloy 80 raw, 70 game

Tatis 70 raw, 60 game 

 

In most cases 60 raw means 55 or lower game power but Vaughns bat is so good that he could be a rare case were game power and raw match.

 

Don't get me wrong, 60 raw isn't bad it is just not impressive compared to other 1b prospects. For example fangraphs has 70 on Zack Collins raw, so do they have on Peter alonso and josh Naylor. Basically all top 50 rated 1b prospects have 70 or higher raw.

Don't get me wrong I love the hit tool but he definitely is an unusual top 1b prospect who tend to be taller and with more raw power.

Now if he does become a 290 hitter with 25-30 homers that would basically be Jose abreu and I would be fine with that at 3 but I could also see why one would like more upside.

Edited by dominik-keul@gmx.de
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Baseball America's 2019 Draft College Top 50.

Premium. Posting top 5. Willing to share other rankings/snippets as requested.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/rankings/top-50-college-baseball-prospects-for-the-2019-mlb-draft/

Quote

 

1

Adley Rutschman

Oregon StateC

Notes:

Ht: 6-0 | Wt: 185 | B-T: B-R
Commit/Drafted: Mariners '16 (40)
Scouting Report: The consensus top college prospect, Rutschman led Oregon State to a College World Series title during his sophomore season while leading the Beavers in hitting. He then joined USA Baseball’s Collegiate National Team shortly after his college season and led all USA hitters in each triple slash category. Rutschman has been on scouts’ radars since he was in high school, where he had impressive raw power, touched 94 mph off the mound and was also an elite kicker—he served as the Beavers’ place kicker during his freshman season before turning his focus completely to baseball. After polishing his game in all facets in Corvallis, Rutschman has no holes in his game, with plus defensive tools ranging from receiving ability to a strong, accurate arm. He’s a plus hitter from both sides of the plate with a long track record of hitting, and he’s also a fierce leader on the field and the favorite to become the first overall pick next June.

2

Andrew Vaughn

California1B

Notes:

Ht: 5-11 | Wt: 214 | B-T: R-R
Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Scouting Report: The 2018 Golden Spikes award winner, Vaughn put up one of the best offensive campaigns in Cal’s history, with a .402/.531/.819 slash line and 23 home runs—tying the Cal record previously set by Xavier Nady in 1999. He had a quiet summer with the Collegiate National Team, but scouts and coaches alike rave about Vaughn’s feel to hit, which is coupled with a preternatural feel for the strike zone and tremendous raw power. He’s walked 63 times compared to 42 strikeouts in two seasons with Cal, and he’s also a solid defender at first base. Vaughn should get drafted near the top of the first round as he is arguably the best all-around hitter in the 2019 draft class.

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3

Shea Langeliers

BaylorC

Notes:

Ht: 6-0 | Wt: 190 | B-T: R-R
Commit/Drafted: Blue Jays '16 (34)
Scouting Report: In a typical draft class, the Baylor backstop would be a safe bet as the top catcher in the class, but Langeliers has to deal with Rutschman ahead of him in the 2019 group. Still, Langeliers has a solid, all-around toolset with no weaknesses in his game aside from being a below-average runner—which is the least important tool for a pro catcher. He projects as a solid-average hitter with average power, and even more juice to the pull-side, with a strong defensive skill set behind the plate. Langeliers has above-average receiving and blocking ability as well as a strong, accurate arm, which he used to throw out almost 70 percent of basestealers last spring.

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4

Graeme Stinson

DukeLHP

Notes:

Ht: 6-5 | Wt: 250 | B-T: L-L
Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Scouting Report: A big, physical lefthander with tantalizing upside as a high schooler in the 2016 draft class, Stinson has steadily climbed closer and closer to his ceiling during his collegiate career. The 6-foot-5, 250-pound southpaw significantly lowered his walk rate from his freshman to sophomore season and also impressed scouts as the top arm on USA Baseball’s Collegiate National Team this summer. Armed with a plus fastball and slider—which some scouts label a grade higher at plus-plus—Stinson has the potential to be an innings-eating workhorse in the starting rotation. However, he’ll need to establish a track record of success as a starter next spring to convince scouts, as he’s pitched more frequently out of the bullpen to this point, and teams wonder about his athleticism and ability to repeat his delivery. He’s got some of the best stuff in the class and is trending in the right direction, but will need to put it all together during his junior season.

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5

Josh Jung

Texas Tech3B

Notes:

Ht: 6-2 | Wt: 215 | B-T: R-R
Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Scouting Report: The Big 12 Freshman of the Year after a solid 2017 campaign with Texas Tech, Jung took a step forward during his sophomore season this spring, posting a .392/.491/.639 slash line and doubling his home run output from six to 12. A physical, 6-foot-2, 215-pound third baseman, Jung has a solid, backside-heavy approach at the plate with plenty of strength and bat speed. More power should come for him down the road as he learns how to pull the ball more aggressively, but for now Jung seems content to keep his hands inside the ball and drive it the other way. Defensively, opinions range from below-average to plus on Jung’s work at the hot corner, as he’s more capable coming in on balls than moving laterally. He has below-average quickness but solid hands and a strong arm.

 

 

Edited by DirtySox
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36 minutes ago, Flash said:

Thanks for posting. Can you share profiles of Witt and Carter Stewart?

The Witt profile is just a few posts up. Stewart isn't in either the College or High School lists. I reckon it's because he isn't draft eligible unless he ends up in Juco ball, which isn't confirmed yet?

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24 minutes ago, DirtySox said:

The Witt profile is just a few posts up. Stewart isn't in either the College or High School lists. I reckon it's because he isn't draft eligible unless he ends up in Juco ball, which isn't confirmed yet?

Thanks....just noticed college prospects. Nice to see Vaughn get some notoriety. 

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Just now, ChiSoxJon said:

Doesn't look like Vaughn is that highly thought of anymore, wasn't too big a fan anyway:

https://www.draftsite.com/mlb/mock-draft/2019/

My way too early dream top 4 round mock:

1) Adley Rutschman, C, Oregon State

2) Adam Laskey, LHP, Duke

3) Jack Leiter, RHP, NJ-HS

4) Gianluca Dalatri, RHP, UNC

Will Holland from Auburn a name I really like too, late first rounder

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