Soxtalk Odds: Signing Manny or Bryce Harper November 2018 edition

[bmags]

What's the pulse of the board?

[Southwest Sider]

I am an optimist but at this early juncture I can't help but look at the Sox from 11-20% given how many other potential suitors there still are.

[Bob Sacamano]

Lol 100%

[Jack Parkman]

I accidentally voted 21-30% for Harper when I meant 0-10%. Don't know how I made that mistake 

[Baron]

I think most of you are aware at my position on this. 0.0

 

 

[CWSpalehoseCWS]

Going with the 21-30% for both. I’m more optimistic than most here.

[SoxBlanco]

I’m saying 15% for Harper and 28% for Machado. That would mean we have a 38.8% chance of landing at least one of them. 

[Bigsoxhurt35]

I voted 21-30 for Machado and 0-10 for Harper

[daggins]

0-10% for both. Harper ~2%, Machado slightly higher.

[CaliSoxFanViaSWside]

I'm doing a lot of dreaming in other threads but realistically I'm going 0-10% for either/both.

[Dick Allen]

I am hoping for some sort of miracle, but doubtful. O-10, a lot closer to 0 for either. Both is even closer to 0. 

 

I do think signing Harper might be worth more to the White Sox than any other franchise. He puts them and keeps them on the map more than any other player IMO.even Mike Trout,  he honestly might be worth $40 million a year to them, but I can not see JR going there.

Edited November 9, 2018 by Dick Allen

[Soxbadger]

I think Harper slightly more, but eother one is only 20%.

If Wash offered 30 for 10. Id offer 35 for 5, with opt out. But also give Sox a right to opt back in for an additional $5 mil per year. Which would mean 40mil at year 6. Maybe throw in some escalators as well.

Im not sure ive ever seen a contract structured that way in sports, but it works in theory.

Edited November 9, 2018 by Soxbadger

[CaliSoxFanViaSWside]

18 minutes ago, Soxbadger said:

I think Harper slightly more, but eother one is only 20%.

If Wash offered 30 for 10. Id offer 30 for 5, with opt out. But also give Sox a right to opt back in for an additional $5 mil per year. Which would mean 40mil at year 6. Maybe throw in some escalators as well.

Im not sure ive ever seen a contract structured that way in sports, but it works in theory.

I think Boras is aiming for Harper to be the highest AAV player in baseball. He'd have to beat Kershaw with that so I'm expecting minimum $35M AAV for him., years and opt outs debatable.

[Soxbadger]

I mistyped i meant 35 for 5, thats why the additional 5 put him at 40.

Edited November 9, 2018 by Soxbadger

[LittleHurt05]

Is Jerry Reinsdorf still owner?

If yes, then 0-10%.

And no, my username was never Thad Bosely.

[southsider2k5]

So who put Kenny Williams back in charge? Was there a race I missed on my ballot?

[Baker]

I’d say Harper is worth $300M in baseball value and another $100M in star power value.  Just having him signed up would boost tv and attendance by at least 10% ( $20M per year)  Manny doesn’t have that kind of star power  

  Harper might take $50M x 4, $35M x 6  4 yr opt out = $410M. I don’t think the Sox will be outbid except maybe the Cardinals  Sox have a better future than the Phils  Most others won’t pony up  Sleeping giant here on the South Side  

  Chances I’ll put at 25%  

 

[greg775]

4 hours ago, Baron said:

I think most of you are aware at my position on this. 0.0

 

 

Ditto greg. I said zero to 10 percent. I'd love us getting them though I'm not a fan of Machado's red flags.

[LittleHurt05]

31 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

So who put Kenny Williams back in charge? Was there a race I missed on my ballot?

I missed when he was taken out.of charge?

[Panerista]

On 11/8/2018 at 6:25 PM, Dick Allen said:

I am hoping for some sort of miracle, but doubtful. O-10, a lot closer to 0 for either. Both is even closer to 0. 

 

I do think signing Harper might be worth more to the White Sox than any other franchise. He puts them and keeps them on the map more than any other player IMO.even Mike Trout,  he honestly might be worth $40 million a year to them, but I can not see JR going there.

Meh, he paid Michael Jordan.  Jerry would probably pay the best player in the sport (the best any of us has ever seen) what he's worth.

[CaliSoxFanViaSWside]

On 11/8/2018 at 2:11 PM, bmags said:

What's the pulse of the board?

Brain dead and on life support ? green green don't take me seriously .

[Panerista]

It's almost impossible to project when we don't know how many teams are interested in Harper.