ptatc Posted August 12, 2020 Share Posted August 12, 2020 8 hours ago, caulfield12 said: 6th Astros 82.2% 7th White Sox 69.4% 8th Red Sox 37.1% 9th Angels 34.5% 10th Tigers 33.2% Are you seriously going to standings watch for every game? Better buy stock in TUMS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted August 12, 2020 Share Posted August 12, 2020 1 minute ago, ptatc said: Are you seriously going to standings watch for every game? Better buy stock in TUMS. Southsider2k5 did it too, lol. Seriously, despite that 1-5 slide, providing this "statistical prediction" on a regular basis can at least validate that we're on the right trajectory for making the playoffs. (For example, at the time of the James Shields trade in 2016, the odds at that time were closer to 33%.) Of course, adding 3 teams in each league changes the equation pretty dramatically. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptatc Posted August 12, 2020 Share Posted August 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, caulfield12 said: Southsider2k5 did it too, lol. Seriously, despite that 1-5 slide, providing this "statistical prediction" on a regular basis can at least validate that we're on the right trajectory for making the playoffs. (For example, at the time of the James Shields trade in 2016, the odds at that time were closer to 33%.) Of course, adding 3 teams in each league changes the equation pretty dramatically. I get it. But with a team this young and beat up it's going to be a rollercoaster all year. So buy stock in TUMS and enjoy the games and the ride. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted August 12, 2020 Author Share Posted August 12, 2020 Sox pen is currently tied for 5th in all of baseball and 3rd in the AL for Win probability. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=3&season=2020&month=0&season1=2020&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2020-01-01&enddate=2020-12-31 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flavum Posted August 13, 2020 Share Posted August 13, 2020 Are the 2nd place teams getting seeded 4-5-6 no matter what, or is it just record past 3, but must include 2nd place teams? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted August 13, 2020 Author Share Posted August 13, 2020 Off-day update: 74.9%, still 7th in the AL https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted August 13, 2020 Share Posted August 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: Off-day update: 74.9%, still 7th in the AL https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds Ptac? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flavum Posted August 13, 2020 Share Posted August 13, 2020 16 minutes ago, flavum said: Are the 2nd place teams getting seeded 4-5-6 no matter what, or is it just record past 3, but must include 2nd place teams? I’ll answer my own question. 2nd place teams are seeded 4, 5, and 6. Another mistake by MLB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flavum Posted August 13, 2020 Share Posted August 13, 2020 (edited) By record, the Sox are top 8. By playoff format, the Sox aren’t in the playoffs because head-to-head with Cleveland. The Rangers would be the 6-seed with an 8-9 record. Edited August 13, 2020 by flavum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted August 13, 2020 Author Share Posted August 13, 2020 https://twitter.com/SportsInfo_SIS/status/1293905761526075392?s=20 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptatc Posted August 13, 2020 Share Posted August 13, 2020 (edited) 48 minutes ago, caulfield12 said: Ptac? Yep. TUMS all around. At least this one is on an off day when there really isn't much else to post. Edited August 13, 2020 by ptatc Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chitownsportsfan Posted August 14, 2020 Share Posted August 14, 2020 9 hours ago, southsider2k5 said: https://twitter.com/SportsInfo_SIS/status/1293905761526075392?s=20 Luis Robert I'd guess has at least 1/3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted August 14, 2020 Author Share Posted August 14, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted August 14, 2020 Author Share Posted August 14, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fathom Posted August 15, 2020 Share Posted August 15, 2020 Root heavily for Tampa, Colorado and Dodgers this weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted August 15, 2020 Share Posted August 15, 2020 73%, no trailing AL team over 30% for 8th position... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScootsMcGoots Posted August 15, 2020 Share Posted August 15, 2020 11 hours ago, southsider2k5 said: Would love for Super Joe to be our manager some day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted August 15, 2020 Share Posted August 15, 2020 56 minutes ago, ScooterMcGee said: Would love for Super Joe to be our manager some day That would placate LaRussa, at least... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted August 17, 2020 Author Share Posted August 17, 2020 This hasn't been talked about much so far with the offensive misery, but the defense for the Sox has been a huge positive this year. They currently rank 4th in MLB in defensive runs saved Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chitownsportsfan Posted August 17, 2020 Share Posted August 17, 2020 7 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: This hasn't been talked about much so far with the offensive misery, but the defense for the Sox has been a huge positive this year. They currently rank 4th in MLB in defensive runs saved They've made a lot of good plays and if they can just clean up the awful ones this would be an elite defense with all the speed and arms scattered throughout. Getting Mazara out of RF would be a big boost. Between him and Eloy not even Robert can cover those gaps. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted August 17, 2020 Author Share Posted August 17, 2020 Also interesting is the list of Sox players showing up in the top of the DRS chart. http://fieldingbible.com/DRSLeaderboard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted August 17, 2020 Author Share Posted August 17, 2020 Sox now sitting at 73.8% playoff chance according to fangraphs, still 7th in AL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fathom Posted August 17, 2020 Share Posted August 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: Sox now sitting at 73.8% playoff chance according to fangraphs, still 7th in AL. Toronto took a huge hit with Bichette likely missing at least a month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted August 17, 2020 Author Share Posted August 17, 2020 1 minute ago, fathom said: Toronto took a huge hit with Bichette likely missing at least a month. The really good thing for us is the remainder of our schedule is pretty low. Ours is .518, while Cleveland is .543 and Minnesota is .555. We have a real shot at a top 2 slot in the division still, especially if Clevinger and Pleasac are gone for. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ron883 Posted August 17, 2020 Share Posted August 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, fathom said: Toronto took a huge hit with Bichette likely missing at least a month. His numbers are absurd. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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