Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
southsider2k5

Sox playoff chances sit at 100%, 3rd in AL for WS odds

Recommended Posts

14 minutes ago, Leonard Zelig said:

How can the playoff odds be 100% when they haven’t clinched yet?

The combination of needing to be passed by so  many teams, with so few games left to play mean that a scenario where ALL of them win enough games, while also NOT pushing another contending team down and out of mathematical contention make it so statistically improbable, that it effectively becomes 100%.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, southsider2k5 said:

The combination of needing to be passed by so  many teams, with so few games left to play mean that a scenario where ALL of them win enough games, while also NOT pushing another contending team down and out of mathematical contention make it so statistically improbable, that it effectively becomes 100%.

It's probably something like 99.9999% and they just rounded up.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm not the superstitious type, but if I was, it feels as though the Padres and Sox are destined to face off in the World Series. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, SouthWallace said:

 

I'm going to be in heaven the days where there are 6 playoff games

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, mqr said:

I'm going to be in heaven the days where there are 6 playoff games

Real nice to have youth on our side right now.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ALDS starting 10/5 lets the Sox set up their rotation nicely even if they go 3 games in the WC round.  No off days for LDS and LCS will be a test for managing rotation & bullpen.

Edited by SouthWallace

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I know its a small consideration but I wish the AL played in Texas and not CA. Less adjustment for the White Sox, better time zone for Sox fans, better history playing in Texas vs CA.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
38 minutes ago, SouthWallace said:

 

Who needs off days when you could sweep your opponents in the playoffs?

But seriously though, was this always assumed to be the case? Why wasn’t this announced earlier. I could see this impacting a contender’s decision to acquire another starter during TDL.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, thxfrthmmrs said:

Who needs off days when you could sweep your opponents in the playoffs?

But seriously though, was this always assumed to be the case? Why wasn’t this announced earlier. I could see this impacting a contender’s decision to acquire another starter during TDL.

I hadn't heard either way.  I would doubt this is totally out of the blue for players/teams.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I always knew the off days would be less due to the new playoff format, but I didn't think they'd get rid of them. Now every team needs 5 starters or would have to have guys go on short rest.

Edited by chw42

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, palehose1 said:

I know its a small consideration but I wish the AL played in Texas and not CA. Less adjustment for the White Sox, better time zone for Sox fans, better history playing in Texas vs CA.

This. I hate hate hate West Coast games because they start at 10pm ET for me. Playoff hockey can go until 1am - a playoff baseball game will go until 2am. Hell, last night's game was 4 hours long and it wasn't even high scoring. 

Games consistently ending after midnight in the team's hometown are not good for viewership, and I thought the whole reason we're playing baseball this year anyway is for the money the playoffs are supposed to make. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, MiddleCoastBias said:

This. I hate hate hate West Coast games because they start at 10pm ET for me. Playoff hockey can go until 1am - a playoff baseball game will go until 2am. Hell, last night's game was 4 hours long and it wasn't even high scoring. 

Games consistently ending after midnight in the team's hometown are not good for viewership, and I thought the whole reason we're playing baseball this year anyway is for the money the playoffs are supposed to make. 

I understand wanting as neutral a field as possible, but they hurt their broadcasts audience if non-west coast teams are starting games at 9/10pm.  Hopefully that is factored into who plays in which slot.

Edited by SouthWallace

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
51 minutes ago, chw42 said:

I always knew the off days would be less due to the new playoff format, but I didn't think they'd get rid of them. Now every team needs 5 starters or would have to have guys go on short rest.

Yes, other teams have the same issue, but would prefer a 2-3-2 format, games followed by a day off, same as with travel. I can see the players wanting to get out of the bubble ASAP and agreeing to this. Will be tempting using Keuchel or Giolito on short rest, but would prefer regular rest especially in this weird year.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

So no homefield advantage and the WC teams don't have to "play in". There's not much advantage winning the division. Maybe they could have let the top seed choose its first round opponent, the next highest available choose its opponent, and down the line. Its crazy, but its 2020.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, SpringfieldFan said:

So no homefield advantage and the WC teams don't have to "play in". There's not much advantage winning the division. Maybe they could have let the top seed choose its first round opponent, the next highest available choose its opponent, and down the line. Its crazy, but its 2020.

I don’t like the idea of teams picking their opponent, and I think a lot of teams wouldn’t even want to be in that position.
The seeding this year should have been division winners, then the next five best records in order. I don’t know why 2nd place teams automatically earned 4 thru 6...they didn’t win anything. Anyway, when it’s down to four in each league, I hope it’s division winners including the Sox, the Padres and Twins. Get the best eight in and play ball for the championship. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, SouthWallace said:

 

This is bad news for the Sox IMO. The debate over our third starter is mostly moot now because both Cease AND Dunning will be throwing every 4 days.

Of course, its good bad news, because if we are worried about Cease and Dunning throwing we have made it to a round with more than three games.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, SouthWallace said:

 

This makes pitching depth a huge variable. No days means pitchers can't pitch twice in any series except the world series. Maybe one in the LCS pitching on 4 days rest. Bullpens will be a major factor.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Our odds of winning the division are at 82%. 

Our odds of finishing in at least 2nd place is 97%. 

Edited by chw42

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 9/15/2020 at 1:59 PM, mqr said:

I'm not the superstitious type, but if I was, it feels as though the Padres and Sox are destined to face off in the World Series. 

I would be able to live with a Padres vs WSox World Series.  I'm not that fussy.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, poppysox said:

I would be able to live with a Padres Anyone vs WSox World Series.  I'm not that fussy.

I agree as well

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×