Jump to content

mac9001

Members
  • Posts

    1,510
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About mac9001

  • Birthday 06/01/1985

Recent Profile Visitors

1,217 profile views

mac9001's Achievements

Mentor

Mentor (12/14)

  • Dedicated
  • Reacting Well
  • First Post
  • Collaborator
  • Posting Machine

Recent Badges

85

Reputation

  1. mac9001

    ST Thread

    Yeah, it's not worth brining him back to save a few million but potentially lose a hundred million of future reputation value. That was some amateur penny pinching s%*# that should be above a respectable organization.
  2. The fact that they haven't been able to leverage financial flexibility into tangible assets doesn't mean it's still not valuable. The purpose on an exercise like this is to quantify value. Having money to spend is very valuable.
  3. mac9001

    ST Thread

    Beating 10fWAR isn't exactly a tall order. You might as well use a random number generator on guys like Soroka or Fedde. They very well could be bad, but we spent a lot of money on pitching last year to be bad. Spending nothing and beating 10fWAR would actually be somewhat of an accomplishment.
  4. Honestly it's kind of a garbage write up. The Sox have actually built up some decent minor league pitching depth. If they have a couple more drafts to pad the depth they're likely to at least fill enough of the staff internally to free up a lot of potential money for a impact FA acquisition. The probably won't actually spend the money, but given they have fairly substantial financial flexibility that actually should work out in their favor for future value building.
  5. mac9001

    ST Thread

    I keep waiting to see like 10 bullpen guys get cut. I will hand this to Getz, somehow without spending any money or acquiring any real talent the Sox staff might still show how improve over last year. It's almost unfathomable that it's a real possibility.
  6. I think you have to go under at 61 simply because if they're on pace for 70 wins it means someone is performing and we'll trade them at the first opportunity.
  7. Thursday is an off day and all the bullpen arms are gonna be fresh. Might as well make it a bullpen day.
  8. I think people too often try to compare kids like this to establish professionals. Hendricks is essentially a two pitch pitcher that excels at getting weak contact on pitches outside the zone (but still doesn't get a low of swinging strikes). You obviously need great command to execute in that way. But Thorpe throws a wide range of pitches and he predominantly lives in the zone. He's just getting people to swing and miss (at roughly twice the rate Hendricks has). He's also not getting the same level of weak contact. Hendricks is unique in that he can get high contact rates without throwing in the zone. Thorpe is limiting walks by throwing a lot of strikes (getting whiffs and strikeouts), but he's also getting hit a lot harder as a result. He profile is very similar to an elite backend bullpen guy with elite raw stuff who's just putting pitches over the plate (limits walks). How he's doing it is a bit of a mystery, you'd be hard pressed to find a current big leaguer that has a similar metric profile with the grade on his stuff (IE low velocity).
  9. Giolito is a textbook example of why velocity doesn't matter. Between 19-21 he was able to throw change ups over the plate, avoid hard contact and get a decent amount of swing and misses by getting ahead, getting people to miss pitches over the plate (usually with a change) or get them chase fastballs out of the zone. For the last two year's he wasn't able to get the same results on the change up and his fastball started to get lit up. Similarly Cease was able to work off an elite slider in 22. If you have an elite pitch you can throw over the plate, get strikes and not get hammer you'll do just fine with any fastball as long as you have at least average command.
  10. I think at a minimum I expected a draft pick as part of the return if you didn't get a legit top 20 guy.
  11. No he didn't, his best season he averaged 93.1 and 91 for his career.
  12. Comparing him to someone like Garland doesn't really work. John had high contact, high GB rates with a very low swing and miss profile. He had one of the lowest K rates and a super low swing strike rate. To put it in perspective Thrope got 2.5% more swinging strikes than Nastrini, who himself is in elite company for starters.
  13. The dude has a 70 grade change up. I haven't seen him pitch and the pitch level data doesn't exist (probably), but my guess is he can throw his change up straight center plate and guys are just not on it enough to make contact. There's obviously something uniquely different as he doesn't have the raw stuff to expect the kind of results he's had. In some ways I think his profile is lends itself for career success than a dude who has great raw stuff but needs to develop command.
  14. 3.7, about as low as it gets. Dude throw strikes and gets a lot of swing and misses. Two recipes for success.
  15. I don't think people grasp just how elite a 18.6% swing string rate (and 21% in AA) is. This isn't Buehrle (7% career swinging strike), this is the kind of number you see with elite closers that focus on getting 3 outs. That on it's own would be impressive but the kid actually throws strikes.
×
×
  • Create New...