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gusguyman

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gusguyman last won the day on September 17 2020

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About gusguyman

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    Bay Area, CA

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  1. gusguyman

    The TLR Manager Thread

    I don't know why everyone else does, but as an owner of the Green Bay Packers i have set an unfortunate precedent for myself....
  2. gusguyman

    Sox rotation so far

    mea culpa, y'all are right, Latos was a cheap-shot example. Still, there are plenty of questions that one month does not answer. Cease has had moments of brilliance before, 2 good starts in a row does not prove he has put it together. Two weeks ago he was on a 4 start streak of less than 5 innings and 3 walks each. Rodon has had moments of brilliance before, but can never stay healthy. Lynn has already had a back injury, and we saw how those can linger with Keuchel last year. I don't mean to sound like a pessimist, I don't think all of these things will go wrong, Katz seems to have our staff on the right track. Maybe its because I'm a stats person or maybe I am just suffering PTSD from Eloy/Robert, but I just don't ever believe in a team hitting a 90th percentile outcome until it has already happened, and it seems like for the first month of the season our rotation has hit a 90th percentile projection (or better?).
  3. gusguyman

    The TLR Manager Thread

    I'm still mad we didn't beat the Marlins dirt cheap offer for Starling Marte at the deadline last year (IK he is injured right now but still).
  4. gusguyman

    The TLR Manager Thread

    For his career, Billy Hamilton has only hit into a double play in 4.4% of his opportunities to do so (league average is just under 11%). With a runner on third and less than 2 outs, Hamilton has scored the runner on 47.6% of opportunities (league average is 50.4%). To keep the same chance of scoring a single run, Garcia would need to have basically a 99% chance of successfully stealing 2nd base. And even from a total expected runs in the inning standpoint Garcia would need to have like an 80-85% chance to steal that base. Just inexplicable decision making.
  5. gusguyman

    GT 5/5: SOX at CIN

    How can a team this good also be this embarrassing, wtf
  6. gusguyman

    GT 5/5: SOX at CIN

    Mercedes followed by the top of the order. If we are going to win this game, this is almost certainly the inning to do it.
  7. gusguyman

    GT 5/5: SOX at CIN

    Keuchel seems like the perfect candidate to follow an opener. With his finesse he can absolutely get you through the order twice most days, and probably face the bottom half of the order three times, but I am very nervous to see him face the top of the lineup a third time.
  8. gusguyman

    Sox rotation so far

    tbh I still don't. All of them starting off hot is certainly better than the alternative, but its May 5th. In 2016 Mat Latos was 4-0 with an ERA below 2 at this point. I hope they all keep it rolling and Katz turns out to be the best pitching coach ever (for SPs anyway) but it is WAY too early to be talking about trades or who is being replaced by Kopech, etc.
  9. How the heck did you become a fan of all these teams? Did you just close your eyes and throw darts at a map of the US?
  10. gusguyman

    Tigers @ Sox, 4/29/21

    That's still a pretty huge difference. That is going from an average player to an All-star. That is going from Eloy to Leury/Engel/Hamilton for a season.
  11. gusguyman

    Tigers @ Sox, 4/29/21

    If this award existed, it would already be named in honor of Caulfield, he shouldn't be eligible for it anymore.
  12. gusguyman

    Tigers @ Sox, 4/29/21

    Only until they move Kopech to the rotation full time
  13. gusguyman

    Tigers @ Sox, 4/29/21

    People wanted him to get some seasoning against AAA pitching though, so facing Mize should be good for him.
  14. gusguyman

    GAME THREADS WARNING

    TIL there is a report post button lol. That is my bad, I'll use that in the future.
  15. gusguyman

    GAME THREADS WARNING

    Meanwhile this post is still sitting there in the Manfred thread....
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