rventura23 Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 Just wondering if anyone knew if people used win probability to create a measure of how clutch a player is. It seems to me on first glance that looking at how much a player affects predicted win probabilities is a great way to measure how clutch a hitter is. (by win probability I mean something like this). It might make the most sense to look at what percent of the maximum change the hitter has on the win probability instead of just how much the player changes the win probability. For instance, if a hitter could change the probability of winning by 5% with the best possible outcome (ie. a home run) but raises the probability of winning by 2% (ie. with a double), then he got 40% of the gains to his at bat with respect to winning the game. Otherwise, you could look at the total change in win probability by a players at bats. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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