These grim but not hopeless percentages come from a site I’m building called Sports Club Stats:
Playoff Race (updated Thursday morning)
What are the chances the White Sox’s will make the playoffs. The percentages are calculated by simulating the rest of the season millions of times and tallying how many times the Sox’s finishes in each position. When I simulate a game I assume both teams have and equal chance of winning.
A 0 means they sometimes finished in that position, but so few times that the percentage rounded to 0. A blank means they never finished in that position.
"Chance will make playoffs" is just the sum of positions 1-4.
Chance will Chance team will finish at position:
make playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
White Sox 2.9 0 0 1 2 81 13 3 0 0
Today's Best Games (updated Thursday morning)
I list what the Sox’s "Chance will make playoffs" would be after both possible game outcomes. The diff column just shows the difference between the two numbers.
1. White Sox vs Mariners
White Sox’s chance to make playoffs if winner is:
White Sox Mariners Diff
4.3 1.5 2.8
2. Red Sox vs Twins
White Sox’s chance to make playoffs if winner is:
Red Sox Twins Diff
4.0 1.8 2.2
3. Orioles vs Tigers
White Sox’s chance to make playoffs if winner is:
Orioles Tigers Diff
3.2 2.6 0.5