joeynach
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Posts posted by joeynach
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If the sox had offers for CQ and Thornton on July 31st 2011, there will be offers for them on October 21st 2011, when the offseason begins, CQ will be moved in the offseason for sure. He will have very little value if the sox wait until next years trade deadline as he will be just a couple months away from free agency. A CQ trade has an offensive starved team with a win now window writter all of it; Braves, Angels, Giants, etc.
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QUOTE (kitekrazy @ Aug 4, 2011 -> 12:43 AM)'Get out of here you Mexican.' doesn't seem like something that would come from Soxtalk. It definitely doesn't paint of positive picture and is really stupid since Ozzie is from Venezuela. That kind of comment would be at least a 6 month ban at WSI.
Ill take the over on 6 months!!
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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Jul 24, 2011 -> 03:33 PM)This is how we treat people who put up the best ERA on our staff. The only way they'll learn not to do that is if we send them to the pen.
Slightly more seriously, yeah, he's thrown 113 innings this year and never thrown more than 140ish if you count the several years of 100+ innings in the minors. So there's something of an innings issue here.
The more realistic answer though is that he gets through 5 innings expertly, but starts to lose it when he gets to 6 innings/90 pitches. Ozzie doesn't seem to have the ability to process that some pitchers aren't conditioned for 110 pitches, so he leaves Philip out there to struggle when his arm starts wearing out with no backup in the bullpen, and Philip winds up taking the loss because of it. Peavy is getting the same treatment.
You know I said the same thing about Peavy to Matt Spiegel and Bernstein on 670 The Score. I tweeted at them the other day and there were talking about it on both their shows. Peavy in pitches 76-90 has a BAA of .440 and in pitches 91-105 has a BAA of .420. My point was that while I looked that up on Yahoo Sports, you could tell Peavy has problems from about the 5th on by just watching, he looses it and apparently everyone know it accept for Peavy and Ozzie. Spiegel said that this really points to durability issues with his arm (obviously from all the injuries) and this type of trend really points to a converted reliver or closer...see Kerry Wood!! Though I do feel for Ozzie, can he really have 2 starting pitcher who cant pitch after 75 pitches, wtf is anyone supposed to do about that. What can he besides hope they can somehow get through their 5th/6th inning struggles, you can have 2 of your 6 starters pitch 4 innings every single time out, that would destroy the bullpen and cost more games in the end. Though that being said I do agree if you see Peavy and Humber out there in the 5th or 6th innings without someone warming in the pen, bad things are going to happen, guranteed.
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I just saw on White Sox Postgame Ozzie said Humber was going to bullpen and the sox were going go with a 5 man rotation into their next offday. There was no real reason given and Garfein and Melton didnt really expand on this at all. So that being said, what the hell is this all about. Why are the sox making this change to their rotation. Is Humber up against some IP wall? Have teams begun to figure him out?
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There is no way the sox are interested in trading thornton. You dont trade away quality relievers, left handed relivers, when you are in the middle of a divisional race in late July. Now Jackson for Rasmus I could see that for sure. We all know the cards have been missing an arm all year with Wainwright. I could see the trade expand a bit to in include throw ins or prospects, but my opinion is only Jackson for Rasmus really makes sense for the sox. Can they take Rios too, we will eat half????
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So had everyone, but Ozzie realized that Peavy is freaking terrible from about 75+ pitches on. His velocity goes noticably down, his ability to locate becomes awful, and he has all sorts of problems running that 2 seamer right over the heart of the plate. According to Yahoo hitters are hitting .448 against Peavy in pitches 76-90, and .421 in pitches 91-105, for this season. And to be honest you dont have even look at the stats to realize hes been so bad in the 5th and 6th innings this year. Its obvious the problem is weak arm/shoulder. Most likely as a result of all the injuries.
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I was at the game last nite in Sec 121. Watching Dunn's AB's, especially his first against Garza he looks overmatched. Im not even sure this is a mental issue anymore, I seriosuly think he is having physical trouble catching up to a 92+ MPH fastball. He looked so lost against Garza's Fastball, unable to even foul tip a straight 4 seamer. I think what DahMaNeil (Dan McNeil) has been saying for weeks now might actially be right, his traditional do nothing in the offseason but eat mentality might actually be the cause of the problems. Obviosuly, Dunn is a big boy, but he definately looks the heaviest he has ever been. To me he looks about 30-40 LBS heavier than he did when he signed with the Nats in 09 and that might be affecting his swing ability on fastballs. I would also assume at 32+ years of age you can't get by without putting in work in the offseason anymore, something has to change.
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I cannot honestly believe the White Sox are seriously overlooking the fact that whatever is left on Pierre's contract is a SUNK COST. By definition a sunk cost is an expense to which you dont consider the investment, only the results. You have to pay Pierre anyway, if you have a replacement level player who makes the team better by playing in place of Pierre then you do it. I think the real problem is the White Sox dont think they have a replacement. This whole return on investment is ridicoulous, they dont owe Pierre squat compared to say Rios or Dunn. Pierre makes what $9M this year, of which the Dodgers are paying like $4.5 or so, leaving the sox with $5.5M, and only about half of that since the season is half over. So I really doubt the White Sox are dragging their feet over 2.75M. Especially since this is the same team that paid Manny $4M for 120 AB of garbage last year and it wouldnt cost anything to replace Pierre's $2.75M because you would only throw Lilly or Dayan out there. This cant be about money, it doesnt make sense. Pierre has been terrible, most likely the organization either feels like they have no real permanenet replacement (not a bad argument), or they are just showing patience with Pierre hoping he gets it together (to which if he doesnt they can still get rid of him in 3-4 weeks via DFA). Rongey is crazy if he thinks or interpreted the White Sox as worried about return on investment on Pierre and his measly salary!
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I checked out TBD's for the first time after the Sox/As game on Thurs night. We went over there right away to catch Game 5 of the Heat/Mavs game is did most of the people who came out to another stellar 48 degree June Day. I thought the bar was great, awesome layout, good atmoshpere, of course overpriced beers ($6 for a miller lite can). Question is what are they building just to the east of the bar and the gate 5 area. That area is always under some sort of construction and its continues to this day, but what are they building now?
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QUOTE (Pale Sox @ May 2, 2011 -> 11:59 PM)What worries me the most is their confidence.
Im not worried about their confidence, If I can see from their stats on Fangraphs that they have been unlucky and bad in a small sample size then so can they. My concern is why have consistent strike throwers struggled throw strikes and why have consistent fastball throwers posted lower than normal velocities this year without any mention of injury.
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QUOTE (bucket-of-suck @ May 2, 2011 -> 11:04 PM)It's May 2nd. Slow down.
Exactly the wrong attitude to have in May when your 10 games behind the division leader and have 19 losses in 30 games. Sure "Slow Down" is fine for like week 1 or 2 of the season, some guys get off to hot or slow starts. Not only is this team sinking with a gigantic financial risk for the year, but its beyond a poor start. We have our 2 "go to" guys in the pen posting down velocities for no reason (no injuries), awful luck, and inability to do basic things like throw strikes. Thats not quite the same as relax dude its game 10 in early April.
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Also check this out. PitchFX data in Fangraphs shows that Thornton is featuring a ChangeUp 9.8% of the time after throwing 0 change's in 2009 or 2010. How can that be. Did Thronton really try and come out and feature a change? Or is this an error in the way the PitchFX algorithms determine pitch type from the data and its actually his slider?
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Obviously these two guys have really been struggling lately. The simple eye test can tell neither looks right, they are pitching way too many balls and always seem behind in the count, the gun on the TV shows their velocity down from what we are used to, and everytime they come in they seem to get hit hard right. Well I took a look at Fangraphs PitchFX data and Saber data to take a closer look and the results are pretty sick.
Thornton's FB velocity is down from 96.1 in 2010 to 95.5 MPH so far this year. His slider velocity is up from 83.4 in 2010 to 84.2 this year. So just stuff wise Thornton's FB velocity is down 0.6 MPH, and the difference between his FB velocity and SL velocity has narrowed by 1.4 MPH. So that alone explains performing worse than last year right. Wait till you see his periphrials.
Thornton's K Rate is down about from his awesome 12K/9 from 2010, hes at 10.8/9, but his BABIP is crazy. His BABIP in 2010 was .286, for his career its .294, this year its somehow .406. Thats INSANE!! Furthermore, his GB% is actually up this year too (a good thing), its at 48.5%, up from 39.2% last year. The most amazing thing yet, his HR/FB% is 28.6%!! Thats absolutly crazy, no pitcher on earth gives up a HR about 1/3 fly balls, its almost not possible.
Now look at Chris Sale, his FB velocity is down from 95.9 to 94.2 MPH this year, thats a nice healthy 1.7 MPH drop. Definately a reason he is worse this year. Sale's GB% is basically the same at 51%, his HR/FB% is up from 11.1% last year to 16.7% this year. His BABIP is also way up from .277 to .344, thats a huge difference. No wonder he has been bad too
FanGraphs says Sale should post an ERA around 3.17 (his XFIP) based on his periphrials this year. His real ERA is 5.91. Fangraphs says Thornton should post an ERA of 3.72 (XFIP) his ERA is 8.64.
So how can you go from having a career of being lights out to all of a sudden sucking? Lose velocity on your FB for some unknown reason, get really unlucky, and also give up a lot of HR's in a small sample size. BOOM...Thornton and Sale.
Its
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Maybe we can beat an equally poor team at home. Here is to it!
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QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Apr 26, 2011 -> 03:23 AM)Don't forget Julio Franco. He used one of the heaviest bats in baseball too, well into his 40's.
True dat, I remember his patented wrist/hand gyrationthing while he waited to start his swing. Worked for him, doesnt work for Rios.
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QUOTE (fathom @ Apr 25, 2011 -> 09:24 PM)Rios, Beckham and Morel have mechanics that make it nearly impossible to make consistently solid contact.
This I believe to be true. And I believe guys like Juan Gonzalez and Gary Sheffield got away with this and had great careers is becuase they had amazing upper body strength (steriods) and/or god given talent in generating bat speed (hand eye coordination).
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I hate to make these kinds of posts becuase everyone will have their own interpretation of why Rios is sucking so much when it comes to hitting. I for multitude of reasons, the largest being my lack of god given talent and the truth that I am a 5'11", red headed jew, who is 27 ys old, and has never weighed above 160 lbs, i have always taken a crucial importance to the mechanics of hitting. I was always taught, and I believe its the "industry standard" in the softball I play know, and baseball I love to watch, that the most important piece of hitting is "head on the ball and hands to the ball".
Watching Rios at the plate now vs last year his arms and hands are in completely different positioning. I was always taught that the motion of throwing your hands to the ball should be static. That is, there should be no other movements associated with your arms and hands other than that of starting from a still position and moving them directly to the ball. Thats how "solid contact" and line drives are generated, by this proper hand and wrist rotation to and through the ball. Then the power is generated by proper body/weight shift and rotation through the ball, but the hand process comes first, and that is becuase it is the most important. That is what I know about hitting and I know Rios isnt doing any of that.
Rios isn't bad becuase hes slumping or his timing is off, hes bad becuase he is mechanically incorrect. Look at how his hands and arms aren't extended out in a set static position. Look how he keeps them closer to his body and how that creates a longer path for your hands to get out in front and meet the ball. Your hands path to the ball is so much shorter when your hands are positioned out further from your body vs. tucked in close. Furthermore, see how he has hands and arms oscilating all the way up until he actually starts to swing. I was always taught that was a big no-no, though it worked out well for Juan Gonzalez and Gary Sheffield. I have no problem with leg kicks for timing, see Jose Bautista for how something like that can really help a hitter. Yet, with most good hitters, you can see they have their hands out away from their bodies, and they keep their hands absolutely static until they "throw them towards the ball". After which they rotate their body weight through this process to generate power, this is Paul Konerko's exact swing. But the most important process and catalyst for the correct swing is and always has been hand/wrist positioning and hand/wrist path.
But that being said, I cannot be the only one who sees Rios completely removed from this fundamental aspect of hitting, I cant be the only one who sees the positioning and motion of his hands (so tucked close to his body) in this years swing is completely different from last years. I cant explain why hes the way he is, but I do think the longer he sucks the more obvious it is that his issue is purely mechanical, and rather fundamental. Nothing that some self recognition and extra BP and time in the cage couldn't fix in just few short days.
Good luck Alex, its gonna take some work to get out of it, but you are not "done" in baseball terms just yet.
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I think we can all put attendance talks into perspective from reading this article. Its basically states how actual ticket sales are far less important to teams revenues these days given the economics assoicated with many team owned regional sports networks, NESN, CSN, YES, etc. For those too lazy to read it basically breaks down what cable/satellite subscribers pay to teams to have their networks. Its something like each subscriber paying a few bucks a month and when you multiply that out its perhaps even more of a revenue makes than ticket sales, and its a static revenue maker.
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All I know is that if the Indians can torch Ohman, then the Royals can as well. He is easily the new linebrink he should never be in a game unless its a 10 run game either way. Im glad Ozzie is learning this now vs in a pennant race in July. Ohman is bad and cannot be trusted.
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The over under would usually be 2.5, and the over would typically be a good pick. But its so early I doubt ozzie is giving the regular a day off becuase they "need one" and are "tired". Its like the celtics another old veteran team, they get much more 4th quarters off late in the year than earlier in the year.
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I have the same problem with Firefox version 3.6.16, the most recent version. I have multiple computers and have the same problem on all of them here. First of all I dont get a cursor at all in the reply or post box. I am able to highlight text, but not do anything with it, cant delete, copy, paste, writer over it, etc. I am not really able to select any text beside just highlight it and make it darker, I have no functionality. There seems to be some flaw with Soxtalk forums and the newest versions of firefox!
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QUOTE (Paint it Black @ Mar 30, 2011 -> 12:27 PM)THIS. I need that bad boy displayed on my double monitor set at work.
Ditto
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QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Mar 30, 2011 -> 01:45 AM)That, and the fact that he's better. Chad Billingsley has pitched his home games at Chavez Ravine for the duration of his career, which has played as a pitcher's park for pretty much the entirety of Billingsley's career. He's also pitched in the NL, which has been a weaker and generally more diluted talent wise throughout his career as well. Meanwhile, Danks has pitched his home games at USCF, which has been incredibly hitter friendly largely due to the short fences. He's also pitched in the AL, which has generally had far more talent than the NL and is tougher to pitch in simply due to the DH (for quick comparison's sake, DH's put up a .758 OPS last year; pitchers put up a .353 OPS).
I would say that John Danks is, at the very least, in the conversation as one of the 10 best left handed starters in the game and he's probably one step below being an overall "Ace," like a Roy Halladay, Jon Lester, Cliff Lee, Felix Hernandez, whatever. And I think you can probably argue that Danks is a top 5 lefty in the game based on the "proven" factor and durability, which rule out guys like Liriano, Price, Santana, Wilson.
John Danks is really good, and if the Sox don't pay him as if he's really good, then he's going to sign with someone else.
After looking through a lot of information for fantasy drafts I actually think John Danks is very similar to Ricky Romero when trying to compare top left handed pitchers. I understand Danks has a few more seasons under his bealt, but the perphrials are strikingly similar. Romero is 27-18 with a 3.99 ERA, 7.3K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 over the course of 2 seasons. Those are very similar to Danks and Romero has recieved a 5 year 30M deal. I think Romero is a better comparison than Billingsley becuase of factors liked Kalapse mentioned. Romero pitches in the AL (and AL East at that) and pitches in a hitter friendly park as well.
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My computer feels naked with one!!!