Barry Bonds research question

[VAfan]

Sorry in advance for posting this on the Sox site, but I haven't been able to find anything on this anywhere and I thought someone here might know where to look.

 

I'm looking for an article that might have analyzed Barry Bonds' phenomenal jump in slugging performance after 1999 (at age 36) and compared it to all the other major league players that have played until they were 40.

 

We all know that the trend in baseball is a decline in performance after age 35, but I wonder if anyone has ever plotted out that decline for all ballplayers who have lasted long enough (and therefore been good enough) to play through age 40.

 

One could then compare that data against Barry Bonds' dramatic increase in performance starting in the year he turned 36 (2000). Since he turned 36, in fact, he has had by far the best 4 years of what was until then a stellar career. If you look at slugging alone, the percentage increase in his performance has been phenomenal.

 

Why do I raise this? Because I believe someone needs to do some real analysis, as Barry approaches Aaron's record, just how much steroids have helped Barry's totals since 2000. Everyone can guess, but it would be much better if it were grounded in a comparison of all other ballplayers that have ever played the game. (It would also be interesting if other clear steroid users were the only ones to have comparable late-in-career spikes.)

 

Has such an analysis, or anything similar, already been done? If so, I'd love to find it.

 

Thanks.

[Gene Honda Civic]

1) Dowload Lahman Database. -- http://www.baseball1.com/statistics/

2) learn Acess/excel if you can't figure out access.

3) everything you ever wanted to know about Baseball is right at your fingertips.

[Y2HH]

Hewwo, Cheat...have you seen Stwongba'?

 

 

My sense of humor never ceases to amaze me.

 

1) Dowload Lahman Database. -- http://www.baseball1.com/statistics/

2) learn Acess/excel if you can't figure out access.

3) everything you ever wanted to know about Baseball is right at your fingertips.

[VAfan]

1) Dowload Lahman Database. -- http://www.baseball1.com/statistics/

2) learn Acess/excel if you can't figure out access.

3) everything you ever wanted to know about Baseball is right at your fingertips.

 

 

Thanks for the link to the database. Any chance someone has already done the analysis or something similar?