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Some optimism for Danks this year

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Tony Blengino published his ALC Batted ball profiles for all the starting pitchers in the division last year (including Price), and Danks' profile actually looks pretty good all things considered. His profile has a "true ERA" of better than the league average, and it was surprising to see that his average exit velocity was 2nd lowest in the division after Sale.

 

Danks has largely been written off as a pitcher in decline; I’m not so sure. Sure, his K and BB rates have both trended in the wrong direction over time, but he’s never allowed a higher-than-average liner rate, and his pop-up rate bounced back to the 70th percentile after a one-year drop. Expect Danks to be a league-average starter in 2016.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2015-starti...ive-al-central/

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