Soxbadger

The best indicator of whether a state will be won or lost by Trump, is if Trump is pre-emptively complaining about it. Right now AZ is being attacked because they are alleging that voters who used "black sharpies" were not calculated correctly. They are arguing that this happened predominently in GOP counties. I could make jokes about black sharpies, but this is a real theory right now to try and support why AZ isnt really blue.

Im using CNN's website, Yahoo and watching on TV.

From GA. It went 5,000 Trump, 17,000 Biden in the last update. So gain of 12,000 on the first batch. Still looks like Biden cant catch up, but its possible.

Well just by the math we have the following: AZ: 2.7 mil counted. It says 86% counted, but lets play it safe and say 80%. That would be about 540,000 votes, Biden is up 90k. Trump would need to win 320k to 220k to win.. Certainly possible, but most of the Blue counties are sub 90% reporting. Biden just needs to break even with the rest of the vote. Right now over 50% of AZ is coming from 2 counties, Pima and Maricopa. Biden is leads in both of those counties and both are reporting under 90%. Anything is possible and who knows what hasnt been reported, but the numbers that are unreported are objectively better for Biden than Trump.

NV is closer than AZ. AZ and GA would seem to have similar chances for flipping.

Change is slow. Right now the US is in the middle of an unprecedented pandemic. The objective was to win, even if it is by 1.

Small victories are still victories.

Nothing has really changed. The networks are just taking a more cautious report because of huge swings all night long.

I think people vastly underrated how much the issues with COVID would HELP Trump in rural areas. A lot of blame was placed on "Democrats" for shutting down the economy.

Edit Im wrong Im going to delete it was a bad number.

This was not right.

Biden up 30k plus in MI now. -This was wrong.

Miami is a much different mix than the rest of the US. People from Venezuela and Cuba really hate the word "socialism."

Looks like PA votes coming in, I think Trumps lead shrunk about 150k

Biden now up 18k in MI, some operatives were saying they thought hed win by 100k+ an hour ago. Seemed far fetched but its trending that way.

Biden up 3k in Michigan. If current map holds Biden wins.

Just read Wisconsin has somehow counted 0% of mail in ballots.

What is crazy is GA seems more in reach than WI and MI. Just so many votes out there its hard to tell, but the numbers from GA seem really close. PA is the complete unknown.

Going to try and argue the SC of Penn couldn't make the rule that votes could arrive after 8pm and only the state legislature could. That being said there are millions of votes that arrived on time and havent been counted.

Trump must be getting bad news because he is on twitter claiming stolen election.

I stole this from somewhere else plugged all the major called states (FL, OH, TX, IA for Trump, AZ, MN for Biden) into 538's widget. Biden has a 92% chance -- slightly higher than pre-election.

If you look at the GA map almost all of Trump county is counted and Atlanta is barely in.

I said earlier Biden may have a back door with GA.

Yeah but FL went much more heavy to Trump then expected. There was always a chance that places like VA went that way too.

Okay so VA coming back so hard has to make you feel a lot different about tonight.