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Equivalent MLB Standings

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With the shortened season, I have been trouble getting a sense of how far along in the pennant chase we are. Some people have been talking about standings as the 1 game = 2.7 games equivalent, but that makes the games behind really skewed and hard to understand. Instead, I think it becomes a lot clearer when you treat everyone as starting the season at tied at 51-51, and then we play the final 60 games from there. To give a better picture of the playoff picture, I am posting the adjusted standings here. W-L% is still from the actual 60 game record though, since that is how the MLB is treating it. I was planning to keep an updated version of this on the side for my own interests, but I figured I'd post it here since others may find it useful too. 

East Division

Tm W L W-L% GB
Tampa Bay Rays 68 60 .654 --
New York Yankees 67 60 .640 0.5
Toronto Blue Jays 63 62 .522 3.5
Baltimore Orioles 63 64 .480 4.5
Boston Red Sox 59 69 .308 9.0

Central Division 

Tm W L W-L% GB
Minnesota Twins 68 60 .654 --
Cleveland Indians 67 60 .640 0.5
Chicago White Sox 66 62 .577 2.0
Kansas City Royals 61 66 .400 6.5
Detroit Tigers 60 65 .391 6.5

West Division

Tm W L W-L% GB
Oakland Athletics 69 59 .692 --
Houston Astros 66 61 .600 2.5
Texas Rangers 61 65 .417 7.0
Los Angeles Angels 59 69 .308 10.0
Seattle Mariners 59 70 .296 10.5
 

East Division 

Tm W L W-L% GB
Atlanta Braves 65 62 .560 --
Miami Marlins 60 60 .500 1.5
New York Mets 63 65 .462 2.5
Philadelphia Phillies 60 63 .429 3.0
Washington Nationals 60 63 .429 3.0

Central Division

Tm W L W-L% GB
Chicago Cubs 67 59 .667 --
St. Louis Cardinals 58 58 .500 4.0
Milwaukee Brewers 62 63 .478 4.5
Cincinnati Reds 60 64 .435 5.5
Pittsburgh Pirates 55 68 .190 10.5

West Division 

Tm W L W-L% GB
Los Angeles Dodgers 70 59 .704 --
San Diego Padres 66 63 .556 4.0
Colorado Rockies 64 63 .520 5.0
Arizona Diamondbacks 64 64 .500 5.5
San Francisco Giants 62 67 .407 8.0
 

Equivalent standings as of 8/20

Edited by gusguyman

  • Author
11 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

The winning percentages aren't right.

I copied them directly from baseball reference. I am leaving them as calculated from the actual record though (For example, the 61-59 (10-8) Indians have a win percentage of 10/18 = .555 not 61/120 = .508)

I am doing this for 2 reasons

  1. The standing orders are determined by the actual win percentage, and that matters a lot with so many games skipped right now. For example, if I recalculated the win%s, the Marlins would be at .513 and the Braves would be at .512. The order is still correct for now, but you can see how recalculating win %s could lead to the standings being wrong.
  2. It just seems like a lot more work to also recalculate the win% every day ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Which teams were wrong?

Those winning percentages look suspect. 

For instance, I think the Mets percentage is .483.

Edited by SonofaRoache

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