May 31, 200619 yr Billy Beane’s Perfect Draft A Baseball Revolution? By Richard Van Zandt, April 13, 2006 http://baseballevolution.com/guest/richard/rvzbeane1.html Muy Interesante
May 31, 200619 yr If I remember correctly, the same chapter also said something about how its not about whether or not the high school players would actually develop, but instead it was about the risk that is involved when picking high school players. They are too young and undeveloped to really know what they will end up being for sure, and as much talent as they seem to have, things can still go wrong, and it is safer to go with a player that has already played in college, and is further along in their development.
June 1, 200619 yr QUOTE(Felix @ May 31, 2006 -> 06:37 PM) If I remember correctly, the same chapter also said something about how its not about whether or not the high school players would actually develop, but instead it was about the risk that is involved when picking high school players. They are too young and undeveloped to really know what they will end up being for sure, and as much talent as they seem to have, things can still go wrong, and it is safer to go with a player that has already played in college, and is further along in their development. I always found that to be a short-sighted view. You draft where the talent is. You're really cutting your potential pool of players if you follow that approach. Just looking at the draft in that article, most of the real talent in that draft was taken straight out of high school. Yeah, there are going to be busts, but the same is true for college players. There are an awful lot of very good players that were taken right out of high school in past years. I would agree somewhat on high school pitchers, but it's not because of the rate of development. High school pitchers seem to have a high injury rate, and a decent percentage of the flame throwers seem to lose their velocity down the road. If you can get a stud hitter right out of high school, I don't see it is being that big an issue. Edited June 1, 200619 yr by ZoomSlowik
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