gusguyman Posted August 12, 2020 Share Posted August 12, 2020 (edited) With the shortened season, I have been trouble getting a sense of how far along in the pennant chase we are. Some people have been talking about standings as the 1 game = 2.7 games equivalent, but that makes the games behind really skewed and hard to understand. Instead, I think it becomes a lot clearer when you treat everyone as starting the season at tied at 51-51, and then we play the final 60 games from there. To give a better picture of the playoff picture, I am posting the adjusted standings here. W-L% is still from the actual 60 game record though, since that is how the MLB is treating it. I was planning to keep an updated version of this on the side for my own interests, but I figured I'd post it here since others may find it useful too. East Division Tm W L W-L% GB Tampa Bay Rays 68 60 .654 -- New York Yankees 67 60 .640 0.5 Toronto Blue Jays 63 62 .522 3.5 Baltimore Orioles 63 64 .480 4.5 Boston Red Sox 59 69 .308 9.0 Central Division Tm W L W-L% GB Minnesota Twins 68 60 .654 -- Cleveland Indians 67 60 .640 0.5 Chicago White Sox 66 62 .577 2.0 Kansas City Royals 61 66 .400 6.5 Detroit Tigers 60 65 .391 6.5 West Division Tm W L W-L% GB Oakland Athletics 69 59 .692 -- Houston Astros 66 61 .600 2.5 Texas Rangers 61 65 .417 7.0 Los Angeles Angels 59 69 .308 10.0 Seattle Mariners 59 70 .296 10.5 East Division Tm W L W-L% GB Atlanta Braves 65 62 .560 -- Miami Marlins 60 60 .500 1.5 New York Mets 63 65 .462 2.5 Philadelphia Phillies 60 63 .429 3.0 Washington Nationals 60 63 .429 3.0 Central Division Tm W L W-L% GB Chicago Cubs 67 59 .667 -- St. Louis Cardinals 58 58 .500 4.0 Milwaukee Brewers 62 63 .478 4.5 Cincinnati Reds 60 64 .435 5.5 Pittsburgh Pirates 55 68 .190 10.5 West Division Tm W L W-L% GB Los Angeles Dodgers 70 59 .704 -- San Diego Padres 66 63 .556 4.0 Colorado Rockies 64 63 .520 5.0 Arizona Diamondbacks 64 64 .500 5.5 San Francisco Giants 62 67 .407 8.0 Equivalent standings as of 8/20 Edited August 21, 2020 by gusguyman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted August 12, 2020 Share Posted August 12, 2020 The winning percentages aren't right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusguyman Posted August 12, 2020 Author Share Posted August 12, 2020 11 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: The winning percentages aren't right. I copied them directly from baseball reference. I am leaving them as calculated from the actual record though (For example, the 61-59 (10-8) Indians have a win percentage of 10/18 = .555 not 61/120 = .508) I am doing this for 2 reasons The standing orders are determined by the actual win percentage, and that matters a lot with so many games skipped right now. For example, if I recalculated the win%s, the Marlins would be at .513 and the Braves would be at .512. The order is still correct for now, but you can see how recalculating win %s could lead to the standings being wrong. It just seems like a lot more work to also recalculate the win% every day ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Which teams were wrong? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SonofaRoache Posted August 12, 2020 Share Posted August 12, 2020 (edited) Those winning percentages look suspect. For instance, I think the Mets percentage is .483. Edited August 12, 2020 by SonofaRoache Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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