OmarComing25
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Posts posted by OmarComing25
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33 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:
I will be honest, I do think the Sox time of reckoning is coming with their pitching. A LOT of their innings are going to come from guys who are doing this for either the first time in their lives when you look at Cease/Kopech/Crochet, or have a history of not being able to pitch this long in Rodon. If they stay healthy? Yeah, they have a good chance. Do I see it happening that all of those guys make it through to the playoffs with availability and health? I wouldn't bet on it. Then we are also assuming that nothing bad happens to the rest of the big three, which is much safer, but you never know.
Hopefully the rest of the core also stays healthy.
Those are definite concerns but they apply equally to if not more to all of the other AL contenders. No one on Tampa, Toronto, Boston, Cleveland, New York (sans Cole), Oakland, or Houston (sans Greinke and maybe McCullers) has that dependable history where you can be very confident about them in the playoffs. And I'd argue we're still in better shape in regards to this than most or maybe all of the contenders in the AL.
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2 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:
I don't know that there is any team I am "confident" in winning the World Series. I do think the lack of track record here is something that many other teams don't have.
The Fangraphs odds have the Dodgers at the highest chance at 16%. The Mets are 2nd at 12% and the White Sox are third at 11%. The Astros and the Padres are the only other teams in double digits at 10.5% and 10%. That seems about right to me.
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55 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:
7:1 means 6 times out of 7 they don't win. 10:1 means 9 out of 10 they don't.
50 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:Maybe its my line of work, but I wouldn't call anything that fails at best 6 out of 7 times, "confident".
Well sure, but again that's the same thing for every team. There's never going to be a team in baseball that isn't going to have the field heavily favored over them to win the title.
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55 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:
I mean there are reasons to like the Sox chances, but there are LOT of things that can go very wrong, and a good chunk of them aren't that far out of reality.
There isn't a single contender you couldn't say the same exact things about, especially in the AL.
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6 minutes ago, Harry Chappas said:
The outlier in that stat is you have to be winning to blow saves. I think the better stat is save percentage.
Yep. You can’t blow saves if you’re never given a lead.
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With that hit Grandal's BABIP is no longer lower than his wRC+
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1 minute ago, Look at Ray Ray Run said:
Do you like anyone on the team?
With the way he talks about the Sox you'd think they have the Tigers record.
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Clearly out
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Just now, chw42 said:
Three at-em balls, but that'll work.
Came in with a .417 BABIP against so Codi was due for some batted ball luck.
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I'd almost have Hendriks pitch the 8th to get through the heart of their order.
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1 hour ago, ptatc said:
People who rely on stats such WAR, wRC+, etc. do it all the time. They are more worried about predictive stats as opposed to actual performance.
Stats like WAR and wRC+ (especially the latter) are measuring actual performance though, they're not meant to be predictive stats.
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Just now, Capn12 said:
Hello, Grandal? Throw the ball?
Moncada wasn't at the bag
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2 minutes ago, Jack Parkman said:
Anderson, Collins, Madrigal, Vaughn, Crochet......who am I forgetting?
Rodon
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Madrigal now on pace for ~4 fWAR.
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Current MLB ranks:
Position Player fWAR: 2nd
wRC+: 2nd
SP fWAR: 2nd
RP fWAR: 2nd
Overall pitching fWAR: 2nd
Overall team fWAR: 1st
Defense (UZR): 8th
Run differential: 1st
Playoff odds: 3rd
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18 hours ago, ron883 said:
I clearly wrote in the original post that the ratings are based on a singal season.
I never said to compare that to his career Clutch. Many people here have questioned Jose's ability to perform in high leverage situations. It's "not predictive" according to you, but this sure as hell confirms what some of us have been saying. Tbh, what worries me more than this stat is if the weather is too cold in the playoffs. Jose is a notorious warm weather hitter.
Abreu's numbers in high-leverage situations the last three seasons:
2019: .291/.348/.527/.876 (119 wRC+)
2020: .300/.400/.450/.850 (126 wRC+)
2021: .231/.450/.462/.912 (162 wRC+)
He's actually improving every year. I know this is your schtick so whatever but at least make sure the numbers even somewhat agree with you before committing to the bit.
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Wonder how the ump scorecard will look after this game
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That third pitch was the exact same speed and location as the pitch before right down the middle, how did Collins not kill that?
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Rodon throws much more slowly in the first inning so the Indians took advantage of that by being aggressive early, nice to see he's already ramped things up.
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Means is a lefty right?
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4 straight scoreless outings for Marshall
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17 minutes ago, tray said:
Oh well, if a greasy burgur can be named after an obese player, then why not hang a sign with the name of a guy who had a DUI in an area where someone might carry a beer and sit down?
Fake outrage knows no bounds.
You needing to go out of your way to attack Mercedes at every opportunity whenever TLR gets criticized even when it's completely irrelevant is beyond pathetic.
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32 minutes ago, 35thstreetswarm said:
Why is everyone talking about throwing home?! There were two outs! Tag first base and the inning is over. Hell, tag it after a run scores and it doesn’t even count. That’s the beginning, middle, and end of this story.
He also could have just chased Baez to home plate and tagged him there and the inning is over, so many different ways he screwed up on that play it's impressive.
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I think he's safe
Rays @ Sox, 6/14 7:10 ct
in 2021 Season in Review
Posted
Lol, you are easily the most reactionary poster on this site and that's saying something.