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2022 win projections

Featured Replies

Just now, Jack Parkman said:

I don't think they could lose 3 SP and still win 87 games. 

Let's wager.

The Sox win 87 or fewer games you put negativity sucks in your signature. 

They win more than 87, I'll put optimists are idiots in mine.

1 minute ago, Jack Parkman said:

Nope. I despise gambling. 

Why? 

Let me rephrase. I rarely gamble for money. Just fun things like I proposed in the other post. 

Let the winner claim he is right!

Edited by ptatc

15 minutes ago, Jack Parkman said:

Nope. I despise gambling. 

I'd despise it too if i had takes like yours.  I wouldn't wanna bet that either

  • Author

Win projections are always a bit conservative and have smaller spreads than real life results. 

I think a big reason is that they don't consider deadline moves. The worse teams are giving up at the deadline and trade away good players for prospects. 

 

And good teams are getting rid of prospects and get good players. 

 

That means that in the second half good teams will be better than at the start of the season and the bottom teams will be worse. 

So a projected 90 win team then will probably win 93 and the projected 70 win team will tank and only win 66.

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