Nice little post-convention boost:

 

http://www.time.com/time/press_releases/ar...,692562,00.html

Polls Confuse Me..

 

9/2/04- Time Magazine- Bush with a double digit lead.

9/2/04- Zogby- Bush with a 2% lead.

9/2/04- American Research Group- Kerry with a 1% lead.

9/2/04- Economist/UGov- Tied Race

 

 

Which one to believe?

Polls Confuse Me..

 

9/2/04- Time Magazine- Bush with a double digit lead.

9/2/04- Zogby- Bush with a 2% lead.

9/2/04- American Research Group- Kerry with a 1% lead.

9/2/04- Economist/UGov- Tied Race

 

 

Which one to believe?

Well, this is kind of random, but your right, polls can be really tough and some times, whether you like it or not their is an assload of bias in a poll.

But he had NO lead in ANY poll 3 weeks ago...

Actually I'll make this even more confusing...

 

PollingReport.com National Trial Heat Summary

Full survey details are available here (plus match-ups with Nader, reelect questions, etc.).

 

BUSH vs. KERRY: Among likely voters; with leaners, where available. (See registered voters.)

 

SURVEY NAME BUSH KERRY Margin End Date

Zogby 46 44 2 9/2/04

 

American Research Group 9/1 48 47 1 9/1/04

 

ABC/Washington Post 49 49 n/a 8/29/04

 

ICR 8/29 46 50 4 Y

 

Time [without leaners] 8/26 46 46 Y

 

FOX/Opinion Dynamics 8/25 44 45 1 N

 

Gallup 8/25 50 47 3 Y

 

NPR 8/24 45 50 5 N

 

GWU Battleground 8/17 47 49 2 N

 

Zogby 8/14 43 50 7 Y

 

Gallup 8/11 50 47 3 Y

 

ICR 8/8 48 48 Y

 

Time [with leaners] 8/5 44 51 7 Y

 

Democracy Corps (D) 8/5 45 52 7 N

 

FOX/Opinion Dynamics 8/4 43 48 5 N

 

ABC/Washington Post 8/1 48 49 1 n/a

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup 8/1 51 47 4 Y

1 month ago, Time Magazine showed Kerry with a 7% lead.

 

Does anyone honestly believe that he lost 20% of the vote in the last month when there are only about 5% undecideds out there?

 

I think Time Magazine needs to do a better job polling.

It depends on who they were polling and honest the people were being when answering the polls. I can't say I ever put much stock into political polls.

likely voters

registered voters

eligible voters

 

was the polling done at Denny's @ 3PM for the early bird special? -- all polls can be manipulated.

It depends on who they were polling and honest the people were being when answering the polls.  I can't say I ever put much stock into political polls.

pretty much my thoughts too... i just threw this out there, b/c it was so different than anything else out there

Let me clarify.. Time needs to do a better job polling because I dont believe that Kerry had a 7% lead a month ago and I don't believe that Bush has anywhere near a 10% lead right now.

 

It was probably Kerry by 4% last month and Bush by 3% now.

Americans, on the whole, are an easily influenced bunch.

 

Don't think so? How many people bought a freakin' Ab Shocker from those stupid infomercials? They made millions off of people who thought they could lose their spare tire by getting shocked by a 9-volt battery repeatedly.

 

Politics is no different. Convince people that you have the New and Improved model, flash a bunch of patriot rhetoric, and don't offend the rich and powerful, and you've got a recipe for success.

 

Lots of Americans bought Bush's speech last night. That doesn't make them any brighter.

 

The sad thing is Americans are going to buy his sad bulls*** this year, and then his brothers recycled sad bulls*** in 2008.