Too much, too soon: Seven young pitchers who could be injury risks in '08

 

Article linked above is summarized below...

 

 

The unofficial industry standard is that no young pitcher should throw more than 30 more innings than he did the previous season. It's a general rule of thumb, and one I've been tracking for about a decade. When teams violate the incremental safeguard, it's amazing how often they pay for it.

 

In 2005 and '06 I found 17 pitchers I defined as at-risk of the Year-After-Effect. None made it through the next year without an injury or a higher ERA. Ten of them broke down, the most seriously hurt being Francisco Liriano, Gustavo Chacin, Adam Loewen, Scott Mathieson and Anibel Sanchez. Eleven of them had worse ERAs, by an average of about a run and a half. Remember, it's a general rule; there are exceptions, the superlative Justin Verlander being one.

 

Here they are, the seven young pitchers most at risk for injury or a significantly higher ERA in 2008, ranked according to greatest innings increase:

 

1. Ian Kennedy, Yankees, 23 (+61 IP)

2. Fausto Carmona, Indians, 23 (+56.1)

3. Ubaldo Jimenez, Rockies, 24 (+41 2/3)

4. Tom Gorzelanny, Pirates, 25 (+40 1/3)

5. Dustin McGowan, Blue Jays, 25 (+38 2/3)

6. Chad Gaudin, Athletics, 24 (+36)

7. Yovani Gallardo, Brewers, 21 (+33)

 

I should just stop posting in the catch all threads.

Sorry. Didn't see it.

 

With so much content on the site, sometimes it's hard to go through everything before posting.

Sorry. Didn't see it.

 

With so much content on the site, sometimes it's hard to go through everything before posting.

 

you should be ashamed. how could you?

 

I should just stop posting in the catch all threads.

as you talked abotu in that thread, that article makes me glad that we shut down danks last year...that said we gotta start to stretch him out a bit this year if he is still effective