Jump to content

Sox at 33% chance to make playoffs


southsider2k5

Recommended Posts

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ys-a...o&type=lgns

 

AMERICAN LEAGUE

 

The Chicago White Sox had a decent 2-1 week, but the main reason why their playoff chances jumped by nearly 15 percentage points was the bad week by division leader Detroit, who were swept by the Yankees, and by wild-card competitor Texas, who was just 1-2 (at home). The White Sox saw their chances of winning the division increase from 20 percent to 33 percent now that they are just 1.5 games behind Detroit. The Tigers still have the overall best chance of winning the AL Central. They have 10 more home games than road games this season and by that metric have the easiest schedule in the division.

 

The Seattle Mariners stayed hot, winning three of four on the road. They improved their playoff chances by nearly 10 percentage points. The Mariners do have six more home games than road games this season, which gives them a small but meaningful 16 percent chance of surprising everyone by winning the division. The Angels are still the clear front-runner in the West after a solid 3-1 week (all road wins vs. division competitor Oakland).

 

Finally, the Yankees swept the Tigers and improved their playoff chances by nearly four percentage points. They did not improve as much as one might expect because they were expected to win two of three from Detroit so a sweep was only one win better than expectations. The Yankees still have to overtake Boston as they are likely to lose the season series to the Red Sox. The Yankees are one game behind Boston and in simulations they are finishing one game back of Boston indicating these teams will stay neck-and-neck all season long.

 

AMERICAN LEAGUE WEEK 15 REVIEW PLAYOFF % CHANCE

TEAM 13-Jul 20-Jul % DIFF WIN DIV

Chicago White Sox 21.2% 35.9% 14.7% 33.3%

Seattle Mariners 11.6% 21.4% 9.8% 16.0%

New York Yankees 64.1% 68.0% 3.9% 35.9%

Los Angeles Angels 65.7% 69.6% 3.9% 64.6%

Tampa Bay Rays 27.8% 29.2% 1.4% 11.0%

Baltimore Orioles 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Cleveland Indians 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Kansas City Royals 0.1% 0.0% -0.1% 0.0%

Oakland Athletics 0.1% 0.0% -0.1% 0.0%

Minnesota Twins 33.4% 32.9% -0.5% 31.1%

Toronto Blue Jays 4.1% 2.3% -1.8% 0.4%

Boston Red Sox 80.8% 77.9% -2.9% 52.6%

Detroit Tigers 50.5% 37.6% -12.9% 35.5%

Texas Rangers 40.5% 25.2% -15.3% 19.4%

Copyright AccuScore.com

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Crazy to think of some of the possibilities after this weekend. We could either be up a few games or potential down 8 games in the standings! I just really hope KW waits until after Sunday before making any big moves.

Edited by fathom
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...