Is 2006 the year the Sox pass the 100 mark?

[JUGGERNAUT]

I've completed my offseason analysis & sizing up the White Sox for 2006. You might be surprised at how much we've improved.

 

Below is a breakdown of each starter's start's thru the years.

 

2002

MarBue Dominant:20, Just Quality:6, Just Winnable:5, Poor:3

JavVaz Dominant:17, Just Quality:9, Just Winnable:4, Poor:5

FreGar Dominant:13, Just Quality:14,Just Winnable:2, Poor:5

JonGar Dominant:14, Just Quality:7, Just Winnable:3, Poor:10

 

2003

MarBue Dominant:19,Just Quality:7, Just Winnable:4, Poor:5

JavVaz Dominant:14,Just Quality:12,Just Winnable:6, Poor:2

FreGar Dominant:16,Just Quality:6, Just Winnable:4, Poor:7

JosCon Dominant:7, Just Quality:2, Just Winnable:1, Poor:1

JonGar Dominant:15,Just Quality:5, Just Winnable:4, Poor:9

 

2004

MarBue Dominant:17, Just Quality:8, Just Winnable:5, Poor:5

FreGar Dominant:15, Just Quality:9, Just Winnable:4, Poor:3

JavVaz Dominant:10, Just Quality:11,Just Winnable:5, Poor:9

JonGar Dominant:9, Just Quality:12,Just Winnable:6, Poor:7

JosCon Dominant:11, Just Quality:6, Just Winnable:3, Poor:11

 

2005

MarBue Dominant:17, Just Quality:10,Just Winnable:6, Poor:3

FreGar Dominant:18, Just Quality:7, Just Winnable:8, Poor:3

JosCon Dominant:17, Just Quality:7, Just Winnable:7, Poor:5

JonGar Dominant:19, Just Quality:6, Just Winnable:2, Poor:7

JavVaz Dominant:17, Just Quality:3, Just Winnable:3, Poor:10

 

Avg: Cost $44 million

MarBue Dominant:18, Just Quality:8, Just Winnable:5, Poor:4

FreGar Dominant:15, Just Quality:10,Just Winnable:5, Poor:4

JavVaz Dominant:15, Just Quality:9, Just Winnable:4, Poor:6

JosCon Dominant:14, Just Quality:7, Just Winnable:5, Poor:8

JonGar Dominant:14, Just Quality:8, Just Winnable:4, Poor:9

 

Total::Dominant:75, Just Quality:33,Just Winnable:23,Poor:31

 

2006 Win prediction: Dom 67W + JQ 20W + JW 11 + P 3 = 101 Wins

 

Dominant = (6-9 IP, <= 2 runs) OR (7-9 IP, <= 3 runs, 6+ K's) OR (5 IP, <= 1 run)

Quality = (7-9 IP, <= 4 runs, 6+ K's) OR (5-6 IP, <= 3 runs, 5+ K's) OR (4 IP, <= 1 run)

Winnable = (7-9 IP, <= 5 runs, 6+ K's) OR (5-6 IP, <= 4 runs, 5+ K's) OR (3-4 IP, <= 1 run)

If a borderline case winning margin & K's make greatest difference.

 

At a cost of $14 mil for Gar + Contra in 2006 there is no reason to trade them.

Kenny needs an overwhelming offer that would result in more wins to deal them.

BMac will likely start in AAA to slow the arbitration clock. If The rotation remains intact he will likely be a Sept callup since that doesn't affect the arbit clock. Otherwise BMac will be called up & 1 of the big 5 won't be back in 2007.

 

Offensively the biggest change is not Thome+Anderson but rather Uribe to #2.

Uribe #2 in lineup (3 yr #'s) 334AB, 62R, 93H, 23D, 4T, 15HR, 46RBI, 25FP, 69K, 7/10 SB, .278A, .327O, .506S, .833 OPS

Iguchi#2 in lineup (1 yr #'s) 507AB, 72R, 139H, 24D, 6T, 15HR, 66RBI, 52FP, 114K, 15/20 SB, .274A, .338O, .434S, .772 OPS

- He should produce better than Rowand's 2005 #'s hitting behind Dye.

Uribe #2 projection 501AB, 93R, 139H, 35D, 6T, 22HR, 68RBI, 37FP, 99K, 14/20 SB

- He should produce better than his 2004 #'s hitting behind Pods.

 

Thome is expected to produce better than Everett+Thomas numbers.

Anderson/Owens will at least produce Uribe #9 numbers hitting behind Crede.

 

So overall:

Pods #1 - 290A/351O/349S : don't see much change here.

Uribe #2 - 278A/327O/506S : improvement over Iguchi in this spot.

Thome #3 - 257A/374O/523S : improvement over Everett+Thomas in this spot.

Kong #4 - 283A/375O/534S : should improve with Thome OB more than Everett.

Dye #5 - 274A/333O/512S : don't see much change here.

Iguchi#6 - 278A/342O/438S : improvement over Rowand in this spot.

AJP #7 - 257A/308O/420S : don't see much change here.

Crede #8 - 252A/303O/454S : don't see much change here.

Rookie#9 - 252A/301O/412S : Anderson/Sweeney/Owens - don't see much change here.

 

33% of the lineup has been improved so 10% improvement can be expected (810 runs). That's good for jumping 7 spots to #6 in R scored based on 2005 teams.

 

Pitching-wise the White Sox finished tied with CLE for #1 in AL w a 3.61 ERA.

Just 0.12 ERA (3%) away from NL leader STL.

 

On paper the White Sox should repeat.

 

Future-wise I'm now thinking Pods is a Godsend for the WhiteSox. Why? He's cheap.

As a barely 700 OPS player he's out of Crawford's & Damon's league (780-820 OPS).

He should remain available to the White Sox at below Uribe prices. With Owens

showing great promise as a base stealer in the minors & others on the way the White

Sox's need for speed looks to have a good supply for the near future.

 

3yr cost projection:

best rotation in MLB: $50 mil

1B+DH: $20 mil

OF: $10 mil

MIF + reserves: $10 mil

3B $5 mil

pen $10-$20 mil

 

$105-$115 mil payroll. They will likely stay cheap at 3B & in the pen.

 

These are not the White Sox of old.

They have tasted victory by having the best rotation in baseball.

They will sacrifice lumber before they sacrifice pitching.

They will roll over the rotation the same way they built it up: homegrown & trades.

FA signings should not be expected.

[JUGGERNAUT]

The details for each pitcher:

 

Mark Buehrle 2005 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Apr. 16 SEA W 2-1 9.0D 3 1 1 0 1 12 8 7 106 31 88 W(2-1) - 2.25

May. 24 @LAA W 2-1 9.0D 4 1 1 0 2 6 11 8 120 32 79 - - 3.05

Jun. 17 LAD W 6-0 9.0D 8 0 0 0 0 6 13 10 114 32 77 W(8-1) - 2.67

Sep. 25 MIN W 4-1 9.0D 4 1 1 0 0 6 12 8 106 31 81 W(16-8) - 3.20

Oct. 12 LAA W 2-1 9.0D 5 1 1 1 0 4 14 9 99 32 77 W(2-0) - 2.81

Apr. 4 CLE W 1-0 8.0D 2 0 0 0 1 5 11 7 103 25 82 W(1-0) - 0.00

May. 3 KC W 5-4 8.0Q 8 4 4 3 0 4 10 10 113 32 54 W(4-1) - 4.00

May. 13 BAL W 5-3 8.0D 5 3 3 0 1 5 11 8 107 28 64 W(6-1) - 3.73

May. 30 LAA W 5-4 8.1Q 9 4 3 1 1 2 9 15 100 34 52 - - 3.07

Jun. 22 KC W 5-1 8.0D 5 1 0 0 1 6 13 4 103 28 75 W(9-1) - 2.48

Aug. 24 @MIN W 6-4 8.0D 6 1 1 1 0 6 11 4 105 26 72 W(14-6) - 2.99

Apr. 10 @MIN L 5-2 7.0W 7 5 5 1 3 2 14 7 100 31 42 L(1-1) - 3.00

Apr. 21 @DET W 4-3 7.0Q 6 3 3 1 1 4 11 6 96 27 56 W(3-1) - 2.61

May. 8 @TOR W 5-4 7.1Q 9 4 2 0 2 4 13 4 105 30 50 W(5-1) - 3.78

May. 18 TEX W 7-0 7.1D 9 0 0 0 0 2 7 14 104 31 62 W(7-1) - 3.33

Jun. 11 @SD L 2-1 7.2D 7 0 0 0 1 6 6 11 111 30 70 - - 2.91

Jul. 9 OAK L 10-1 7.0W 6 5 2 1 2 3 11 7 112 30 52 L(10-3) - 2.58

Jul. 16 @CLE W 7-5 7.0D 3 2 2 0 0 6 8 7 101 26 69 W(11-3) - 2.58

Aug. 6 SEA W 4-2 7.0D 7 1 1 0 0 3 14 5 105 28 62 W(13-4) - 2.79

Aug. 12 @BOS L 9-8 7.0W 12 6 6 2 2 2 13 9 113 34 29 L(13-5) - 2.99

Aug. 17 MIN L 5-1 7.0Q 8 5 4 2 2 7 12 4 118 32 48 L(13-6) - 3.07

Aug. 29 @TEX L 7-5 7.0W 9 7 4 2 1 4 16 8 109 34 40 L(14-7) - 3.07

Sep. 3 DET W 6-2 7.0D 9 1 1 1 0 8 7 5 103 27 63 W(15-7) - 3.01

Oct. 5 BOS W 5-4 7.0Q 8 4 4 0 1 2 14 7 95 30 46 W(1-0) - 5.14

Oct. 23 HOU W 7-6 7.0Q 7 4 4 1 0 6 10 4 100 28 53 - - 3.52

 

Apr. 26 @OAK L 9-7 6.0P 11 7 7 0 3 2 14 4 99 31 21 - - 3.89

Jun. 5 CLE L 6-4 6.1Q 9 3 3 1 0 7 9 5 119 27 50 - - 3.15

Jun. 28 @DET W 2-1 6.2D 8 1 1 0 0 6 7 10 112 27 60 W(10-1) - 2.42

Jul. 3 @OAK L 7-2 6.1P 14 7 4 0 2 3 14 7 110 34 24 L(10-2) - 2.58

Jul. 21 BOS L 6-5 6.0W 10 5 3 0 3 1 13 7 103 31 34 - - 2.66

Jul. 26 @KC L 7-1 6.0P 8 7 7 0 2 2 14 7 103 29 28 L(11-4) - 2.96

Sep. 9 LAA L 6-5 6.0W 10 5 5 1 1 2 8 9 85 28 33 - - 3.13

Sep. 15 @KC L 7-5 6.1Q 9 4 4 0 2 3 9 8 112 31 40 L(15-8) - 3.21

Sep. 20 CLE W 7-6 6.0Q 7 4 4 3 2 5 6 11 108 27 45 - - 3.28

Aug. 1 @BAL W 6-3 5.2D 5 1 0 0 1 3 8 8 85 25 59 W(12-4) - 2.86

Sep. 30 @CLE W 3-2 5.2D 3 0 0 0 3 6 6 5 88 22 66 - - 3.12

 

Dominant:17, Just Quality:10, Just Winnable:6, Poor:3

 

Mark Buehrle 2004 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Jul. 21 @CLE W 14-0 9.0D 2 0 0 0 0 4 14 5 90 27 87 W(10-3) - 3.86

Jul. 31 @DET L 3-2 9.0D 5 2 2 0 3 3 12 8 116 35 69 - - 3.83

Sep. 9 @TEX W 7-3 9.0D 3 3 2 2 2 6 10 10 119 31 75 W(14-8) - 4.03

Sep. 25 KC W 5-1 9.0D 4 1 1 1 1 6 13 12 116 33 80 W(15-10) - 4.00

Sep. 30 @KC W 9-2 9.0D 4 2 1 0 0 8 11 6 115 31 81 W(16-10) - 3.89

Apr. 10 @NYY W 7-3 8.0D 3 2 0 0 2 4 11 9 117 30 74 W(1-0) - 1.23

Apr. 25 TB W 6-5 8.2Q 11 5 5 2 1 7 12 10 112 33 43 - - 5.93

Jun. 13 ATL W 10-3 8.0D 8 3 3 1 0 4 11 10 91 31 58 W(7-1) - 3.65

Jun. 29 @MIN W 6-2 8.0D 8 2 2 1 0 7 17 4 108 32 65 W(8-2) - 4.33

Jul. 10 SEA W 3-2 8.0D 9 2 2 0 0 2 13 6 93 29 58 W(9-2) - 4.03

Sep. 20 MIN L 8-2 8.0W 10 7 7 4 3 3 15 12 112 35 34 L(14-10) - 4.12

Apr. 5 @KC L 9-7 7.2Q 8 3 2 1 1 1 11 8 95 26 48 - - 2.70

May. 1 TOR W 4-3 7.2D 6 2 2 0 1 8 9 4 115 28 61 - - 5.35

May. 11 BAL W 15-0 7.0D 4 0 0 0 2 6 8 7 100 27 73 W(2-1) - 4.53

May. 16 MIN W 11-0 7.2D 7 0 0 0 0 7 6 7 115 27 67 W(3-1) - 3.99

May. 21 @MIN W 8-2 7.0D 7 2 2 1 2 8 9 4 117 30 61 W(4-1) - 3.84

May. 27 TEX W 9-0 7.0D 9 0 0 0 1 5 9 7 109 29 63 W(5-1) - 3.46

Jun. 8 PHI W 14-11 7.0W 9 6 6 2 2 6 11 10 108 32 39 W(6-1) - 3.67

Jun. 23 CLE L 9-5 7.0P 10 8 8 3 2 4 10 10 89 33 27 L(7-2) - 4.49

Jul. 4 @CHC L 2-1 7.0D 4 1 1 1 2 8 9 4 90 26 71 - - 4.15

Aug. 6 CLE L 3-2 7.2Q 9 3 3 1 1 5 13 8 120 30 48 L(10-5) - 3.83

Aug. 11 KC L 4-2 7.0Q 7 4 3 1 1 3 12 8 111 28 51 L(10-6) - 3.84

Aug. 15 @BOS W 5-4 7.0D 6 2 2 0 4 5 8 9 110 29 58 W(11-6) - 3.79

Sep. 4 SEA W 8-7 7.0Q 9 3 3 0 2 3 18 5 108 29 48 W(13-8) - 4.12

Sep. 15 @MIN L 6-1 7.0Q 6 5 2 0 3 4 12 6 107 31 52 L(14-9) - 3.98

 

Apr. 15 KC W 6-5 6.0W 7 5 5 2 2 7 6 8 110 26 43 - - 3.05

May. 5 @BAL W 6-5 6.2Q 10 4 3 2 2 3 11 5 108 28 36 - - 5.27

Jun. 2 @OAK L 3-2 6.0D 5 1 1 1 2 6 7 8 122 25 62 - - 3.30

Jun. 18 @WAS W 11-7 6.0P 10 7 7 1 1 4 13 5 107 29 27 - - 4.07

Jul. 16 @OAK L 5-1 6.0W 9 4 4 1 2 3 8 11 100 28 39 L(9-3) - 4.12

Jul. 26 MIN L 6-2 6.1W 12 4 4 1 0 2 12 5 117 29 35 L(10-4) - 3.94

Aug. 20 BOS L 10-1 6.0P 11 9 7 2 2 4 13 4 92 29 20 L(11-7) - 4.00

Aug. 25 @DET L 5-4 6.0Q 8 3 3 0 1 4 9 6 99 26 47 L(11-8) - 4.02

Aug. 30 PHI W 9-8 6.0P 9 6 5 2 1 4 11 7 102 27 35 W(12-8) - 4.13

Apr. 20 NYY L 11-8 2.0P 8 8 8 0 2 1 5 4 57 17 7 L(1-1) - 5.96

 

Dominant:17, Just Quality:8, Just Winnable:5, Poor:5

 

Mark Buehrle 2003 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Jun. 26 @MIN W 5-1 9.0D 5 1 1 0 2 9 13 6 128 33 80 W(5-10) - 4.59

Aug. 8 OAK W 3-2 9.0D 5 2 2 1 0 6 8 13 115 30 75 W(10-11) - 4.29

Apr. 5 DET W 7-0 8.0D 3 0 0 0 0 3 8 11 103 27 79 W(1-1) - 1.20

Jun. 16 BOS W 4-2 8.0D 4 2 1 1 1 3 11 11 91 29 70 W(3-10) - 4.85

Jul. 1 MIN W 6-1 8.0D 8 1 1 1 0 5 14 9 100 31 67 W(6-10) - 4.36

Aug. 18 LAA W 4-2 8.0D 6 2 2 0 1 5 10 5 106 31 66 - - 4.14

Sep. 19 KC W 8-5 8.2Q 7 5 5 1 1 4 11 7 107 31 48 W(14-13) - 4.19

Mar. 31 @KC L 3-0 7.0D 6 2 2 0 3 1 11 10 96 29 55 L(0-1) - 2.57

Apr. 10 @CLE W 7-2 7.0D 5 1 1 0 3 2 13 8 107 29 62 W(2-1) - 1.23

Apr. 15 KC L 8-5 7.2D 8 3 2 1 2 6 7 6 102 29 52 - - 1.57

Apr. 25 MIN L 6-1 7.0Q 5 3 3 0 2 4 9 7 104 27 57 L(2-3) - 3.38

May. 6 @OAK L 6-0 7.1Q 7 6 2 1 2 2 13 10 107 32 48 L(2-5) - 3.54

Jul. 6 @TB W 11-3 7.0Q 7 3 3 0 0 1 17 7 109 29 52 W(7-10) - 4.34

Jul. 12 @CLE W 7-4 7.1D 8 4 2 0 2 2 10 8 112 32 50 - - 4.24

Jul. 18 DET W 7-5 7.2D 10 4 1 0 1 5 9 8 89 28 48 W(8-10) - 4.10

Jul. 23 @TOR W 7-6 7.0Q 7 5 5 1 2 7 12 7 113 31 48 - - 4.21

Aug. 13 @LAA L 2-1 7.0D 10 2 2 0 1 1 15 9 98 31 49 L(10-12) - 4.22

Sep. 3 BOS L 5-4 7.2D 8 2 2 1 1 3 8 8 95 29 52 - - 4.22

Sep. 14 @BOS W 7-2 7.0D 7 2 2 1 1 3 14 5 115 28 57 W(13-13) - 4.13

Sep. 23 NYY L 7-0 7.0D 8 2 2 1 1 5 7 11 109 29 57 L(14-14) - 4.14

 

Apr. 30 OAK L 4-1 6.0W 9 4 4 1 1 2 12 8 85 26 39 L(2-4) - 3.72

May. 21 TOR W 6-5 6.0W 10 5 5 0 4 4 9 8 111 31 32 - - 5.19

May. 26 @TOR L 11-5 6.0Q 5 6 2 0 2 1 14 5 97 26 45 L(2-8) - 5.01

Jun. 1 @CLE L 5-4 6.1D 6 1 1 0 2 4 8 5 111 26 59 - - 4.73

Jun. 6 @LAD L 2-1 6.0D 4 2 2 1 0 6 8 2 80 21 62 L(2-9) - 4.61

Jun. 21 @CHC W 7-6 6.1W 9 4 4 1 2 2 5 7 92 27 39 W(4-10) - 4.90

Jul. 29 @KC W 9-6 6.1Q 9 3 3 0 0 3 12 5 106 26 46 W(9-10) - 4.21

Aug. 23 TEX W 13-2 6.0D 4 1 0 0 1 3 4 9 105 23 64 W(11-12) - 4.01

Sep. 9 MIN W 8-6 6.0D 7 2 2 0 3 2 8 5 106 27 49 W(12-13) - 4.18

May. 11 @SEA L 7-2 5.0W 9 5 4 2 6 3 10 5 104 29 28 L(2-6) - 3.86

Aug. 3 @SEA L 8-2 5.0P 7 6 6 0 3 3 7 8 92 25 29 L(9-11) - 4.42

Aug. 29 @DET L 8-4 5.0P 10 8 8 1 4 3 8 6 93 28 14 L(11-13) - 4.27

Apr. 20 CLE L 7-4 4.1P 11 7 7 3 2 2 11 2 76 24 13 L(2-2) - 3.27

Jun. 11 SF L 11-4 4.1P 6 8 8 2 3 4 7 5 81 22 20 L(2-10) - 5.18

May. 16 @MIN L 18-3 3.1P 10 10 9 1 2 0 8 5 63 22 - L(2-7) - 4.96

 

Dominant:19, Just Quality:7, Just Winnable:4, Poor:5

 

Mark Buehrle 2002 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

May. 24 DET W 12-1 9.0D 5 1 0 0 1 5 14 5 106 32 79 W(8-3) - 2.91

Jul. 30 @MIN W 3-0 9.0D 5 0 0 0 2 4 13 10 100 33 79 W(14-7) - 3.64

Aug. 27 TOR W 8-4 9.0Q 7 4 4 1 3 2 19 5 100 34 56 - - 3.49

Sep. 1 @DET W 7-0 9.0D 7 0 0 0 0 4 15 9 118 35 77 W(17-9) - 3.34

Apr. 17 CLE W 7-2 8.0D 7 2 2 1 2 4 13 7 109 30 62 W(4-0) - 1.33

May. 19 LAA L 6-1 8.0D 9 5 3 0 2 5 11 6 105 34 51 L(7-3) - 3.31

Jun. 4 KC L 3-2 8.0Q 7 3 3 0 2 1 12 11 102 33 55 L(8-4) - 2.82

Jun. 20 @PHI W 6-1 8.1D 6 1 1 0 2 5 9 10 104 31 70 W(10-5) - 2.86

Jul. 18 @KC L 5-3 8.0Q 6 3 3 2 0 4 16 4 93 30 62 - - 3.63

Aug. 16 @OAK L 1-0 8.0D 5 1 1 1 1 2 12 8 98 28 69 L(15-9) - 3.55

Sep. 28 @MIN L 3-2 8.0D 10 3 3 1 1 7 10 7 123 33 56 L(19-12) - 3.58

Apr. 12 BAL W 5-2 7.0D 2 2 1 1 2 2 9 10 116 25 67 W(3-0) - 0.95

Apr. 22 @CLE L 4-2 7.0Q 7 4 4 2 2 5 13 6 110 28 50 L(4-1) - 2.12

May. 3 OAK W 6-1 7.2D 6 1 1 0 2 5 14 3 120 28 61 W(5-2) - 3.53

May. 8 @TEX W 5-3 7.0D 4 1 1 0 2 3 11 7 97 26 66 W(6-2) - 3.22

May. 14 TEX W 15-4 7.0Q 6 4 3 1 2 4 7 9 105 30 53 W(7-2) - 3.30

May. 29 NYY L 6-3 7.0D 7 1 1 1 2 7 5 9 104 29 64 - - 2.77

Jun. 9 WAS W 13-2 7.0D 7 2 2 0 1 2 13 6 90 27 56 W(9-4) - 2.80

Jul. 6 CLE W 7-3 7.0D 8 2 2 0 1 6 9 6 112 28 58 W(12-6) - 3.57

Jul. 13 @DET L 5-3 7.0Q 7 4 4 0 2 7 7 10 100 30 52 L(12-7) - 3.65

Aug. 9 SEA W 10-2 7.1D 6 1 1 0 2 1 11 10 102 29 61 W(15-8) - 3.66

Aug. 21 MIN W 10-1 7.0D 7 1 1 0 1 5 9 8 98 28 63 W(16-9) - 3.47

Sep. 6 CLE L 9-7 7.0W 8 7 7 2 4 3 10 8 106 33 32 L(17-10) - 3.52

Sep. 17 KC W 6-1 7.0D 6 1 1 1 1 3 8 11 100 28 63 W(18-11) - 3.60

 

Apr. 1 @SEA W 6-5 6.0D 2 1 1 1 2 5 7 6 104 22 67 W(1-0) - 1.50

Apr. 6 @KC W 14-0 6.0D 5 0 0 0 3 4 8 3 98 23 63 W(2-0) - 0.75

Jun. 25 @MIN W 15-7 6.0W 8 6 6 1 2 1 12 7 94 29 31 W(11-5) - 3.18

Jun. 30 CHC L 9-2 6.2P 9 8 8 1 4 4 11 7 91 29 19 L(11-6) - 3.63

Jul. 23 MIN W 8-7 6.2W 10 6 6 1 0 5 12 6 112 27 30 W(13-7) - 3.86

Aug. 4 @TB L 10-3 6.1W 11 5 5 2 0 4 9 8 92 30 35 L(14-8) - 3.77

Sep. 11 @KC L 9-6 6.0P 11 6 6 2 2 4 6 7 106 30 28 L(17-11) - 3.67

Sep. 22 MIN W 8-2 6.0D 9 2 2 0 2 3 14 2 106 26 47 W(19-11) - 3.58

Jun. 15 @CHC L 7-3 5.1W 7 6 4 0 4 6 5 2 110 27 36 L(9-5) - 3.01

Apr. 27 @OAK L 16-1 3.2P 9 8 8 3 2 2 5 6 70 19 8 L(4-2) - 3.93

 

Dominant:20, Just Quality:6, Just Winnable:5, Poor:3

[JUGGERNAUT]

Freddy Garcia 2005 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Oct. 15 @LAA W 8-2 9.0D 6 2 2 0 1 5 14 9 116 33 71 W(2-0) - 3.21

Apr. 11 @CLE W 2-1 8.0D 4 1 1 0 2 4 12 9 110 28 72 W(1-0) - 1.93

May. 25 @LAA W 4-2 8.0D 7 2 2 0 0 6 12 8 108 30 66 W(5-3) - 3.41

Jun. 6 @COL W 9-3 8.0D 2 3 3 1 0 10 5 9 103 27 76 W(6-3) - 3.51

Jun. 18 LAD W 5-3 8.0Q 6 3 3 1 6 2 12 11 120 34 54 - - 3.75

Jun. 30 @DET W 6-1 9.0D 5 1 0 0 1 8 13 5 96 34 82 W(8-3) - 3.30

Jul. 20 DET L 8-6 8.0W 12 6 6 2 3 5 13 8 112 36 36 L(9-4) - 3.60

Aug. 10 @NYY W 2-1 8.0D 6 1 0 0 1 5 13 8 104 30 72 - - 3.64

Aug. 23 @MIN L 1-0 8.0D 1 1 1 1 2 3 16 6 95 27 77 L(11-6) - 3.54

Sep. 24 MIN W 8-1 8.0D 4 1 1 0 2 2 17 4 105 28 70 W(13-8) - 3.91

Apr. 17 SEA L 5-4 7.0W 9 5 5 2 2 2 11 7 108 29 39 L(1-1) - 3.43

Apr. 22 @KC W 8-2 7.0D 4 2 2 0 0 3 12 5 96 25 64 W(2-1) - 3.21

Apr. 27 @OAK L 2-1 7.0D 4 1 1 1 2 4 4 14 108 26 67 - - 2.83

May. 20 @CHC W 5-1 7.0D 5 1 0 0 1 3 12 10 102 29 67 W(4-3) - 3.56

Jun. 24 CHC W 12-2 7.0D 3 1 1 1 1 8 6 9 93 25 74 W(7-3) - 3.58

Jul. 5 TB W 6-4 7.0Q 8 4 4 1 2 4 8 8 107 30 47 - - 3.40

Jul. 15 @CLE W 7-1 7.0D 6 1 1 0 3 4 14 1 103 28 62 W(9-3) - 3.41

Jul. 31 @BAL W 9-4 7.0Q 10 4 3 2 2 4 14 10 112 34 45 W(11-4) - 3.77

Aug. 5 SEA L 4-2 7.0Q 7 4 4 1 3 4 11 3 111 29 48 L(11-5) - 3.83

Aug. 16 MIN L 9-4 7.0Q 9 3 3 1 1 3 16 5 112 29 49 - - 3.65

Sep. 2 DET W 9-1 7.0D 2 1 1 0 1 7 9 4 84 24 75 W(12-7) - 3.75

Sep. 8 KC L 4-2 7.0Q 8 3 3 1 2 3 13 9 100 30 50 L(12-8) - 3.76

Sep. 29 @DET W 4-2 7.0D 8 2 2 0 0 5 12 8 90 29 58 W(14-8) - 3.87

Oct. 26 @HOU W 1-0 7.0D 4 0 0 0 3 7 10 2 107 27 73 W(3-0) - 2.14

 

Apr. 6 CLE W 4-3 6.0D 5 2 2 0 3 6 8 6 109 27 57 - - 3.00

May. 4 KC W 4-2 6.1D 8 2 2 0 2 4 13 5 107 28 51 W(3-1) - 2.83

May. 9 @TB L 4-2 6.1Q 8 4 4 0 3 5 11 4 100 29 43 L(3-2) - 3.21

May. 14 BAL L 9-6 6.0P 10 7 7 2 3 7 9 3 112 31 28 L(3-3) - 4.03

Jun. 12 @SD W 8-5 6.0W 10 5 5 1 1 2 13 5 107 29 33 - - 3.78

Jul. 10 OAK L 9-8 6.0W 9 4 4 2 3 4 8 10 102 28 39 - - 3.53

Jul. 25 @KC W 14-6 6.0W 12 5 5 1 0 7 9 6 97 28 35 W(10-4) - 3.76

Sep. 19 CLE L 7-5 6.1W 7 4 4 2 2 3 11 7 108 27 44 - - 4.01

May. 31 LAA W 5-4 5.1W 6 3 3 1 2 3 7 5 94 22 45 - - 3.53

Sep. 14 @KC L 10-9 5.1P 9 7 7 1 2 2 11 9 96 27 22 - - 3.96

Oct. 7 @BOS W 5-3 5.0W 5 3 3 3 4 1 6 8 98 22 42 W(1-0) - 5.40

Aug. 28 @SEA L 9-2 4.1P 11 8 8 1 2 4 8 6 89 26 11 L(11-7) - 3.84

 

Dominant:18, Just Quality:7, Just Winnable:8, Poor:3

 

Freddy Garcia 2004 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Jun. 25 SD L 3-2 9.0D 4 3 3 0 3 5 7 10 96 31 69 L(4-7) - 3.20

Apr. 24 @TEX L 3-0 8.2D 8 3 3 1 1 3 16 8 108 32 53 L(0-1) - 2.60

Apr. 30 @DET W 3-1 8.0D 4 1 1 0 4 4 12 4 114 30 70 - - 2.27

Jun. 4 CWS L 4-2 8.2Q 7 4 4 1 2 6 10 8 111 31 53 L(3-4) - 3.18

Jun. 9 HOU L 3-0 8.0D 7 3 3 0 3 9 7 10 117 34 62 L(3-5) - 3.20

Jun. 15 @MIL L 3-0 8.2D 8 3 3 1 2 8 9 6 114 34 57 L(3-6) - 3.23

Jul. 6 LAA L 6-2 8.0Q 7 4 4 1 2 7 11 7 118 32 57 L(5-8) - 3.42

Apr. 8 LAA L 5-1 7.0D 4 0 0 0 2 7 5 10 96 27 74 - - 0.00

Apr. 19 OAK W 2-1 7.0D 3 0 0 0 2 7 4 13 115 27 76 - - 2.25

May. 6 MIN W 2-1 7.0D 6 1 1 0 1 8 12 6 109 29 68 W(1-1) - 2.11

May. 12 @MIN L 4-3 7.1Q 7 4 3 1 2 4 9 11 118 33 52 L(1-2) - 2.34

May. 23 DET W 3-1 7.0D 4 1 1 0 4 7 7 7 114 28 68 W(2-3) - 2.71

Jul. 11 SEA W 4-3 7.2D 6 3 3 1 1 7 7 9 110 27 56 W(6-8) - 3.45

Jul. 17 @OAK W 5-2 7.2D 2 2 1 0 2 6 6 12 114 26 68 W(7-8) - 3.35

Jul. 22 @CLE W 3-0 7.0D 5 0 0 0 3 9 7 5 105 29 73 W(8-8) - 3.18

Jul. 27 MIN L 7-3 7.1Q 7 4 4 0 2 3 13 8 115 33 49 L(8-9) - 3.27

Aug. 1 @DET W 6-4 7.1Q 5 4 4 2 1 8 9 6 113 28 59 W(9-9) - 3.35

Aug. 7 CLE L 6-5 7.0Q 9 3 3 0 1 3 12 6 99 29 49 - - 3.37

Aug. 22 BOS L 6-5 7.0W 7 5 5 2 3 7 9 6 118 30 47 - - 3.84

Sep. 19 DET W 6-1 7.1D 6 1 1 0 3 8 12 4 121 30 67 W(12-11) - 3.86

Sep. 29 @DET W 11-2 7.0D 5 0 0 0 3 8 6 6 108 28 72 W(13-11) - 3.81

 

Apr. 14 @LAA L 6-5 6.0W 13 5 5 1 0 4 9 11 97 31 30 - - 3.46

May. 18 BAL L 7-2 6.0P 7 5 5 1 3 4 7 9 123 27 39 L(1-3) - 2.89

May. 29 @BOS W 5-4 6.2W 8 4 4 1 2 3 7 10 103 27 38 W(3-3) - 3.02

Aun. 20 @PIT W 5-4 6.0Q 6 2 2 1 1 3 11 7 75 25 54 W(4-6) - 3.21

Jun. 30 @MIN W 9-6 6.0Q 7 5 4 3 0 9 9 4 105 26 49 W(5-7) - 3.35

Aug. 12 KC W 3-2 6.0D 7 2 2 0 0 7 8 5 87 23 57 W(10-9) - 3.36

Sep. 8 @TEX W 5-2 5.0Q 3 1 1 0 2 8 4 3 88 20 63 W(11-10) - 3.79

Sep. 14 @MIN L 10-2 5.1P 3 6 6 0 5 2 6 6 96 23 35 L(11-11) - 3.97

Sep. 24 KC L 8-6 5.0W 6 4 4 1 3 6 7 4 106 25 42 - - 3.95

Aug. 17 DET L 11-8 4.1P 11 9 9 4 1 4 4 6 77 23 8 L(10-10) - 3.74

 

Dominant:15, Just Quality:9, Just Winnable:4, Poor:3

 

Freddy Garcia 2003 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Jun. 8 @NYM W 13-1 9.0D 6 1 1 1 1 7 7 11 117 35 77 W(6-6) - 5.00

Jun. 18 LAA W 2-0 8.0D 5 0 0 0 3 3 11 9 102 30 72 W(8-6) - 4.30

Aug. 17 BOS W 3-1 8.2D 4 1 1 1 2 8 8 9 115 29 73 W(11-12) - 5.08

Sep. 13 LAA W 5-1 8.0D 6 0 0 0 3 5 7 11 123 29 72 W(12-14) - 4.75

Sep. 23 @LAA L 2-1 8.0D 4 1 1 0 1 5 10 8 101 29 74 - - 4.52

Apr. 16 OAK L 4-1 7.0D 4 2 2 1 4 3 9 9 116 27 60 L(1-3) - 5.09

Apr. 27 DET W 4-3 7.0Q 4 3 3 2 1 6 9 8 100 27 62 W(2-3) - 4.21

May. 21 KC L 14-5 7.0P 7 7 7 3 3 4 11 10 109 30 36 L(3-6) - 5.90

May. 27 @KC W 15-7 7.0D 5 4 2 0 2 3 12 8 112 29 56 W(4-6) - 5.54

Jun. 1 @MIN W 9-5 7.0Q 7 4 4 2 3 7 7 9 106 30 51 W(5-6) - 5.50

Jun. 13 ATL W 2-1 7.1D 7 1 1 0 2 5 11 9 108 29 63 W(7-6) - 4.69

Jun. 24 @LAA W 6-4 7.2Q 9 3 3 1 1 4 4 11 108 28 47 W(9-6) - 4.28

Jul. 10 BAL L 4-1 7.0Q 7 3 3 2 0 4 14 6 114 29 55 L(9-8) - 4.41

Aug. 28 TB L 3-2 7.2D 4 2 1 1 2 4 6 12 102 27 62 - - 5.00

Sep. 7 @BAL L 2-1 7.0D 4 2 1 0 2 7 10 5 111 26 68 L(11-14) - 4.96

 

Apr. 6 @TEX W 11-2 6.1D 3 2 2 1 6 4 9 4 118 27 57 W(1-1) - 5.73

Apr. 22 CLE W 8-5 6.1D 7 1 1 1 2 1 7 12 116 28 54 - - 4.30

May. 3 @CWS W 12-2 6.0D 3 1 1 1 1 3 6 9 108 23 64 W(3-3) - 3.83

May. 14 @CLE L 7-2 6.0Q 8 7 4 1 2 5 11 7 116 32 37 L(3-5) - 5.47

Jun. 29 SD L 8-6 6.0D 5 1 1 1 3 5 9 6 101 25 60 - - 4.13

Jul. 4 @TEX L 7-3 6.1W 9 7 7 1 1 7 5 8 100 28 33 L(9-7) - 4.45

Jul. 27 TEX L 7-3 6.2W 10 6 5 0 2 3 6 10 102 30 28 L(9-10) - 5.17

Aug. 7 @CLE L 3-0 6.1D 6 2 2 2 0 7 8 7 109 25 60 L(9-12) - 5.45

Aug. 12 TOR W 3-1 6.1D 4 1 1 1 5 4 5 11 113 27 60 W(10-12) - 5.28

Apr. 1 @OAK L 5-0 5.2P 8 5 5 1 2 4 10 4 97 24 30 L(0-1) - 9.64

Apr. 11 TEX L 4-2 5.0w 7 4 4 1 1 4 11 6 104 23 40 L(1-2) - 6.19

Jul. 17 @KC L 7-1 5.0P 8 6 6 1 2 3 10 1 95 24 28 L(9-9) - 4.67

Aug. 23 @BOS L 7-6 5.0W 6 4 4 2 6 4 6 6 109 26 37 - - 5.15

Sep. 3 @TB L 7-0 5.0P 7 5 5 1 1 8 5 5 76 24 40 L(11-13) - 5.11

Sep. 18 @TEX L 2-1 4.0Q 1 0 0 0 1 3 4 4 56 12 62 - - 4.66

May. 8 NYY L 16-5 3.2P 7 9 9 0 2 1 5 4 58 18 7 L(3-4) - 5.40

Jul. 22 @MIN W 10-8 3.2P 7 7 7 0 2 2 7 4 76 18 16 - - 5.05

Aug. 1 CWS L 12-1 2.2P 7 7 7 2 2 1 0 6 66 14 12 L(9-11) - 5.57

 

Dominant:16, Just Quality:6, Just Winnable:4, Poor:7

 

Freddy Garcia 2002 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Apr. 27 NYY W 1-0 8.0D 4 0 0 0 1 8 10 7 111 28 81 W(3-2) - 3.93

May. 3 @NYY W 6-2 8.0D 3 2 2 1 3 6 11 6 113 30 71 W(4-2) - 3.63

May. 19 @BOS L 3-2 8.0Q 9 3 3 0 1 4 15 5 124 34 55 L(4-4) - 3.84

Jun. 3 @OAK W 4-1 8.2D 5 1 1 1 1 5 11 8 99 28 69 W(7-4) - 3.39

Jun. 8 CHC W 4-2 8.0D 5 1 1 1 2 7 10 4 104 29 73 W(8-4) - 3.20

Jun. 19 @CIN W 2-0 8.0D 3 0 0 0 0 7 11 5 107 28 83 W(10-4) - 3.02

Jun. 29 COL W 8-1 8.0D 6 1 1 0 1 5 13 5 95 29 70 W(11-5) - 3.56

Aug. 25 @CLE W 12-4 8.0Q 7 4 4 1 4 5 12 8 129 34 53 W(14-9) - 4.30

May. 8 TOR W 5-4 7.0D 7 3 3 1 1 8 9 7 114 28 58 - - 3.66

May. 24 BAL W 6-2 7.0D 3 2 2 2 2 9 8 7 115 27 70 W(5-4) - 3.72

May. 29 @TB W 5-2 7.1D 5 2 2 2 0 7 10 8 96 29 67 W(6-4) - 3.60

Jun. 14 @SD W 6-3 7.2D 5 3 3 1 2 8 9 5 103 27 58 W(9-4) - 3.25

Jul. 4 MIN W 2-1 7.0D 6 1 1 0 1 7 11 5 102 27 67 - - 3.44

Jul. 29 DET W 4-3 7.0Q 6 7 3 3 1 2 6 6 7 107 29 55 - - 4.03

Aug. 3 CLE W 12-4 7.0D 4 2 2 1 3 4 10 7 121 28 62 W(12-7) - 3.96

Aug. 30 KC L 5-1 7.0Q 7 4 4 0 3 3 6 13 116 30 47 L(14-10) - 4.34

Sep. 11 @TEX L 4-3 7.0D 6 3 3 2 1 12 3 8 112 28 64 - - 4.37

Sep. 21 LAA W 6-4 7.0Q 8 4 4 2 1 3 3 15 122 30 47 W(16-10) - 4.40

Sep. 27 @LAA W 7-6 7.0Q 7 3 3 0 3 4 8 11 113 30 52 - - 4.39

 

Apr. 1 CWS L 6-5 6.1Q 8 3 3 0 2 0 8 10 115 30 43 L(0-1) - 4.26

Apr. 6 OAK L 8-3 6.0P 8 6 6 3 2 6 11 8 117 30 36 L(0-2) - 6.57

Apr. 11 @LAA W 8-4 6.1Q 9 4 3 0 0 3 4 13 86 29 44 W(1-2) - 5.79

Apr. 21 TEX W 5-3 6.0Q 7 2 2 2 0 3 10 8 101 25 53 W(2-2) - 5.02

May. 14 @TOR L 6-3 6.0Q 5 4 4 1 2 9 6 6 108 26 53 L(4-3) - 3.90

Jul. 14 @TB W 7-6 6.2P 9 6 6 0 1 1 9 11 86 26 27 - - 3.69

Jul. 24 TEX L 4-3 6.1Q 6 4 4 1 4 6 9 5 107 27 47 L(11-7) - 4.03

Aug. 9 @CWS L 10-2 6.0P 7 6 6 1 2 3 10 6 100 28 35 L(12-8) - 4.15

Aug. 15 BOS W 4-3 6.2Q 7 3 3 1 4 7 4 8 113 28 46 W(13-8) - 4.17

Sep. 6 @KC W 14-7 6.0Q 12 4 4 1 0 2 10 7 99 28 34 W(15-10) - 4.39

Sep. 16 TEX W 6-5 6.2Q 8 3 3 0 2 5 8 9 108 27 44 - - 4.38

Jul. 19 @LAA L 15-3 5.2P 11 6 6 0 3 4 4 8 107 28 19 L(11-6) - 3.96

Aug. 20 @DET L 6-3 5.1W 11 5 5 2 3 8 7 7 113 31 31 L(13-9) - 4.30

Apr. 16 @OAK W 6-2 4.0W 3 2 2 2 1 3 5 5 59 16 50 - - 5.56

Jun. 24 OAK L 13-2 3.0P 9 10 10 0 5 3 7 3 85 23 -1 L(10-5) - 3.73

 

Dominant:13, Just Quality:14, Just Winnable:2, Poor:5

[maggsmaggs]

I think we get 102, but an significant injury could bring us back to the low-to-mid 90's.

[JUGGERNAUT]

You're probably asking why am I fixating on Javier Vazquez?

Because the White Sox own his rights for 3 yrs. When a player exercises his right

to demand a trade the team that acquires him owns his rights for the full length of

the contract. In Javier's case the contract expires after 2007 but it was originally

a 3 yr deal so he will become an RFA (arbitration player) for 2008.

 

It's worth mentioning as well that if Kenny had not made this trade Vazquez would

be an Indian right now. Kenny beat them to the punch.

 

Javier Vazquez 2005 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

May. 1 @SD W 5-2 9.0D 6 2 2 1 0 8 9 12 115 33 75 W(3-2) - 5.11

May. 22 @DET W 1-0 9.0D 5 0 0 0 0 7 11 8 113 32 84 W(5-3) - 3.49

Jul. 6 STL L 2-1 9.0D 3 2 2 1 0 8 8 6 113 29 81 L(7-8) - 4.54

Apr. 25 @LAD W 4-2 8.0D 5 2 2 2 2 9 6 4 111 29 71 W(2-2) - 6.11

Jun. 14 @CWS W 10-4 8.0D 7 3 3 2 1 10 6 8 113 31 65 W(7-4) - 4.30

Jul. 14 @SD W 6-0 8.0D 4 0 0 0 1 4 10 10 106 28 77 W(8-8) - 4.25

Jul. 24 ATL W 3-2 8.0D 3 2 2 2 2 11 4 5 112 28 77 W(9-9) - 4.37

Aug. 20 @CIN W 6-2 8.0D 5 1 1 0 1 6 12 3 77 28 73 W(10-12) - 4.67

Oct. 1 @SF W 2-1 8.0D 7 1 1 1 3 4 14 6 117 32 65 - - 4.42

Apr. 20 @SF W 2-1 7.0D 8 0 0 0 2 2 12 6 90 28 61 W(1-2) - 7.65

May. 6 PIT W 8-4 7.0D 7 2 2 0 0 8 12 5 94 28 63 W(4-2) - 4.71

May. 11 WAS W 3-2 7.0D 6 2 2 0 0 7 7 7 100 28 64 - - 4.41

May. 17 @HOU L 3-0 7.0D 7 1 1 0 0 5 11 10 102 29 64 L(4-3) - 4.03

May. 28 LAD W 5-4 7.0Q 10 4 4 1 0 4 9 11 94 31 45 - - 3.65

Jul. 29 @CHC L 4-3 7.0D 5 2 2 1 2 4 7 8 113 28 61 - - 4.29

Aug. 25 NYM L 3-1 7.0D 4 2 2 1 2 6 12 4 99 27 65 L(10-13) - 4.59

Sep. 13 MIL L 3-1 7.0Q 7 3 3 2 2 6 10 8 121 29 55 L(10-15) - 4.71

Sep. 20 LAD W 4-1 7.2D 4 1 1 1 1 7 9 8 122 28 73 W(11-15) - 4.58

Sep. 25 SD W 4-3 7.0Q 2 3 3 1 1 12 4 6 105 25 72 - - 4.55

 

Apr. 14 @WAS L 5-3 6.0W 8 5 5 1 1 8 4 10 94 27 43 L(0-2) - 11.77

Jun. 9 MIN W 4-3 6.0Q 3 3 3 2 3 3 7 8 112 24 54 W(6-4) - 4.39

Jun. 25 DET L 5-1 6.1P 10 5 4 0 1 5 15 4 100 29 39 L(7-6) - 4.53

Jul. 1 @LAD L 7-0 6.2P 6 6 6 2 2 10 5 7 105 29 46 L(7-7) - 4.75

Sep. 6 @PIT W 4-2 6.0D 12 2 2 2 1 4 8 9 104 30 43 - - 4.74

Apr. 9 LAD L 12-10 5.1P 5 6 5 1 3 7 4 8 103 25 40 - - 15.43

Jun. 20 @SF L 8-3 5.0W 10 4 4 0 1 5 8 4 112 25 35 L(7-5) - 4.45

Jul. 19 FLA L 6-3 5.0P 9 6 6 3 5 2 12 6 90 27 22 L(8-9) - 4.50

Aug. 3 HOU L 7-0 5.2P 9 5 2 1 2 5 9 5 108 28 40 L(9-10) - 4.25

Aug. 9 @FLA L 5-0 5.0P 8 5 5 0 4 3 7 3 110 28 30 L(9-11) - 4.40

Aug. 31 @SD L 9-5 5.1P 10 8 7 2 2 5 7 10 94 28 21 L(10-14) - 4.80

Jun. 4 @PHI L 10-6 4.0P 10 8 8 2 0 2 6 7 78 22 12 L(5-4) - 4.39

Aug. 14 @ATL L 13-8 2.0P 8 9 9 3 1 3 1 7 54 16 6 L(9-12) - 4.85

Apr. 4 CHC L 16-6 1.2P 10 7 7 0 0 2 3 4 42 15 9 L(0-1) - 37.80

 

Dominant: 17, Just Quality: 3, Just Winnable: 3, Poor: 10

 

Javier Vazquez 2004 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Apr. 8 CWS W 3-1 8.0D 3 1 1 0 2 5 10 9 106 28 75 W(1-0) - 1.13

Apr. 21 @CWS W 3-1 8.0D 5 1 1 1 2 6 13 6 113 31 72 W(2-1) - 2.53

Apr. 30 KC W 5-2 8.0D 2 2 2 1 0 5 1 18 91 27 75 W(3-2) - 2.55

Jun. 13 SD W 6-5 8.0D 6 2 2 1 0 8 8 11 114 31 70 - - 3.43

Aug. 6 TOR W 11-4 8.0D 6 3 3 1 0 3 12 10 92 30 61 W(13-6) - 4.12

May. 12 LAA L 11-2 7.1Q 6 5 5 2 2 4 9 7 100 29 48 L(3-4) - 4.10

May. 18 @LAA L 1-0 7.0D 5 0 0 0 2 5 8 8 113 27 70 - - 3.58

Jun. 3 BAL W 5-2 7.0D 5 2 2 1 1 2 8 12 118 27 60 W(6-4) - 3.75

Jun. 8 COL W 2-1 7.0Q 5 1 1 0 0 6 11 6 95 26 69 W(7-4) - 3.54

Jun. 24 @BAL W 5-2 7.0D 9 2 2 1 2 2 9 9 106 30 51 W(8-5) - 3.38

Jun. 29 BOS W 11-3 7.2Q 7 3 3 3 1 8 4 11 115 28 55 W(9-5) - 3.42

Aug. 17 @MIN L 8-2 7.2W 9 6 6 2 2 2 6 14 112 32 32 L(13-7) - 4.29

Aug. 24 @CLE W 5-4 7.0Q 6 4 4 1 3 4 10 8 111 28 50 - - 4.32

Sep. 5 BAL W 4-3 7.0Q 6 3 3 1 3 8 7 7 118 29 58 - - 4.59

Sep. 15 @KC W 3-0 7.0D 3 0 0 0 4 7 8 5 111 27 74 W(14-9) - 4.75

Sep. 20 TOR L 6-3 7.2Q 9 4 4 1 4 3 12 5 115 32 39 L(14-10) - 4.77

Sep. 30 MIN W 6-4 7.2Q 7 4 4 2 1 4 10 11 95 28 47 - - 4.91

 

Apr. 25 BOS L 2-0 6.0D 4 2 2 1 1 8 3 7 102 24 63 L(2-2) - 2.63

May. 6 @OAK L 7-4 6.2W 6 7 7 1 4 4 8 9 101 27 29 L(3-3) - 3.73

May. 23 @TEX W 8-3 6.0Q 6 3 3 0 1 6 5 9 99 26 53 W(4-4) - 3.67

May. 28 @TB W 7-5 6.0W 8 4 4 1 2 2 7 11 102 28 40 W(5-4) - 3.88

Jul. 9 TB W 5-4 6.2Q 4 3 3 2 5 9 4 6 111 25 53 W(10-5) - 3.57

Jul. 21 TOR W 10-3 6.0Q 9 3 3 0 2 4 9 8 112 30 44 W(11-6) - 4.05

Jul. 26 @TOR W 6-5 6.1Q 5 3 3 2 1 4 7 8 94 24 54 - - 4.06

Apr. 16 @BOS L 6-2 5.1P 9 6 4 3 1 5 8 6 97 26 34 L(1-1) - 3.38

Jun. 18 @LAD L 6-3 5.0P 9 5 2 0 1 5 6 8 98 26 39 L(7-5) - 3.44

Jul. 4 @NYM L 6-5 5.0W 6 4 3 1 5 5 6 6 113 27 41 - - 3.50

Jul. 31 BAL W 6-4 5.1W 4 4 4 1 2 3 5 10 85 23 45 W(12-6) - 4.16

Sep. 25 @BOS L 12-5 5.2P 7 5 5 1 2 4 5 8 97 24 32 - - 4.89

Oct. 9 @MIN W 6-5 5.0P 7 5 5 1 2 6 4 7 98 25 37 - - 9.00

Oct. 16 @BOS W 19-8 4.1P 7 4 4 1 2 4 2 7 96 20 - W(1-0) - 8.68

Jul. 16 @DET L 8-0 4.1P 9 8 8 1 0 5 4 6 78 22 18 L(10-6) - 4.02

Sep. 10 @BAL L 14-8 2.1P 5 8 8 1 2 3 2 3 54 15 16 L(13-9) - 4.94

Oct. 20 BOS L 10-3 2.0P 2 3 3 2 5 2 1 5 55 13 - - - 9.53

Aug. 31 CLE L 22-0 1.1P 5 6 6 0 2 1 1 5 41 12 19 L(13-8) - 4.62

 

Dominant: 10, Just Quality: 11, Just Winnable: 5, Poor: 9

 

Javier Vazquez 2003 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Jul. 18 @PHI W 3-1 9.0D 9 1 1 1 0 7 11 4 118 33 72 W(7-6) - 3.75

Aug. 2 MIL W 7-1 9.0D 8 1 0 0 0 11 7 9 119 33 80 W(9-7) - 3.55

Aug. 18 SF W 4-0 9.0D 3 0 0 0 3 7 6 12 123 32 85 W(11-8) - 3.44

Aug. 23 @SD L 1-0 9.0D 3 0 0 0 1 10 3 13 99 32 90 - - 3.27

Jul. 23 NYM W 5-2 8.0D 6 2 2 0 1 11 8 7 128 30 72 W(8-6) - 3.67

Aug. 28 PHI W 4-0 8.0D 4 0 0 0 3 10 7 9 129 31 81 W(12-8) - 3.14

Sep. 2 @PHI L 5-3 8.0Q 8 5 5 1 3 5 15 7 136 35 48 L(12-9) - 3.24

Sep. 23 @ATL L 2-0 8.2D 5 2 2 0 2 5 11 11 106 31 64 L(13-12) - 3.24

Apr. 9 @CHC L 3-0 7.0D 5 2 2 1 0 14 3 6 96 25 73 L(1-1) - 1.42

Apr. 19 CIN W 9-5 7.0Q 5 4 4 2 1 11 3 7 110 27 61 W(2-1) - 3.16

Apr. 24 ARI W 1-0 7.0D 6 0 0 0 1 9 5 7 121 27 73 W(3-1) - 2.48

Apr. 29 @MIL W 3-2 7.0D 3 2 2 2 0 12 2 9 120 24 75 - - 2.50

May. 20 FLA W 6-4 7.0Q 7 3 2 1 1 3 12 5 127 28 55 W(4-2) - 3.32

May. 25 PHI W 5-3 7.0D 5 2 2 1 1 8 3 12 120 27 66 W(5-2) - 3.25

Jun. 5 LAA W 8-7 7.0D 3 2 2 2 2 11 5 7 106 26 72 - - 3.51

Jun. 25 PIT L 6-5 7.0Q 6 3 3 2 1 8 5 9 94 26 60 - - 4.03

Jul. 11 FLA L 5-4 7.0Q 7 3 3 2 3 7 7 8 126 31 55 - - 3.95

Sep. 13 NYM L 5-4 7.0Q 7 5 5 1 2 7 7 8 92 30 48 L(12-11) - 3.38

Sep. 18 @NYM W 1-0 7.0D 3 0 0 0 0 12 6 5 126 25 83 W(13-11) - 3.27

 

Apr. 3 @ATL W 4-0 6.2D 7 0 0 0 2 5 8 9 82 26 58 W(1-0) - 0.00

Apr. 14 NYM W 5-3 6.0Q 5 3 3 1 1 7 6 7 124 24 56 - - 2.41

May. 4 @STL L 6-2 6.0W 6 5 5 1 2 6 3 11 99 27 44 L(3-2) - 3.15

May. 10 LAD W 6-5 6.1W 11 5 5 1 1 5 12 6 106 31 35 - - 3.64

May. 30 @PHI L 12-5 6.2P 5 7 5 1 6 3 7 8 131 29 32 L(5-3) - 3.60

Jun. 10 @SEA W 7-3 6.0Q 8 3 3 0 2 7 9 5 114 28 49 W(6-3) - 3.58

Jun. 15 @OAK L 9-1 6.1W 5 5 5 2 4 5 2 13 112 28 44 L(6-4) - 3.82

Jun. 20 TOR L 8-4 6.0W 9 5 5 3 1 5 7 7 98 26 38 L(6-5) - 4.04

Jun. 30 @NYM L 3-1 6.0Q 7 3 3 0 3 5 5 9 118 27 48 L(6-6) - 4.05

Jul. 28 ATL L 10-8 6.2P 12 8 4 1 1 3 12 9 129 33 23 L(8-7) - 3.77

Aug. 8 @HOU L 5-1 6.0Q 4 3 3 0 3 3 10 6 92 23 52 L(9-8) - 3.59

Aug. 13 COL W 6-5 6.0W 6 5 3 2 2 4 4 12 95 26 46 W(10-8) - 3.62

Sep. 7 FLA L 3-1 6.0Q 6 3 3 0 1 7 6 6 117 26 54 L(12-10) - 3.27

 

Jul. 5 @ATL L 3-2 5.0Q 2 1 1 0 2 5 5 5 72 18 62 - - 3.96

May. 15 @COL L 4-2 3.1W 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 3 56 13 58 - - 3.42

 

Dominant: 14, Just Quality: 12, Just Winnable: 6, Poor: 2

 

Javier Vazquez 2002 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Apr. 24 MIL W 5-4 9.0D 9 3 2 0 1 2 17 4 92 34 60 - - 3.34

Apr. 30 @HOU W 5-1 9.0D 5 1 1 0 0 9 11 11 117 33 82 W(1-1) - 2.86

Jun. 5 PIT W 3-1 9.0D 3 1 1 0 0 10 12 5 123 30 87 W(4-2) - 3.12

Apr. 18 NYM L 1-0 8.0D 5 1 1 0 0 6 5 14 99 29 74 L(0-1) - 3.81

May. 10 SF W 6-3 8.0D 6 2 2 1 1 4 11 10 100 30 65 W(2-2) - 3.03

May. 15 @SD L 2-1 8.0D 3 0 0 0 3 7 11 8 110 30 80 - - 2.67

May. 21 ATL W 5-4 8.0D 9 3 2 0 1 6 14 9 123 35 59 - - 2.63

Jun. 21 CLE W 3-1 8.0D 5 1 1 0 4 6 7 10 123 31 70 W(5-3) - 3.21

Sep. 5 PHI L 4-1 8.0Q 10 4 4 2 0 7 8 15 121 34 53 L(8-13) - 4.11

Sep. 27 CIN W 4-3 8.0D 7 3 3 2 0 9 11 4 105 29 65 - - 3.91

May. 5 @ARI L 5-2 7.1Q 10 5 4 1 2 6 8 8 111 33 44 L(1-2) - 3.16

May. 26 PHI W 6-5 7.2Q 10 5 5 1 3 3 8 13 111 32 34 - - 2.96

May. 31 @PHI W 8-7 7.0W 9 6 6 3 1 5 6 12 111 30 39 W(3-2) - 3.34

Jun. 16 TOR W 6-5 7.2Q 8 4 4 1 2 3 10 14 118 30 43 - - 3.37

Jul. 1 @ATL L 7-5 7.0W 7 6 5 2 2 2 9 13 99 30 41 L(5-5) - 3.76

Jul. 14 ATL W 10-3 7.0D 8 2 2 0 2 5 8 13 95 30 56 W(7-5) - 3.63

Jul. 19 @FLA L 4-2 7.0Q 5 4 4 0 3 7 11 3 108 28 55 L(7-6) - 3.70

Jul. 19 @FLA L 4-2 7.0Q 5 4 4 0 3 7 11 3 108 28 55 L(7-6) - 3.70

Jul. 24 @NYM W 2-1 7.2D 5 1 1 0 4 5 7 7 118 28 61 W(8-6) - 3.60

Jul. 30 ARI W 5-4 7.0Q 8 3 3 0 1 5 5 10 115 31 53 - - 3.61

Aug. 15 LAD L 1-0 7.0D 6 1 1 0 0 5 7 8 84 25 66 L(8-9) - 3.77

Sep. 10 @CHC W 6-2 7.0D 6 2 2 1 3 10 9 5 117 30 64 W(9-13) - 4.06

Sep. 15 NYM W 10-1 7.0D 4 1 1 1 0 9 3 10 93 24 74 W(10-13) - 3.97

Sep. 21 @NYM L 6-3 7.0D 8 2 2 1 0 4 7 9 118 28 57 - - 3.93

 

Apr. 2 FLA W 7-6 6.2D 5 2 2 1 1 4 7 8 90 23 54 - - 3.18

Apr. 7 @CIN L 6-5 6.0Q 9 3 2 1 1 4 10 9 100 29 47 - - 3.09

Apr. 13 @NYM W 9-8 6.1W 5 6 6 2 1 4 7 9 104 25 42 - - 5.00

Aug. 10 @MIL L 5-2 6.0Q 9 4 4 0 1 7 8 7 117 28 44 L(8-8) - 3.87

Aug. 31 ATL L 5-3 6.0W 7 4 3 2 5 7 7 6 123 33 46 L(8-12) - 4.10

 

Jun. 10 @DET L 6-4 5.0P 10 6 3 2 0 5 12 4 97 24 34 L(4-3) - 3.23

Jun. 26 @PIT L 7-4 5.2P 10 7 7 2 1 2 5 9 86 24 17 L(5-4) - 3.61

Jul. 6 @PHI W 5-3 5.0D 5 1 1 0 4 3 3 8 90 23 52 W(6-5) - 3.69

Aug. 25 @SF L 8-4 5.1P 8 6 5 0 1 1 5 15 98 28 30 L(8-11) - 4.08

Aug. 4 HOU L 5-4 4.0P 10 5 5 0 1 4 5 5 63 22 25 L(8-7) - 3.80

Aug. 20 @COL L 8-6 3.0P 9 6 5 2 0 3 5 3 65 18 22 L(8-10) - 3.96

 

Dominant: 17, Just Quality: 9, Just Winnable: 4, Poor: 5

 

4 yr totals: Dom 58, Just Qual: 35, Just Winnable: 18, Poor: 26

 

Not many starters can match or exceed that.

 

 

Note: There were borderline cases for JQ & JW.

For a typical W case, if the strikeouts were there or the score was close a JQ was awarded.

[santo=dorf]

109 wins because I said so.

 

Juggs, have you been working on this since your last post?

[JUGGERNAUT]

Jose Contreras 2005 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Sep. 23 MIN W 3-1 9.0D 6 1 1 0 1 9 11 7 111 32 79 W(14-7) - 3.66

Oct. 16 @LAA W 6-3 9.0D 5 3 3 0 2 2 14 7 114 34 65 W(2-1) - 2.88

May. 5 KC W 2-1 8.0D 4 1 1 1 1 6 9 10 102 28 75 W(1-0) - 2.60

Aug. 21 NYY W 6-2 8.0D 11 2 1 0 0 5 15 6 112 33 59 W(8-7) - 4.08

Sep. 18 @MIN W 2-1 8.0D 5 1 1 0 2 2 14 7 93 29 68 W(13-7) - 3.79

Sep. 28 @DET W 8-2 8.0D 7 2 2 1 0 9 11 8 101 29 69 W(15-7) - 3.61

Oct. 11 LAA L 3-2 8.1D 7 3 3 1 0 4 17 8 102 32 61 L(1-1) - 2.81

May. 21 @CHC W 5-3 7.0D 4 1 1 0 1 4 10 8 78 25 68 W(2-1) - 3.23

May. 26 @LAA L 3-2 7.0D 4 3 3 1 1 9 4 7 95 26 65 L(2-2) - 3.30

Jul. 14 @CLE W 1-0 7.0D 3 0 0 0 3 7 4 9 97 26 75 W(5-5) - 3.99

Aug. 9 @NYY W 2-1 7.0D 3 0 0 0 2 6 11 4 102 27 75 W(7-6) - 4.18

Aug. 27 @SEA W 4-3 7.0Q 5 3 3 0 0 7 9 6 97 27 62 W(9-7) - 4.07

Sep. 1 DET W 12-3 7.0Q 5 3 3 2 0 5 10 10 86 25 60 W(10-7) - 4.06

Sep. 7 KC W 1-0 7.2D 6 0 0 0 5 4 8 9 104 33 66 W(11-7) - 3.88

Oct. 4 BOS W 14-2 7.2D 8 2 2 0 0 6 13 5 100 31 61 W(1-0) - 2.35

Oct. 22 HOU W 5-3 7.0Q 6 3 3 1 0 2 11 8 82 29 55 W(3-1) - 3.09

 

Apr. 7 CLE L 11-5 6.0D 4 1 1 0 2 4 14 3 96 25 62 - - 1.50

Apr. 13 @CLE W 5-4 6.2Q 5 4 4 1 5 3 4 11 104 29 46 - - 3.55

Apr. 29 DET L 3-2 6.0D 3 1 1 1 3 6 7 3 113 25 65 - - 3.04

May. 15 BAL L 6-2 6.1W 7 5 4 2 1 4 11 5 100 27 44 L(1-1) - 3.52

Jun. 1 LAA L 10-7 6.0W 5 4 2 1 3 4 12 6 103 27 51 - - 3.27

Jun. 7 @COL W 2-1 6.0D 5 1 1 0 2 6 6 9 104 25 62 W(3-2) - 3.13

Jun. 13 ARI L 8-1 6.0P 9 8 8 4 3 4 5 11 118 30 23 L(3-3) - 3.81

Jun. 19 LAD W 4-3 6.2Q 6 3 3 0 4 5 8 6 102 29 51 - - 3.83

Jun. 25 CHC L 6-2 6.1P 8 6 6 1 2 3 8 9 105 30 34 L(3-4) - 4.15

Jul. 6 TB W 7-2 6.0D 6 2 2 2 3 1 6 10 85 26 50 W(4-5) - 4.26

Jul. 30 @BAL W 9-6 6.0P 6 6 6 1 3 3 12 6 104 26 36 - - 4.58

Aug. 15 MIN L 4-2 6.2Q 8 4 4 0 2 5 12 4 105 30 45 L(7-7) - 4.24

May. 10 @TB L 7-6 5.0W 5 4 4 1 5 3 6 8 90 27 39 - - 3.18

Jul. 19 DET L 7-1 5.2P 8 7 7 1 0 4 10 5 94 25 29 L(5-6) - 4.34

Jul. 24 BOS W 6-4 5.2Q 8 3 3 2 2 6 3 10 116 26 45 W(6-6) - 4.36

Aug. 4 TOR W 5-4 5.0W 5 3 0 0 4 4 9 6 102 25 51 - - 4.41

Sep. 13 @KC W 6-4 5.2W 5 4 3 0 3 6 6 6 90 24 48 W(12-7) - 3.91

Apr. 18 MIN W 5-4 4.2W 6 3 2 0 4 2 8 6 104 24 40 - - 3.64

Jul. 1 @OAK L 6-2 4.1P 4 4 4 0 7 2 6 6 97 24 34 L(3-5) - 4.34

Apr. 23 @KC W 3-2 3.1W 1 1 1 1 1 6 1 3 61 13 59 - - 3.48

 

Dominant:17, Just Quality:7, Just Winnable:7, Poor:5

 

Jose Contreras 2004 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Jul. 15 @DET W 5-1 8.0D 4 1 1 0 1 7 9 9 111 29 76 W(7-3) - 5.17

Aug. 8 CLE W 3-2 8.0D 5 1 1 0 1 9 8 8 108 29 76 - - 5.17

Oct. 3 @KC W 5-0 8.0D 2 0 0 0 2 4 11 8 101 27 80 W(13-9) - 5.50

Jun. 10 COL W 10-4 7.0Q 5 4 4 3 2 6 11 8 114 29 55 W(3-2) - 6.75

Jul. 8 TB W 7-1 7.2D 3 1 1 0 3 3 7 12 100 27 64 W(6-3) - 5.64

Jul. 20 @TB W 4-2 7.0D 4 2 1 0 2 3 10 7 92 26 64 W(8-3) - 4.84

Jul. 29 BAL L 9-1 7.2W 8 7 7 1 2 7 7 8 104 29 35 L(8-5) - 5.65

Aug. 18 DET W 9-2 7.2D 6 2 2 0 4 6 12 2 112 29 56 W(11-5) - 5.08

Aug. 28 @CLE W 5-3 7.2D 6 1 1 0 1 6 11 5 101 27 63 W(12-6) - 5.04

Sep. 18 DET W 9-8 7.0Q 6 4 4 2 5 6 10 7 119 30 50 - - 5.84

 

Apr. 28 OAK W 5-1 6.0D 4 1 1 1 1 4 4 12 105 23 63 W(1-2) - 7.41

May. 22 @TEX L 4-3 6.0D 3 1 1 1 2 7 5 7 100 25 67 - - 7.56

May. 27 @BAL W 18-5 6.0Q 8 3 3 2 4 4 10 9 112 31 44 W(2-2) - 6.97

Jun. 15 @ARI W 4-2 6.1D 5 2 2 1 2 6 8 8 121 26 59 W(4-2) - 6.20

Jun. 20 @LAD L 5-4 6.0Q 7 4 4 1 0 5 8 7 96 25 47 L(4-3) - 6.18

Jun. 27 NYM W 8-1 6.0D 2 0 0 0 4 10 1 7 100 23 74 W(5-3) - 5.53

Aug. 3 @KC W 12-4 6.0W 5 4 2 1 1 3 8 9 93 24 52 W(9-5) - 5.49

Aug. 13 @BOS W 8-7 6.0Q 4 4 4 1 5 8 9 3 111 27 51 W(10-5) - 5.21

Sep. 23 KC W 7-6 6.2W 7 5 4 0 2 7 11 2 110 27 42 - - 5.86

Sep. 28 @DET L 6-4 6.2Q 7 3 2 2 4 7 5 8 97 28 48 - - 5.77

Apr. 9 CWS L 9-3 5.1P 6 5 5 2 3 5 4 9 105 25 38 L(0-1) - 8.44

Jul. 3 @NYM L 10-9 5.0P 8 7 7 3 1 4 8 7 76 23 26 - - 6.10

Jul. 25 @BOS L 9-6 5.1P 9 8 8 3 2 3 9 9 103 29 19 L(8-4) - 5.36

Aug. 23 @DET L 7-0 5.0P 6 5 5 1 7 4 6 4 110 26 32 L(11-6) - 5.23

Sep. 2 OAK L 4-2 5.1P 4 4 4 1 4 4 5 5 105 24 44 L(12-7) - 5.10

Apr. 23 BOS L 11-2 3.1P 5 5 5 2 4 3 4 6 93 19 29 L(0-2) - 10.64

Sep. 12 @LAA L 11-0 3.0P 10 7 7 0 1 2 6 4 60 19 12 L(12-9) - 5.88

May. 4 @OAK W 10-8 2.0P 4 7 6 2 4 2 3 3 61 13 20 - - 9.47

Apr. 18 @BOS W 7-3 2.1P 6 3 3 0 2 3 2 4 63 14 34 - - 9.39

Sep. 7 @TEX L 10-3 2.2P 5 8 8 1 5 2 2 4 68 16 10 L(12-8) - 5.55

Jun. 2 BAL W 6-5 1.2P 2 5 1 0 3 0 4 2 44 9 33 - - 7.11

 

Dominant:11, Just Quality:6, Just Winnable:3, Poor:11

 

Jose Contreras 2003 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Sep. 23 @CWS W 7-0 8.0D 4 0 0 0 1 9 5 9 105 30 82 W(7-2) - 3.39

May. 30 @DET W 6-0 7.0D 2 0 0 0 1 6 8 6 81 24 78 W(2-1) - 5.40

Jun. 5 @CIN W 10-2 7.0D 5 2 2 1 3 6 10 2 108 29 62 W(3-1) - 4.62

Aug. 24 BAL W 7-0 7.0D 3 0 0 0 1 5 8 6 94 25 75 W(4-1) - 3.62

Sep. 4 @TOR W 3-2 7.0D 4 2 1 1 3 7 9 6 116 27 67 W(5-2) - 4.47

Sep. 14 TB L 5-2 7.0D 5 2 2 1 2 8 11 4 110 29 65 - - 4.17

Sep. 19 @TB W 2-1 7.0D 4 1 1 0 1 4 10 7 102 27 68 W(6-2) - 3.84

 

Sep. 9 DET W 4-2 5.2Q 5 2 2 0 4 6 7 2 94 22 48 - - 4.40

May. 24 TOR L 5-2 4.0Q 1 0 0 0 1 4 7 1 52 13 - - - 8.74

Aug. 29 @BOS L 10-5 3.0P 6 7 7 1 3 6 5 2 77 18 22 L(4-2) - 5.09

Sep. 27 BAL W 6-2 2.0W 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 29 7 - - H(1) 3.30

 

Dominant:7, Just Quality:2, Just Winnable:1, Poor:1

[JUGGERNAUT]

Jon Garland 2005 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Apr. 25 @OAK W 6-0 9.0D 4 0 0 0 1 3 13 10 116 31 81 W(4-0) - 1.80

May. 1 DET W 8-0 9.0D 4 0 0 0 1 6 11 7 107 31 84 W(5-0) - 1.39

Sep. 4 DET W 2-0 9.0D 4 0 0 0 1 7 8 11 121 33 85 W(17-8) - 3.28

Oct. 14 @LAA W 5-2 9.0D 4 2 2 1 1 7 10 8 118 30 77 W(1-0) - 2.00

Apr. 20 @DET W 9-1 8.0D 5 1 1 0 2 4 15 6 96 30 70 W(3-0) - 2.57

May. 12 BAL W 3-2 8.0D 8 2 2 1 1 4 12 4 103 31 61 W(7-0) - 2.39

Jun. 21 KC W 5-1 8.1D 4 1 1 1 1 2 10 13 102 31 72 W(12-2) - 3.40

Sep. 16 @MIN W 2-1 8.0D 6 1 1 1 1 6 10 5 123 29 71 - - 3.41

Apr. 15 SEA W 6-4 7.0D 2 2 2 0 2 3 11 6 87 24 66 W(2-0) - 3.46

May. 17 TEX W 5-2 7.0D 5 2 2 0 2 4 10 8 102 27 61 W(8-0) - 2.41

May. 23 @LAA L 4-0 7.0Q 11 3 3 0 1 4 7 11 104 31 46 L(8-1) - 2.57

Jun. 10 @SD W 4-2 7.0D 6 1 1 1 1 4 7 7 108 26 64 W(10-2) - 3.23

Jun. 26 CHC L 2-0 7.1D 4 2 1 1 1 5 9 6 97 27 68 L(12-3) - 3.25

Jul. 2 @OAK W 5-3 7.0Q 5 3 3 0 1 1 13 7 110 27 55 W(13-3) - 3.29

Jul. 27 @KC L 6-5 7.0D 5 3 1 1 0 2 9 12 88 28 61 - - 3.09

Aug. 7 SEA W 3-1 7.1D 5 1 1 0 2 3 13 6 89 29 65 W(16-5) - 3.29

Aug. 19 NYY L 3-1 7.0Q 7 3 2 0 2 3 12 7 120 28 54 L(16-7) - 3.43

Aug. 25 @MIN W 2-1 7.2D 6 0 0 0 1 5 15 5 115 28 71 - - 3.28

Sep. 21 CLE L 8-0 7.1W 7 5 5 2 4 3 12 6 113 31 43 L(17-10) - 3.51

Oct. 25 @HOU W 7-5 7.0D 7 4 2 1 2 4 10 8 93 28 53 - - 2.25

 

Apr. 9 @MIN W 8-5 6.0Q 10 3 3 1 0 1 13 7 84 26 41 W(1-0) - 4.50

May. 29 @TEX L 12-4 6.0P 9 7 7 1 1 3 10 9 104 28 28 L(8-2) - 3.22

Jun. 4 CLE W 6-5 6.2Q 9 4 4 1 1 4 10 9 106 29 43 W(9-2) - 3.40

Jun. 15 ARI W 12-6 6.0P 6 6 6 3 3 4 11 7 94 27 37 W(11-2) - 3.61

Jul. 17 @CLE W 4-0 6.0D 7 0 0 0 2 2 10 6 106 25 58 W(14-4) - 3.21

Jul. 22 BOS W 8-4 6.2D 7 2 2 1 3 5 3 9 117 29 54 W(15-4) - 3.19

Aug. 2 TOR L 7-3 6.0P 13 7 7 3 0 4 10 7 101 28 22 L(15-5) - 3.40

Sep. 10 LAA L 10-5 6.0P 8 7 7 2 1 1 10 8 88 27 28 L(17-9) - 3.51

Sep. 26 @DET L 4-3 6.2Q 8 3 3 2 3 7 8 6 98 31 50 - - 3.53

Oct. 1 @CLE W 4-3 6.2D 4 2 2 0 1 5 11 6 96 25 62 W(18-10) - 3.50

May. 7 @TOR W 10-7 5.2P 9 6 6 1 1 2 11 7 107 27 28 W(6-0) - 2.42

Jul. 8 OAK L 4-2 5.0W 8 3 3 0 1 2 10 4 111 23 40 L(13-4) - 3.38

Aug. 13 @BOS L 7-4 5.1P 9 5 5 1 2 4 8 4 108 29 32 L(16-6) - 3.47

Aug. 30 @TEX L 8-6 4.1P 7 8 5 2 3 2 10 4 93 25 22 L(16-8) - 3.45

 

Dominant:19, Just Quality:6, Just Winnable:2, Poor:7

 

Jon Garland 2004 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Apr. 9 @NYY W 9-3 8.0D 4 1 1 0 7 2 12 7 119 32 65 W(1-0) - 1.13

Jun. 20 @WAS L 4-2 8.1Q 3 4 4 1 3 7 11 8 110 31 65 L(5-4) - 4.64

Sep. 26 KC W 5-1 8.1D 5 1 1 1 2 5 11 7 102 29 72 W(11-11) - 4.95

Apr. 14 KC W 10-9 7.2W 7 5 5 2 2 3 10 10 115 29 41 - - 3.68

Apr. 21 NYY L 3-1 7.0Q 5 3 3 2 2 6 7 9 104 27 59 L(1-1) - 3.74

May. 2 TOR W 3-2 7.0D 10 2 2 0 1 5 9 6 96 30 53 W(2-1) - 4.15

May. 13 BAL L 1-0 7.0D 6 1 1 0 3 1 9 7 123 27 59 L(2-2) - 3.97

May. 18 @CLE W 4-2 7.0D 5 1 1 0 1 6 14 5 90 27 68 W(3-2) - 3.62

May. 23 @MIN W 17-7 7.0P 10 6 6 0 2 3 13 5 111 33 34 W(4-2) - 4.09

May. 28 LAA W 4-3 7.0D 8 2 2 0 1 3 11 9 107 29 55 - - 3.93

Jun. 4 @SEA W 4-2 7.1D 4 2 2 0 1 3 10 7 114 27 64 W(5-2) - 3.79

Jun. 15 @FLA W 7-5 7.2Q 6 4 3 2 2 1 10 9 100 28 47 - - 4.67

Jul. 1 @MIN W 2-1 7.0D 7 1 1 0 3 2 7 9 83 28 58 W(6-5) - 4.61

Jul. 9 SEA W 6-2 7.0D 4 1 1 1 2 3 11 8 100 27 66 W(7-5) - 4.41

Jul. 15 @OAK L 4-2 7.0Q 6 4 3 1 5 2 15 7 113 31 48 L(7-6) - 4.38

Aug. 5 @KC L 6-4 7.0W 7 6 6 2 2 3 14 8 113 30 40 L(7-8) - 4.74

Aug. 10 KC W 9-3 7.0Q 7 3 3 0 1 4 13 5 107 29 54 W(8-8) - 4.70

Aug. 24 @DET W 9-5 7.0Q 8 4 4 1 2 3 13 8 112 31 46 W(9-9) - 4.79

Aug. 29 @CLE L 9-0 7.0P 9 6 6 4 1 3 13 9 99 29 37 L(9-10) - 4.91

Sep. 3 SEA W 7-5 7.0Q 8 4 4 1 2 4 13 7 105 30 47 W(10-10) - 4.92

Sep. 16 @MIN L 10-1 7.0W 9 5 5 1 3 4 10 9 115 32 40 L(10-11) - 4.99

 

Apr. 27 CLE L 11-7 6.0W 10 5 5 0 2 4 5 12 94 29 34 - - 4.55

May. 7 @TOR L 5-4 6.0Q 7 4 4 2 2 3 11 8 100 27 43 - - 4.43

Jul. 20 @TEX L 6-4 6.0Q 8 4 4 1 1 7 5 6 111 27 46 - - 4.45

Jul. 25 DET L 9-2 6.0W 6 4 4 0 3 3 2 11 113 26 44 L(7-7) - 4.52

Jul. 30 @DET L 5-4 6.0W 5 4 4 1 1 4 6 3 70 24 49 - - 4.59

Aug. 14 @BOS L 4-3 6.0Q 7 3 3 2 3 4 8 7 108 25 47 - - 4.69

Sep. 10 @LAA L 7-5 6.1Q 5 2 2 0 4 3 8 6 103 27 54 - - 4.94

Sep. 21 MIN W 8-6 6.0P 9 6 6 2 1 3 7 12 114 27 32 - - 5.11

Oct. 1 @KC W 4-2 6.0Q 5 2 2 0 3 3 8 5 108 27 54 W(12-11) - 4.89

Jun. 9 PHI L 13-10 4.0P 8 10 10 3 4 1 9 5 76 22 3 L(5-3) - 4.73

Jun. 25 CHC L 7-4 5.1P 6 6 5 1 1 3 6 11 90 25 36 L(5-5) - 4.84

Aug. 19 DET L 8-4 3.2P 6 7 3 3 2 1 6 5 69 16 25 L(8-9) - 4.78

Sep. 7 @TEX L 10-3 0.1P 3 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 18 5 - - - 5.01

 

Dominant:9, Just Quality:12, Just Winnable:6, Poor:7

 

Jon Garland 2003 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

May. 28 @TOR W 8-0 8.0D 5 0 0 0 0 6 10 9 98 28 78 W(3-4) - 4.88

Jun. 15 SD L 1-0 8.0D 3 1 1 0 4 4 13 6 116 29 72 L(4-6) - 4.84

Aug. 19 LAA W 5-2 8.0D 5 2 2 2 3 1 6 13 102 30 62 W(9-9) - 4.47

Sep. 26 @KC W 11-2 8.0D 3 1 1 1 3 1 14 8 110 27 70 W(12-13) - 4.51

Apr. 16 KC W 4-3 7.0D 3 1 1 0 2 6 11 5 94 25 71 - - 5.82

Jun. 10 SF W 5-3 7.0D 5 2 2 1 1 7 12 6 102 27 65 W(4-5) - 5.29

Jun. 30 MIN W 10-3 7.0D 5 2 2 2 2 7 9 7 105 28 64 W(6-6) - 4.65

Jul. 8 @DET L 2-1 7.0D 6 2 2 1 2 3 9 6 91 28 58 L(6-7) - 4.50

Jul. 19 DET W 6-2 7.0D 6 2 2 1 3 5 5 9 107 28 59 W(7-7) - 4.51

Jul. 24 @TOR W 4-3 7.0D 4 2 2 1 3 2 11 7 99 27 60 - - 4.40

Aug. 24 TEX L 5-0 7.0D 5 3 3 1 2 10 8 6 106 28 63 L(9-10) - 4.44

Sep. 5 CLE W 5-3 7.1D 5 2 2 1 3 3 8 8 104 27 60 W(11-10) - 4.31

Sep. 10 MIN L 4-1 7.0Q 7 3 3 0 2 5 13 5 105 29 54 L(11-11) - 4.29

 

Apr. 9 @CLE L 5-2 6.0P 6 5 5 1 4 2 8 11 92 27 38 L(0-1) - 9.00

Apr. 26 MIN W 7-4 6.2D 4 2 2 2 2 5 7 7 89 24 56 W(1-2) - 6.40

May. 17 @MIN L 3-1 6.0D 6 2 1 0 1 2 11 5 94 24 55 L(2-4) - 6.10

May. 23 DET L 3-2 6.0Q 4 2 2 0 3 2 10 6 89 24 55 - - 5.70

Jun. 20 @CHC W 12-3 6.0Q 8 2 2 1 3 4 8 6 104 29 49 W(5-6) - 4.71

Jun. 25 @MIN L 6-5 6.2Q 9 5 4 0 2 2 11 5 93 27 33 - - 4.81

Jul. 30 @KC W 15-4 6.0W 8 4 4 0 1 2 16 3 98 27 41 W(8-7) - 4.48

Aug. 14 @LAA L 5-1 6.1Q 7 4 3 1 3 2 8 8 106 28 44 L(8-9) - 4.60

Aug. 30 @DET W 5-2 6.0D 5 2 2 0 4 8 7 1 103 26 58 W(10-10) - 4.39

May. 1 OAK W 7-5 5.0P 4 5 4 2 4 1 7 8 102 23 38 W(2-2) - 6.53

May. 8 @OAK L 8-5 5.0P 8 5 5 1 1 2 9 8 89 23 32 L(2-3) - 6.88

Jul. 13 @CLE W 7-4 5.2W 6 4 4 1 2 5 6 7 93 22 39 - - 4.64

Aug. 4 KC L 13-9 5.0P 6 4 4 0 2 1 9 5 79 24 38 - - 4.58

Aug. 9 OAK L 7-2 5.0W 9 6 3 1 1 3 9 6 95 26 33 L(8-8) - 4.61

Sep. 17 @MIN L 4-2 5.2W 6 4 4 1 5 2 9 2 79 22 33 L(11-12) - 4.38

Apr. 3 @KC L 12-6 4.0P 9 5 5 1 1 1 7 7 83 22 24 - - 11.25

Jun. 4 @ARI L 8-6 4.0P 10 7 7 2 1 2 5 8 86 23 15 L(3-5) - 5.61

Apr. 21 CLE L 9-2 3.2P 5 5 5 2 2 1 2 8 65 15 27 L(0-2) - 7.32

Sep. 21 KC L 10-4 3.2P 6 7 7 1 2 1 7 1 61 16 17 L(11-13) - 4.66

 

Dominant:15, Just Quality:5, Just Winnable:4, Poor:9

 

Jon Garland 2002 (ordered by IP)

DATE OPP RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB PIT BF GSc DEC REL ERA*

Aug. 28 TOR W 8-0 9.0D 6 0 0 0 1 9 12 6 112 32 83 W(9-10) - 4.87

May. 22 @BOS W 2-0 8.0D 3 0 0 0 0 4 10 8 83 27 80 W(5-3) - 5.10

Apr. 15 BAL W 13-4 7.0D 5 3 2 0 0 5 11 8 85 26 62 W(1-1) - 6.06

May. 28 NYY L 4-2 7.0D 6 3 3 0 3 5 11 4 104 29 55 L(5-4) - 4.96

Jun. 3 KC W 4-0 7.2D 4 0 0 0 4 5 6 8 100 27 67 W(6-4) - 4.48

Jun. 8 WAS L 2-1 7.2D 3 1 1 0 2 3 8 8 103 25 65 - - 4.20

Jun. 24 @MIN L 5-4 7.2Q 11 4 4 1 2 4 11 10 97 32 38 - - 4.42

Jul. 5 CLE L 4-2 7.2Q 5 4 4 1 3 3 7 11 103 27 48 L(7-6) - 4.57

Jul. 14 @DET W 6-4 7.0Q 8 4 4 0 2 4 8 7 92 29 47 W(8-6) - 4.61

Aug. 5 @TB W 4-3 7.0D 3 3 3 1 2 8 7 6 104 25 65 - - 5.20

Aug. 10 SEA L 7-3 7.2D 4 3 0 0 4 5 12 4 109 29 61 - - 4.95

Sep. 12 @KC W 5-1 7.0D 2 1 1 1 2 3 7 10 106 25 70 W(11-11) - 4.74

Sep. 29 @MIN L 3-1 7.0D 7 1 1 0 1 3 7 12 89 28 61 - - 4.58

 

Apr. 25 @CLE W 6-3 6.2Q 4 3 3 0 4 0 10 3 85 23 45 W(3-1) - 6.33

Jun. 19 @PHI L 4-3 6.0D 3 1 1 1 3 3 9 6 95 22 62 - - 4.34

Jun. 29 CHC W 5-4 6.0W 6 4 4 2 2 2 12 10 105 27 44 W(7-5) - 4.52

Jul. 31 @MIN L 2-1 6.0D 3 1 1 0 4 5 3 10 103 25 63 - - 5.27

Sep. 2 @TOR W 5-3 6.1Q 8 3 3 0 1 7 12 3 102 28 51 W(10-10) - 4.84

Sep. 7 CLE L 4-2 6.0Q 7 4 4 2 3 5 7 8 105 26 44 L(10-11) - 4.89

Sep. 24 BOS L 4-2 6.2W 4 4 4 0 5 2 8 7 99 24 42 L(12-12) - 4.70

Apr. 5 @KC L 5-2 5.0P 6 5 4 1 4 0 9 9 93 28 33 L(0-1) - 7.20

Apr. 20 DET W 12-5 5.0P 6 5 5 0 5 2 8 7 105 24 32 W(2-1) - 6.75

May. 1 SEA W 9-2 5.0D 3 0 0 0 1 3 7 3 76 17 63 W(4-1) - 5.34

May. 6 @TEX L 6-5 5.1W 6 4 4 1 3 2 6 6 105 26 39 - - 5.55

May. 11 @LAA L 6-3 5.0P 9 6 5 1 2 2 5 10 84 24 27 L(4-2) - 5.95

Aug. 23 TB L 8-2 5.1P 6 5 5 2 4 4 8 4 89 25 36 L(8-10) - 5.17

Sep. 18 KC W 3-1 5.1D 3 1 1 0 3 2 5 8 110 21 57 W(12-11) - 4.65

Apr. 10 @DET W 7-5 4.1P 10 5 5 3 2 1 8 9 91 25 22 - - 8.68

May. 17 LAA L 8-4 4.1P 7 5 3 0 4 3 6 5 84 24 32 L(4-3) - 5.98

Jun. 14 @CHC L 8-4 4.0P 7 5 5 2 0 4 7 3 67 19 32 L(6-5) - 4.56

Jul. 24 MIN L 8-1 4.1P 9 7 7 2 3 2 6 7 79 23 16 L(8-8) - 5.46

Jul. 19 @BAL L 10-4 3.0P 8 8 8 1 2 2 8 5 78 19 11 L(8-7) - 5.12

Aug. 17 @OAK L 9-2 3.2P 6 6 3 1 2 0 4 7 62 16 26 L(8-9) - 5.04

 

Dominant:14, Just Quality:7, Just Winnable:3, Poor:10

[bjm676]

Too many numbers. Eyes going batty.

[Rex Kickass]

Why are all these posts in binary?

[Balta1701]

Does starting BMac in AAA actually slow the arbitration clock on him?

[RME JICO]

Why are all these posts in binary?

There are only 10 types of people in the world: Those who understand binary, and those who don't.

 

Sorry, had to.

 

Jugger, great analysis, one of the deepest I've seen in awhile.

 

I scrubbed the schedule for next year and came up with 80 games vs winning teams, and 82 games vs losing teams. If the Sox win 50% of the games vs winning teams, and 75% of the games vs losing teams, they would win 101 games. I think that both of those percentages are fairly conservative too.

 

When I did a conservative prediction with Win Shares, I came up with 99.67 wins

 

So I figure their wins will be higher than both of those values, 102 or 103.

 

My schedule analysis:

 

http://www.soxtalk.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=45043

 

My Win Shares Prediction:

 

http://www.soxtalk.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=45008

Edited January 5, 2006 by RME JICO

[Milkman delivers]

Did anyone actually read the posts, or did they just vote like me?

[RME JICO]

Did anyone actually read the posts, or did they just vote like me?

I read them, great info.

[Milkman delivers]

I read them, great info.

 

Oh, I'm sure it is. It's just so long and all. Juggs puts together well thought-out posts, but they're just so complicated half the time.

[Balta1701]

I read them, great info.

I read everything except the game-by-game pitcher summaries, which would be useful if I needed to do the same analysis, but which I'm just going to trust were done correctly and pay attention to the conclusions...a useful technique when evaluating large datasets in a limited amount of time.

[RME JICO]

I read everything except the game-by-game pitcher summaries, which would be useful if I needed to do the same analysis, but which I'm just going to trust were done correctly and pay attention to the conclusions...a useful technique when evaluating large datasets in a limited amount of time.

I didn't read every game line, but browsed all the year by year summaries, and the initial post had tons of summarized info.

[nitetrain8601]

I'm going with 95 simply because I thought Boston improved themselves over the prior year and s*** just happens.

[Balta1701]

I'm going with 95 simply because I thought Boston improved themselves over the prior year and s*** just happens.

[nitetrain8601]

 

On paper, they addressed their needs and at the time like Edgar Renteria > Orlando Cabrera. They still got 95 wins, but injuries and a bunch of crap happened in that locker room. I think we win 95, make it to the ALCS and lose in 6. But that's why they play the games.

[Balta1701]

On paper, they addressed their needs and at the time like Edgar Renteria > Orlando Cabrera. They still got 95 wins, but injuries and a bunch of crap happened in that locker room. I think we win 95, make it to the ALCS and lose in 6. But that's why they play the games.

Oh, I get it now.

 

But at the same time, they still had only 3 reliable people in their bullpen coming into the season (Foulke, Timlin, and Embree), and their starting pitching was significantly down from the year before through the losses of Pedro and Lowe. They added Clement, who basically last year did exactly what he did every other year (with ERA adjustments for moving between leagues), and Wells, who is certainly getting up there in years, and they made no effort to plan for Schilling having any difficulty at all recovering from his injury.

[JoeBatterz]

They have the potentional to exceed 100, but I also think 95 will be enough to win the division and I see us having an unforseen injury and Ozzie being extra careful with the staff, even with that depth.

 

Yep, no analysis, just a gut feel after I threw a few chicken bones on the ground.

[RME JICO]

On paper, they addressed their needs and at the time like Edgar Renteria > Orlando Cabrera. They still got 95 wins, but injuries and a bunch of crap happened in that locker room. I think we win 95, make it to the ALCS and lose in 6. But that's why they play the games.

There is no way to compare the 2006 Sox with the 2005 Sawks. The Sox are not losing guys like Pedro and Lowe from their starting rotation. That would be like losing MB and JG. Schilling was also hurt, so put Garcia on the DL. That is what the Sawks had in 2005. There is no way that the Sox will be that bad. Also Renteria was worse than Cabrera, that is why he is now on the Braves:

 

Cabrera 228 AB, 6 HR, 31 RBI, .294 AVG, .320 OBP, .465 SLG

Renteria 623 AB, 8 HR, 70 RBI, .276 AVG, .335 OBP, .385 SLG

 

The Sox added Thome, Mackowiak, and Vazquez, while losing Rowand and some ass and trash. There is no way they are going to be worse in 2006. Also, they have a more favorable schedule than in 2005. So they may not get as many bounces next year, but they are going to win a lot more games convincingly.

[SoxFan1]

There are only 10 types of people in the world: Those who understand binary, and those who don't.

Sorry, had to.

 

Jugger, great analysis, one of the deepest I've seen in awhile. 

 

I scrubbed the schedule for next year and came up with 80 games vs winning teams, and 82 games vs losing teams.  If the Sox win 50% of the games vs winning teams, and 75% of the games vs losing teams, they would win 101 games.  I think that both of those percentages are fairly conservative too.

 

When I did a conservative prediction with Win Shares, I came up with 99.67 wins

 

So I figure their wins will be higher than both of those values, 102 or 103.

 

My schedule analysis:

 

http://www.soxtalk.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=45043

 

My Win Shares Prediction:

 

http://www.soxtalk.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=45008

I believe your binary is a bit off but wouldn't 2 be 01?

[Nokona]

Juggs, your a nerd