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fathom

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Everything posted by fathom

  1. Raise that trade stock Q!
  2. QUOTE (SouthSideSale @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 01:46 AM) All of our HR numbers suck to be honest. Strongest at catcher spot compared to average at position?
  3. QUOTE (kitekrazy @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 02:36 AM) Ventura brings out both mental midgets of the pen. I'd use Duke in March. Petricka should be turned into a long reliever. Gives up far too many hits to be a set-up man
  4. QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 01:20 AM) FWIW, I don have a problem with the view that Arrieta has been better this year. The ERA difference is pretty big, and I'm not necessarily in the camp of "pitcher's have 0% control on balls in play". The case for Arrieta is strong. I've always used ERA a lot, but this year has just made me sour on it a bit because of Sale. His advanced metrics are the best of his career by far, but his ERA is looking like it's going to be the worst of his career so far. With a difference that stark it just feels like ERA is missing a big part of the story. I mean it doesn't make sense that Sale is giving up the weakest contact of his career yet he's giving up more hits. There's something else there. And when the same pattern exists with the other pitchers on the same staff (like with Quintana), that just further increases that doubt in my mind. With regards to the weak contact stuff, how about the fact that the reason his ERA is so high is because the Twins have destroyed him this year? In those games, it definitely wasn't weak contact. There's no doubt that a majority of his games, Sale just dominates.
  5. QUOTE (fathom @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 02:17 AM) 11 HR vs RHP, 0 vs LHP. overall, 832 OPS vs RHP and .600 vs LHP Also, with Melky having a .591 OPS vs LHP coming into the game, it's a recipe for a bad top of the lineup vs LHP (even Abreu has been awful vs LHP this year compared to RHP) Good news is Sox have all the lefty pitchers in the AL anyways
  6. QUOTE (JUSTgottaBELIEVE @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 01:13 AM) ZERO chance he garners more votes than Harper. "he" = anyone in the NL I'd love to see the Nats finish off on a 25-5 or so run here
  7. QUOTE (pettie4sox @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 02:15 AM) How bad is Eaton against LHP? 11 HR vs RHP, 0 vs LHP. overall, 832 OPS vs RHP and .600 vs LHP
  8. QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 01:14 AM) Starting with your jealous, petty bullshut already? Try being an adult for once. Oh come on, that was a bad call right off the bat. With that said, ND is completely outclassing Texas it appears. I'm watching FSU/Texas St. now...what can you tell me about this new FSU QB?
  9. QUOTE (Jordan4life @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 01:09 AM) Yes, their rotation is garbage 3-5. Bullpen is ok. Bunch of kids (though very talented) on offense. Arrieta has put the team on his back and should be the favorite in the play-in game. Hard to give a pitcher MVP votes on a team that should have two offensive players in the top 10 for MVP as well
  10. QUOTE (harkness @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 02:06 AM) eaton not so great against Left handers... Yep, huge splits
  11. QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 02:04 AM) Sequencing is the order you give up hits. Let's say two pitchers give up a walk, a single, and a homer in an inning. If Pitcher A gives up the homer first, then the other two, he ends up giving up only one run. If Pitcher B gives up the walk and single first and then the home run, he gives up three runs. ERA says Pitcher B was three times worse than Pitcher A. FIP says they were the same, because in a way they essentially did the same thing. Thanks for clarifying
  12. QUOTE (zenryan @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 01:58 AM) hopefully he's fired after this season and Miami can make a run at him Nice to see Corn Elder erupt. Saw him in an AAU hoops tourney a few years ago and loved his attitude.
  13. Saw the video of Alexei's homer. Really nice swing by him.
  14. QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 12:04 AM) Agree to disagree then. There's way too much noise in the ERA metric for me to trust it too much (BABIP luck, defense, sequencing), this year has convinced me of that. Sale has been far more dominant this year than last year IMO. What's sequencing in regards to? FWIW, I'm a much bigger believer in WAR, etc for hitters than I am FIP for pitchers.
  15. QUOTE (fathom @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 12:20 AM) BYU! And Taysom Hill out for the year now. Guy has had a crazy up-and-down career
  16. QUOTE (Big Hurtin @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 12:25 AM) Oh please, your act is so tired. So it wasn't a delay of game that led directly to a TD? And no, I have no interest in this game after seeing Texas look as bad this year as they did last year. Better games on TV to watch now.
  17. QUOTE (Big Hurtin @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 12:20 AM) Nothing about the no-call on the facemask? shocking Missed drive to watch Alabama, sorry!!
  18. QUOTE (Buehrle>Wood @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 01:03 AM) What happened now Blatant delay of game not called on their TD play. They'll still beat Texas easily, but funny to see twitter erupt because of the crazy Longhorns fan base.
  19. Ah, forgot how great the refs in South Bend are
  20. QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 6, 2015 -> 12:54 AM) Sale has given up weaker contact than Arrieta if you look at their batted ball profiles. He has him beat pretty handily by every advanced metric. Was Sale better last year compared to this year? I don't think so. Sale absolutely was better last year, IMO. Significantly fewer hits allowed. He also was way, way better with RISP last year.
  21. QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 5, 2015 -> 11:36 PM) On the things we know pitchers can control, Sale has been better this year. Do you think Greinke has been better than Kershaw this year? Difference in ERA between Greinke and Kershaw is half the difference between Arrieta and Sale. A 2.03 vs a 3.29 ERA is a pretty obvious choice for me as to the better pitcher for that season.
  22. QUOTE (Brian @ Sep 5, 2015 -> 10:24 PM) Hackenberg!!!!! Oh... Who's lost more money the last year, him or Samardzija? Penn St looks just awful on offense
  23. QUOTE (BaseballNick @ Sep 5, 2015 -> 09:55 PM) What?! Conor Gillaspie's OPS was .627 this year. That's absolutely terrible no matter which way you slice it. Alexei is very likely out of the picture next year, so Saladino may shift over to SS, or if Sanchez plays SS, then Saladino can play 2B. Olt, assuming he's healthy, gives them a more powerful option at 3B. If Olt isn't cutting it at the major league level, then Matt Davidson can take a break from whiffing in Charlotte for a bit, or you just DFA Olt. The White Sox have nothing to lose. Nice post!
  24. Arrieta on his way to not giving up a run in his start. Would be 6 of his last 7 starts. Can't believe some think Sale has been better this year.

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