Everything posted by Jake
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Balls hit like that one was by Colson are usually homers when hit towards the corners, but you will be at the mercy of the wind which was not our friend there.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
How in the world did that stay in the park
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Yeah I am honestly not too well-read on the latest thinking on what in the hitter's mechanics is now believed to produce bat speed. And IDK about you, but in my long-ago playing days people tended to talk about "bat speed" in a way that was more about "how long does it take for the swing to go from start to finish" which maps more closely to swing length in the parlance of the Statcast jockeys. Usually short swing = slow bat speed even though the swing itself is kind of "fast". Wouldn't surprise me if flying open could lengthen the swing and therefore produce higher peak bat velocity even if it has some other downsides. Wouldn't surprise me if it also just costs you everything. I think Miguel might be wearing down a bit which could affect everything all at once.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
I'm not eager to overinterpret but Miguel's bat speed is down a tick from the early part of the season. Still well above his past seasons. But a few of those nice looking cuts that went for flyouts might have gotten a better outcome with another mph of bat speed. His xstats are hanging around league average for the past few weeks so I look at it as not exactly an emergency but definitely not at the peak of his powers.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
High curveballs are surprisingly effective in MLB, partly because they are a literal surprise to the batter (and usually the pitcher)
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
I think best you can you do is a bad contract swap kind of thing
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
So when is the soonest spot that we could see Mune PH? Will depend somewhat on game situation obviously, but there are some guys you're going to let bat almost no matter what.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Well...it ain't over.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Wasn't wrong, just early in my expectation that Tristan and Luisangel would ultimately be not much different offensively. I think what triggered this slump was that I allowed myself to believe in Tristan a little bit
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
I'm not super down on the group in AAA but I don't see much below that level. I'm sure a few people will emerge as some kind of option but will need some development before that group gives you anything to be excited about. And I certainly won't just assume that the development will occur.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Really nice series for White Sox catchers.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
BTW, did Ky Bush die? I would have expected to have heard something about his return by now. He's not really part of the plan at all but every now and then a guy like that will get something going.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Usually there's something discernibly wrong or different about a guy slumping as bad as Peters but really when I look at the numbers, nothing jumps out at all. Strikeouts aren't up too much. Chase rate not much different, depending on the time window you use he might even be chasing less. Walks are slightly up. Rate of hard contact similar. Closest thing I have to some insight is he's taking more strikes as of late, although that's probably more of a symptom than a cause. He just doesn't know what he's looking at up there. To some extent, it's hard to pick up patterns in Tristan's underlying data because 1. He's been somewhat erratic in most of these metrics all year and 2. A lot of the metrics didn't look very good before the slump
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Hope Sal is okay with Richards throwing strike 2 up and in
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Antone used to give me hell in MLB the Show
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Tanner was a 5th rounder taken out of high school who had TJS right after being drafted, so I won't list him anywhere near the top of pitching dev failures. Being a guy who looks like he may be MLB-quality is a dev success even if it's not crazy to wish he didn't have similar issues to some other higher-stakes draftees.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Yeah I'm not like against him or anything but I've always felt he was one of those guys who too-online Sox fans are too optimistic about based on too little track record. And so I still need to see him prove it. This wasn't an ideal first outing for him given the rain, but it wouldn't have shocked me if he had similar issues in dry weather/low pressure/etc.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Wonder whether Tanner is bothered by the rain and thinks he can't grip his offspeed.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Tanner is another one of those guys, which pro baseball is full of, who has huge fastball velo but the pitch doesn't seem to both hitters as much as you'd think. On the other hand, his hook was dominant against minor league hitters (and surely the fastball velo helped keep hitters off balance)
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Let's see McDougal pitch a scoreless inning before we get too deep into the alternate histories of how great it would have been if he came in sooner.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Wish we had a PH for that spot but I guess you can't always have platoon advantage
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
pitch chart of a guy who has absolute control of his fastball and would never miss way away from the zone unless he was sending a message
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
I don't see Davis as eager to hit anyone, he was missing almost every pitch to high to the arm side, and Sal Stewart as far as I know didn't do anything to merit being hit besides going deep.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Fedde almost threw out of the windup with a runner on first if you want to know his state of mind right now.
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8/13 Reds at Sox 12:10 PM
Have to also mention that a lot of those relief appearances are "bulk" outings where he's getting starterish innings but coming in for a carefully selected part of the order. I'm not super mad at Fedde in general, he's more or less done what has been asked this year but he's a marginal major leaguer. It's been marginal production. It's better than sub-marginal production. Not as good as good production.