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Jake

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Everything posted by Jake

  1. Well what I'm saying is everything goes according to plan. The ump was trying to tell the boys to swing at that s%*#
  2. The only other plausibly available relievers I think are Hicks and Fedde. And I think Hicks may not really be available.
  3. So when MLB grades umpires, they basically forgive any miss that is with .75" of being correct. By that standard, home plate ump is at about 94% correct today. Average full-time ump is 96.8%, so certainly a below average game. If you give no margin for error, he's at 90.1% relative to 93.5% average. Bad game although it looks like he's been somewhat victimized by having to make a lot of relatively close calls. And it looks a little worse because his misses aren't that predictable.
  4. I think he's one of those guys who turned his career around by just aiming middle and seeing what happens (as opposed to walking everybody)
  5. Entering today, had allowed 3 runs in 6.1 IP, allowing 6 hits and 1 BB. 1 of those runs was on a cheapie over the monster. The previous outing in Detroit they were squaring him up but I thought Will should have pulled him after his first inning.
  6. This is pretty much what I'd expect a tough outing for Brazoban to look like. He's gonna fill up the zone and sometimes they'll hit it
  7. uh oh Sean, if your next pitch misses way in then you'll be charged with murder
  8. I'm not bringing any data here so I might be completely wrong, but I feel like when Colson is going good he pretty regularly would have those head-scratching takes of strike three. I remember thinking it was a side effect of him trying not to cover every single pitch, which was the thing that always got him in trouble.
  9. Back in my day, every pitcher strived to hit the low outside corner to a righty with their fastball. That was the default spot, the one you felt like you should be able to hit with your eyes closed. That particular pitch is going extinct. I think the new generic spot is up and in to a righty (up and away to a lefty). Unfortunately for Colson that's the no-hit zone for him, although he's hardly alone and that's part of the reason every pitcher is trying to calibrate everything to hit the top of the zone reliably.
  10. One of the ironies with ABS is if the ump is having a bad game, you're more likely to run out of challenges and be victimized further.
  11. I wonder if the ump heard anyone shouting out to challenge, that would be grounds to not grant one if he feels the batter received an instruction regardless of timing
  12. Burke not losing velo as the game goes on. I think those two weirdly slow fastballs are probably not fastballs although I'm not sure what they were supposed to be from looking at their pitch shapes.
  13. Umps have been pretty tight with the challenge timing to the Tigers hitters in this series
  14. well, on replay that one might have gone out either way. Close.
  15. Yeah that one didn't mean a lot to me. Getting tips from the catcher is usually something you can tell as the defensive team anyway because somebody has to signal the batter.
  16. Exit velos that inning. Blank spaces were the walks. So the good news is they can't square him up. Bad news is he walked a couple guys and isn't making them miss.
  17. Getting close to the line where you throw so many pitches in an inning that you don't have much hope of continuing
  18. Steve is overstating the velo loss by an extra mph for whatever reason. I think 1.3mph down is enough to make the point

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