JUSTgottaBELIEVE
Members-
Posts
6,868 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
2
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Everything posted by JUSTgottaBELIEVE
-
Nick Madrigal promoted to Birmingham
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Sleepy Harold's topic in FutureSox Board
Now has a batting average and on base percentage comparable to last season but his slugging percentage is .399 this year compared to .348 last year. And that’s at higher levels. Seems he’s developing just fine over the past 12 months since he was drafted. -
He’s already surpassed his fWAR total from last season and this season isn’t even yet half way complete.
-
White Sox @ Royals 1:15pm CST. Giolito vs Keller
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Kyyle23's topic in 2019 Season in Review
https://mobile.twitter.com/DevanFink/status/1137470472516460544?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet -
The single most important stat for a closer is save %. And in that category Colome is a perfect 13/13 this season. I don’t give a shit if a guy strikes out 2 per inning on average and has great advanced stats if he’s blowing 2 out of every 10 save opportunities as the team’s closer. Nothing more demoralizing to a team than blowing 9th inning leads.
-
White Sox @ Royals 1:15pm CST. Giolito vs Keller
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Kyyle23's topic in 2019 Season in Review
This one is far more shocking though considering he was the worst qualified starter in baseball just last year. -
White Sox @ Royals 1:15pm CST. Giolito vs Keller
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Kyyle23's topic in 2019 Season in Review
Oh yea, Giolito doesn’t have the track record yet but this season he’s pitching at a higher level than Sale ever did in a single season for the White Sox. -
White Sox @ Royals 1:15pm CST. Giolito vs Keller
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Kyyle23's topic in 2019 Season in Review
Think about this. Sale’s highest single season fWAR with the White Sox was 5.6. Giolito is on pace for 7.2 this season ? -
White Sox @ Royals 1:15pm CST. Giolito vs Keller
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Kyyle23's topic in 2019 Season in Review
Actually, he’s already there this season. -
White Sox @ Royals 1:15pm CST. Giolito vs Keller
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Kyyle23's topic in 2019 Season in Review
Giolito now has the second highest fWAR of all pitchers in baseball ? -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
Yea the Alonso chapter is coming to close, won’t have to worry about that -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
Those 7 players have combined for 1.2 fWAR at a cost of ~$40M this season ($33M per fWAR if the season ended today). But the beautiful thing is that the only liability beyond this season is Herrera’s $8.5M. Machado has produced 1.0 fWAR at a cost of $30M this season ($30M per fWAR again if the season ended today). BUT Machado has $270M remaining beyond this season. Similar production per dollar comparing those two groups this season BUT a huge liability to the tune of $270M remaining on Machado’s contract after this season. Yea, if I’m picking between those two groups I’m definitely taking the first, which has produced similarly per dollar spent this season and comes with basically no future liabilities after this season concludes. -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
That’s my opinion as well. And this isn’t hindsight, I said this before the season even started. -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
If he was hitting .241 with a 96 wRC+ for the Sox 40% of the way into this season like he is now, this board would be having a complete meltdown. “We’re stuck with this albatross of a contract for another 9.5 years!” You don’t pay a guy $300M to play very good defense when his hitting and baserunning are both below average. He’s supposed to be in his “prime” years right now (after all, he turns just 27 next month). Why does he have career lows in most offensive categories and a career high in K%? He has time to turn it around this season still but I wouldn’t consider 63 games/265 plate appearances a very small sample size either. -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
Ya, I’m not sure about that. Just wait until his defense begins to deteriorate half way through his contract... -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
I can’t even imagine. Moan4Yoan would be having a field day with Hahn. “Just look at this idiot, he paid $300M for a below average regular!” -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
His rankings are equally bad if you consider him a shortstop. -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
He has a 99 wRC+ which accounts for Petco Park. That’s 19th out of 27 qualified 3b this year. His fWAR of 1.1 is 16th. -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
Actually he’s not. He has a long way to go still. -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
If it’s such a certainty that he will be an all star caliber player (many say HOF) over the next 6-7 years, why is he performing so poorly in his age 26/27 season almost half into the season? I mean based on the age argument he should be peaking as a hitter right now correct? He’s on pace for his worst offensive season of his career. -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
Lol. Now you’re just making stuff up. -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
Why is this such a certainty in everyone’s minds? Have you seen his performance so far this year? -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
But are the Sox a better team with Machado or Brantley + Cain? Money is about equal this year and next. My point is there is a path to success even with the second tier guys, which the Sox have almost NEVER signed over the past two decades so even doing that would be a big step up and provide them with much better odds of finding productive players. For reference, the two I mentioned above are making $16M AAV. The Sox have paid TWO players $16M or more in a season in the history of the franchise - Peavy (twice) and Abreu (once, this season). So the Sox have basically very rarely or almost never signed guys from the second tier of free agents. I’m looking to guys like JDM, Madbum, Gregorius, etc as that second tier in the upcoming FA class. -
Dallas Keuchel signs one year deal with Braves
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to SweatyFreddy's topic in The Diamond Club
He said they would actively pursue them but I don’t recall him saying they would for sure sign one (link a quote if he did, maybe I missed it). Even if he did, who cares? That’s not the only way to build a winner. Often times the premier FA signings have backfired more than they’ve helped (from a production to cost basis). Just need to start signing the second tier guys over the next several seasons. Like i said the Cain’s and Brantley’s of the world. And those guys aren’t cheap either by any means ($16M AAV) but they also likely won’t hamstring a mid market franchise like a $300M contract that goes south could.
