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Everything posted by pettie4sox
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QUOTE (Leonard Zelig @ Jan 19, 2018 -> 11:04 AM) I am unfamiliar with online betting, so I don't understand why the vig varies so much on bets where they have set the line. Caps vs Devils O 5.5 -105 K Kanepi vrs C Suarez Navarro O 21 -123 The book set the line on both of these, but on one you're paying 5% and the other its 23%. Yes but you only pay if you lose so the example here is the -105 for the over had reduced juice but the under was where the money was at, -115. The lines start at -110 so you can see how they were skewed. -123 started at -115, so the U 21 would be at -107 because the money was going for the O pretty heavily.
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QUOTE (KagakuOtoko @ Jan 18, 2018 -> 05:19 PM) Terrible misread. Zidane sat his starters and played scrubs. This is what I mean't by bad bets. =) 58-49-2 +$2043.48 Delware v Hofstra O 147 W Drexel v Townson O 144 W -110 for both Tennis to come in a bit. QUOTE (KagakuOtoko @ Jan 18, 2018 -> 05:42 PM) adding Caps vs Devils O 5.5 W -105 QUOTE (KagakuOtoko @ Jan 18, 2018 -> 08:33 PM) I am so late with tennis but I don't think anyone is actually tailing, but if you are, let me know and I'll post sooner. Busta/Muller O 39 W -121 QUOTE (KagakuOtoko @ Jan 18, 2018 -> 10:13 PM) Overnight bets Perth -10.5 L -115 D SCHWARTZMAN VRS A DOLGOPOLOV O 38 W -110 K Kanepi vrs C Suarez Navarro O 21 W -123 J Ostapenko vrs A Kontaveit O 22 W -108 Hot dog what a night! 7-1! YTD 65-50-2 +$2628.48
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QUOTE (Leonard Zelig @ Jan 19, 2018 -> 10:24 AM) When you have to risk more than you are going to win, that would be a favorite. Bookies always have juice on their bets. You can tell which of my bets have juice because they deviate from the normal lines. Most books have lines that start at -110 for both or -115. If you have a bookie that has reduced juice, you may get some lines that start at -105 or lower. Very rarely are you going to get even lines on a spread. The objective of the bookie is to make money. They will anticipate 50% of the bets for the favorite and 50% for the underdog. For example, say we both bet on some NFL Championship game action on Sunday. Jags are +7.5, and the Patriots are -7.5. Both lines will be at -110. You bet $110 to win $100 on the Jags at +7.5 and I bet -7.5 for the Pats $110 to win $100. One of us will win obviously so there is $220 in total bets. You win the bet and win you $100 for the bet and your $110 wager gets returned for a total of $210. I lose my $110 and that is used to pay you, but where does that extra $10 go? To the bookie of course. The bookie cannot make money on even lines that is $100 to win $100 because there is no juice. They are just praying you lose your bet so they can gobble up your cash.
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QUOTE (GoSox05 @ Jan 19, 2018 -> 08:58 AM) They need to go. ICE is trash under someone like Obama. Under someone like Trump they are a nightmare. Imagine them under someone like Tom Cotton. I am having nightmares. Thank you, jerk.
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How would you react if a 2019 Dem Congress cut taxes?
pettie4sox replied to caulfield12's topic in The Filibuster
Was Rabbit baiting caulfield tho? -
QUOTE (Leonard Zelig @ Jan 18, 2018 -> 10:26 PM) Do you only take favorites? I don't read every post, but every money line I've seen has been - . No? How is betting overs or spreads even remotely close to favorites?
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O3-108 (ALANYASPOR VRS KASIMPASA)
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Overnight bets Perth -10.5 -115 D SCHWARTZMAN VRS A DOLGOPOLOV O 38 -110 K Kanepi vrs C Suarez Navarro O 21 -123 J Ostapenko vrs A Kontaveit O 22 -108
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I am so late with tennis but I don't think anyone is actually tailing, but if you are, let me know and I'll post sooner. Busta/Muller O 39 -121
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adding Caps vs Devils O 5.5 -105
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QUOTE (KagakuOtoko @ Jan 18, 2018 -> 12:33 PM) Leganes v Real Madrid O 2.5 -124 Terrible misread. Zidane sat his starters and played scrubs. This is what I mean't by bad bets. =) 58-49-2 +$2043.48 Delware v Hofstra O 147 Drexel v Townson O 144 -110 for both Tennis to come in a bit.
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Leganes v Real Madrid O 2.5 -124
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QUOTE (Whitesoxin2019 @ Jan 18, 2018 -> 11:54 AM) Alt right is the lesser of 2 evils at this moment. True liberalism has lost its way. Thanks for the good laugh mate. I knew you couldn't keep your charade up for long bwhahahhahahahahhaha
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QUOTE (Whitesoxin2019 @ Jan 18, 2018 -> 11:36 AM) Nobody seems to get the point. As long as the media is s*** and people feel they are being lied to Trump will thrive. I mean come on folks. If Trump is as bad as we think he is why not play it straight above the fence? Why use photo shops, edit videos, peer pressure, shaming etc etc Nobody can answer this, specifically the tragedy that is CNN. I think they only help trumps popularity. “But FOX news” yeah they are s*** too. But I can tell you from an independent point of view CNN takes the cake. Stick with the issues guys. I was more inclined to vote liberal 20 years ago but all the white shaming, media deception, gang mentality, violence (yes I do think the violence from antifa is severaly underreported), I see them as communists. Say what you will about Trump, but until these things get fixed y’all don’t have much leg to stand on. Also a new trend I noticed with the left side is lack of compromise. You won’t admit being 1% wrong. It would be refreshing to hear if trump ever does something good because he has done good. I don’t agree with all the bullet points under the fake news awards but a more than a few items stick out in my mind as unquestionably true. The shame with networks like cnn though is even if he does lie, how can I believe it? You are not fooling a soul on here brah. Just saying, you can save your breath.
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Mugu lost to a tiny Taiwanese woman... I'm starting to think her Wimbledon win was a fluke. So overnight here's what happened. I doubled down on Kerber -5.5 games, Barty/Giorgi O 21.5, and Dongbu Promby -7 There were all singles and the lines were as followed... -125, -115, and -115 All were wins so it was a decent night. YTD 58-48-2 $2167.48
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Kerber -5.5 games + Mugu -1.5 sets parlay
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Dayton/ St Joseph's O 149 -105
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Is Serena making a comeback for the FO?
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CSKA Moscow -14 -115
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So I just surpassed 100 bets so far on the year and I'm at a 54% clip. Not the best, but I feel like a lot of my bad bets could have been avoided. The best sports bettors in the world win at a 55% clip so ideally I would like to be there with the next 100.
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QUOTE (KagakuOtoko @ Jan 16, 2018 -> 05:36 PM) Svitolina -5.5 -110 Two Unit Bet! $220 to win $200 W QUOTE (KagakuOtoko @ Jan 16, 2018 -> 05:44 PM) Celtics -5.5 -115 Akron/E.Mich O 142 -110 x2 L QUOTE (KagakuOtoko @ Jan 16, 2018 -> 05:51 PM) Rangers/Flyers O 5.5. -110 W 54-46-2 $1972.48
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Rangers/Flyers O 5.5. -110
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QUOTE (KagakuOtoko @ Jan 16, 2018 -> 11:58 AM) European Championship Handball Croatia -3 Belgium - CUP Charleroi VS Club Brugge KV O -2.75 52-44-2 $1897.48
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Celtics -5.5 -115 Akron/E.Mich O 142 -110
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Svitolina -5.5 -110 Two Unit Bet! $220 to win $200
