February 7, 200521 yr 04: HOU 14, CUB 9, PIT 7, STL 6, ARI 6, CIN 5 = 47 SB 03: HOU 04, CUB 5, PIT 6, STL 4, ARI 0, CIN 7 = 26 SB This gives you some idea on the disparity. Definitely looks to be more attributed to change in personnel on teams than his OBP.
February 7, 200521 yr QUOTE(lvjeremylv @ Feb 7, 2005 -> 11:01 AM) Not really. He can just steal 2nd and 3rd a few dozen times, then he'll only have to get on base 75 or 80 times! Very true. No way Pods get's less than 5- this year...just my guess.
February 7, 200521 yr I totaled the numbers & the AL is a LOT stingier than the NL. If you believe his 70 SB was reflective of a league which gave away 1405 SB then you'd have to accept that a league giving up only 1127 SB is going to net Pods about 58 SB max. Another way of looking at this. O4 SB leaders: AL Crawford 59, Ichiro 36 NL Pods 70, Pierre 45 84%, 80% It's uncanny how those numbers work out. AL/NL = 84%, Crawford/Pods = 84%.
February 7, 200521 yr QUOTE(JUGGERNAUT @ Feb 7, 2005 -> 07:43 PM) I totaled the numbers & the AL is a LOT stingier than the NL. If you believe his 70 SB was reflective of a league which gave away 1405 SB then you'd have to accept that a league giving up only 1127 SB is going to net Pods about 58 SB max. Another way of looking at this. O4 SB leaders: AL Crawford 59, Ichiro 36 NL Pods 70, Pierre 45 84%, 80% It's uncanny how those numbers work out. AL/NL = 84%, Crawford/Pods = 84%. Way to crunk the numbers.
February 7, 200521 yr QUOTE(JUGGERNAUT @ Feb 7, 2005 -> 05:43 PM) I totaled the numbers & the AL is a LOT stingier than the NL. If you believe his 70 SB was reflective of a league which gave away 1405 SB then you'd have to accept that a league giving up only 1127 SB is going to net Pods about 58 SB max. Another way of looking at this. O4 SB leaders: AL Crawford 59, Ichiro 36 NL Pods 70, Pierre 45 84%, 80% It's uncanny how those numbers work out. AL/NL = 84%, Crawford/Pods = 84%. It's funny how in one post you can arbitrarily subtract win shares from a player because "he played in the NL", then here, you compare SB totals for two leauges. Neglecting, 1)that the NL has 2 more teams. 2)The AL has three teams that preach the "moneyball" philosophy and not giving away outs through the SB. 3) The AL has the DH which changes the complexion of the entire league, and the need for the SB. Edited February 7, 200521 yr by Gene Honda Civic
February 8, 200521 yr It's funny how in one post you can arbitrarily subtract win shares from a player because "he played in the NL", then here, you compare SB totals for two leauges. Neglecting, 1)that the NL has 2 more teams. 2)The AL has three teams that preach the "moneyball" philosophy and not giving away outs through the SB. 3) The AL has the DH which changes the complexion of the entire league, and the need for the SB. <{POST_SNAPBACK}> If it makes you feel better: 04 NL med 93.5 SB, AL med = 83 SB 11% diff The median is where most teams fall under. A better measure than avg. 04 NLC med = 89 SB, ALC med = 84 SB 5% diff Are you arguing that he's most likely to have more than 60 SB?
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