March 15, 201313 yr Every year I enter into a few bets with a friend who is a bit of a negative SOX fan (he dwells on the negative aspects of the team, I know unheard of here). I try to select bet criteria that if I win will result in a very good season for the SOX. This year I have offered two: 1) Adam Dunn will increase his BA 10% AND reduce his strikeouts 10% from last year. Thus he must hit .222 or above AND strike out less than 200 times. 2) Over under on Gavin Floyd wins is 14; I win at 15 or above. Bet has been accepted (as I said he is a negative SOX fan and really doesn't like either player). Obviously I like both bets as I offered them and if they both work out for me it should be a pretty good year for the good guys in black! Thoughts? Anyone else with similar kind of wagers?
March 15, 201313 yr QUOTE (59th street @ Mar 15, 2013 -> 05:13 PM) Every year I enter into a few bets with a friend who is a bit of a negative SOX fan (he dwells on the negative aspects of the team, I know unheard of here). I try to select bet criteria that if I win will result in a very good season for the SOX. This year I have offered two: 1) Adam Dunn will increase his BA 10% AND reduce his strikeouts 10% from last year. Thus he must hit .222 or above AND strike out less than 200 times. 2) Over under on Gavin Floyd wins is 14; I win at 15 or above. Bet has been accepted (as I said he is a negative SOX fan and really doesn't like either player). Obviously I like both bets as I offered them and if they both work out for me it should be a pretty good year for the good guys in black! Thoughts? Anyone else with similar kind of wagers? I'd take the other side of the Dunn bet for sure.
March 15, 201313 yr QUOTE (59th street @ Mar 15, 2013 -> 06:13 PM) Every year I enter into a few bets with a friend who is a bit of a negative SOX fan (he dwells on the negative aspects of the team, I know unheard of here). I try to select bet criteria that if I win will result in a very good season for the SOX. This year I have offered two: 1) Adam Dunn will increase his BA 10% AND reduce his strikeouts 10% from last year. Thus he must hit .222 or above AND strike out less than 200 times. 2) Over under on Gavin Floyd wins is 14; I win at 15 or above. Bet has been accepted (as I said he is a negative SOX fan and really doesn't like either player). Obviously I like both bets as I offered them and if they both work out for me it should be a pretty good year for the good guys in black! Thoughts? Anyone else with similar kind of wagers? Hope you didn't plunk down much I can see Dunn's average over .222 with some fair odds, but Floyd hasn't looked like a consistent enough pitcher to win 15 games since he did it in 2008. I see no reason to believe he finally figured it out last year. Plus, wins are a notoriously fishy stat so I would never put any eggs in that basket. Felix Hernandez has only won >15 games once.
March 15, 201313 yr Author QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Mar 15, 2013 -> 05:37 PM) I'd take the other side of the Dunn bet for sure. Just curious; what part of the Dunn bet do you think is going to be harder for him to achieve the higher average or the reduced strike outs?
March 15, 201313 yr QUOTE (59th street @ Mar 15, 2013 -> 05:41 PM) Just curious; what part of the Dunn bet do you think is going to be harder for him to achieve the higher average or the reduced strike outs? Strike outs.
March 15, 201313 yr Author QUOTE (ScottyDo @ Mar 15, 2013 -> 05:40 PM) Out of curiosity, how has your record been in these bets? It varies year to year but probably about 50-50 over the years. I am certainly no vegas/gambling expert. I do it for fun and I like being a little contrarian and betting on some of the players who are not the most popular. Last year I won one bet with the over/under for HR by Dunn at 40 but lost on Beckham over/under batting ave. at .250. I really like both bets this year. I especially think Floyd is going to have a great year, mostly based experiance on the quality stuff he showed after returning from the arm strain last year. Can't wait for the season to start.
March 16, 201313 yr I have had a standing bet with a Cubs fan since 2001. I have the Sox, he has the Cubs. $5 a win (regular season only), and the team that won the most games the previous year has to give half of the previous year's differential the following year, so this year the Sox are -12. I'm up $115 over the 12 years of the bet.
March 16, 201313 yr Author QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Mar 15, 2013 -> 11:21 PM) I have had a standing bet with a Cubs fan since 2001. I have the Sox, he has the Cubs. $5 a win (regular season only), and the team that won the most games the previous year has to give half of the previous year's differential the following year, so this year the Sox are -12. I'm up $115 over the 12 years of the bet. I like the bet . Giving back half the previous years win difference seems to really punish the better team but I guess without it things could really get one sided. I avoid betting with cub fans as things often tend to devolve into bitterness.
March 17, 201313 yr I like the bet . Giving back half the previous years win difference seems to really punish the better team but I guess without it things could really get one sided. I avoid betting with cub fans as things often tend to devolve into bitterness. He's a Cubs fan, but he's not completely stupid. There was no way he was going to do the bet straight up.
March 17, 201313 yr Chris Sale under/over 16.5 wins Paul Konerko under/over 30.5 homers White Sox under/over 85.5 wins
March 18, 201313 yr Chris Sale under/over 16.5 wins Paul Konerko under/over 30.5 homers White Sox under/over 85.5 wins I would go over, under, over, but I think all three are very close. Those are very well-set lines.
March 18, 201313 yr The good news is that if Dunn is much lower than .222, Robin may bench him occasionally, which could help him avoid 200 strikeouts. A push is better than a loss.
March 18, 201313 yr I have been a sox optimist for a long time thanks to Kenny Williams, but I think you are sucker if you didn't get any odds.
March 18, 201313 yr QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Mar 17, 2013 -> 09:58 AM) Chris Sale under/over 16.5 wins Paul Konerko under/over 30.5 homers White Sox under/over 85.5 wins Over Under Under
March 18, 201313 yr QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Mar 17, 2013 -> 09:58 AM) Chris Sale under/over 16.5 wins Paul Konerko under/over 30.5 homers White Sox under/over 85.5 wins I'd bet over on all 3.
March 18, 201313 yr Author QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Mar 17, 2013 -> 09:58 AM) Chris Sale under/over 16.5 wins Paul Konerko under/over 30.5 homers White Sox under/over 85.5 wins ss2k5: You have set some really good lines. I would say over on the first two you listed (plus my A. Dunn bets) thus over on the wins at 85.5! Sale continues to develop and improve and Konerko out performs last year with a healthy wrist and hopefully no more concussions. I really like this roster and coaching staff and think there are going to improve over last year. Two weeks from today and we start to find out. C'mon sun we need some warm/dry weather. GO GO WHITE SOX!!
March 18, 201313 yr Keep in mind that Konerko in his previous two free agent seasons has produced quite well. It wouldn't surprise me if he hit .300 with 32 hrs this yr.
March 18, 201313 yr If we can get some more solid under over lines, we can have a season contest... Anyone else?
March 19, 201313 yr If we can get some more solid under over lines, we can have a season contest... Anyone else? Robin Ventura - 3½ ejections April - 1½ rainouts
March 19, 201313 yr QUOTE (oldsox @ Mar 19, 2013 -> 07:10 AM) Vegas over/under for Sox is 80.5 wins. Detroit 93.0 KC 78.5 Minn 69 Clev 79.5 I may actually have to make a bet.
March 20, 201313 yr QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Mar 19, 2013 -> 08:36 AM) I may actually have to make a bet. Me too, how do I go about doing that without actually going to Vegas?
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